ThePredictionTracker
 The prediction average is the average prediction of a set of computer ratings.
All lines are in reference to the home team.  +3 means the home team is favored 
to win by 3 points and -3 means the visitor is favored by 3 points.  I am using
predictions that are posted on the various ranking's pages or the ratings that
are sent to me.
These predictions are being used for research and informational purposes only. Disclaimer Comma Separated File that can be read into Excel
RP-Excel genetic algorithm selections
Updated:    Thursday, October 21, 2021    11:43 AM

  Home                Visitor          Opening   Updated  Midweek   Prediction  Prediction    Prediction       Prediction     Probability Home Team
                                         line     line     line        Avg.       Median    Standard Deviation  Min  Max         Wins    Covers

Cleveland          Denver                6.00      1.00      1.00      5.31        5.89           4.01        -8.00  16.30      0.6452    0.5862
Baltimore          Cincinnati            6.50      6.00      6.00      6.80        6.76           3.78        -6.66  14.00      0.6842    0.5162
Green Bay          Washington            7.50      8.50      8.50     10.27       10.00           3.52         0.19  17.91      0.7665    0.5358
Miami              Atlanta               3.00     -2.50     -2.50      0.96        1.37           2.82        -6.20   7.00      0.5274    0.5701
N.Y. Giants        Carolina             -3.00     -3.00     -3.00     -5.37       -4.88           4.23       -17.00   2.50      0.3538    0.4524
New England        N.Y. Jets             7.00      7.00      7.00      9.31        9.00           3.48        -5.00  16.50      0.7453    0.5467
Tennessee          Kansas City          -3.00     -4.50     -4.50     -0.74       -0.60           3.14       -11.00   5.46      0.4791    0.5761
LA Rams            Detroit              13.50     15.00     15.00     16.82       16.60           5.14         5.00  32.80      0.8752    0.5363
Las Vegas          Philadelphia          2.50      3.00      3.00      3.49        3.54           3.32        -5.00  15.40      0.5980    0.5100
Arizona            Houston              14.50     17.50     17.50     19.02       19.32           7.68        -1.80  34.00      0.8874    0.5291
Tampa Bay          Chicago              10.00     12.50     12.50     10.83       10.05           3.67         2.80  22.20      0.7778    0.4662
San Francisco      Indianapolis          5.50      4.00      4.00      2.48        2.40           3.92       -12.00  15.80      0.5691    0.4693
Seattle            New Orleans          -3.00     -4.50     -4.50     -1.49       -1.49           3.36       -14.00   4.67      0.4579    0.5609
___________________________________________________________________________________________

Sagarin Dokter Entropy Pigskin Index
PerformanZ Ratings Dunkel Index Game Time Decision Sonny Moore
ARGH Power Ratings Enhanced Spread Projections RP Excel Ashby AccuRatings

  Home               Visitor             LINE   SAG    PFZ    ARGH   DOK    DUNK   ESP    PIG    GAME   RPXL   RPX2   MOR    ASHB      Home         Visitor

Cleveland          Denver                1.00   5.97   0.65   3.00   5.99   8.46   3.80   8.00   3.00   4.00  13.00   6.28   2.00    Cleveland     Denver
Baltimore          Cincinnati            6.00   6.97   3.63   6.00   7.59  11.76   6.20  10.00   9.00   9.00  -1.00  10.55   9.00    Baltimore     Cincinnati
Green Bay          Washington            8.50   9.79   5.28  10.00   6.93  10.02   9.30  12.00  10.00   6.00  16.00  14.13   8.00    Green Bay     Washington
Miami              Atlanta              -2.50   1.37  -4.25  -0.25   3.63   4.99  -6.20   2.00   3.00   7.00  -2.00  -0.12   4.00    Miami         Atlanta
N.Y. Giants        Carolina             -3.00  -3.26  -8.99  -6.00  -4.10  -5.85  -5.10   0.01  -1.00  -1.00 -17.00  -4.88  -4.00    N.Y. Giants   Carolina
New England        N.Y. Jets             7.00   8.51   6.01   6.00   6.57  12.69   7.90   9.00   9.00  12.00   5.00  12.05  10.00    New England   N.Y. Jets
Tennessee          Kansas City          -4.50  -1.11  -2.79   0.25  -4.63  -2.93  -0.50   2.00   1.00 -11.00  -4.00  -0.58   1.00    Tennessee     Kansas City
LA Rams            Detroit              15.00  14.79  14.83  17.00  15.41  19.17  14.00  17.00  17.00  11.00  20.00  17.48  12.00    LA Rams       Detroit
Las Vegas          Philadelphia          3.00   3.11   1.38   6.00   1.38   3.41   6.30   3.00   4.00  -1.00  -5.00   3.38   4.00    Las Vegas     Philadelphia
Arizona            Houston              17.50  18.41  18.37  18.00  16.30  17.86  17.90  21.00  20.00   9.00  17.00  12.86  13.00    Arizona       Houston
Tampa Bay          Chicago              12.50   8.09   6.84   8.00  13.13  17.22   6.70  12.00  11.00  12.00  15.00  12.21   9.00    Tampa Bay     Chicago
San Francisco      Indianapolis          4.00   3.46  -0.75   1.00   6.35   4.02  -1.40   4.00   1.00 -12.00   1.00   3.88   2.00    San Francisco Indianapolis
Seattle            New Orleans          -4.50   1.56  -4.40  -2.00  -2.94  -5.11  -3.00   1.00  -2.00  -3.00 -14.00  -2.70  -1.00    Seattle       New Orleans



ESPN FPI Scoring Effeciency Turnover adjusted Least Squares Sagarin recent/pred/golden mean
Pythagorean Ratings Least Absolute Value Regression Least Squares w/ team specific HFA
Beck Elo Least Squares Regression Logistic Regression

  Home               Visitor             LINE   ESPN   PYTH   ELO    EFF     L1    L2     L2TO   LTHF   LOG    SGM    SAGR  SAGP       Home         Visitor

Cleveland          Denver                1.00   1.86   1.14  12.94   2.08   6.34   5.38   4.57   0.06   7.05   6.23   8.03   4.97    Cleveland     Denver
Baltimore          Cincinnati            6.00   6.54   3.57   6.87   3.66  -6.66   3.88   4.11   4.72   6.83   8.62   7.47   6.53    Baltimore     Cincinnati
Green Bay          Washington            8.50   8.03   9.46  17.91   7.61   7.00  12.11   9.88   7.00  12.38   8.29  11.48   9.41    Green Bay     Washington
Miami              Atlanta              -2.50   0.24  -0.15   4.02  -0.33   4.34   4.24   2.40  -3.75  -7.50   1.63  -1.42   2.63    Miami         Atlanta
N.Y. Giants        Carolina             -3.00  -2.31  -7.29  -5.32  -3.96  -7.00 -13.41 -15.33  -7.00  -6.38  -2.53  -2.79  -3.81    N.Y. Giants   Carolina
New England        N.Y. Jets             7.00   7.57  11.86   9.90   8.52  13.00  12.46   7.37   8.22   5.29   8.78   6.69   9.66    New England   N.Y. Jets
Tennessee          Kansas City          -4.50  -3.17   2.65   1.87   2.67   4.00  -0.39  -2.14  -3.01  -3.14  -1.87   1.21  -2.56    Tennessee     Kansas City
LA Rams            Detroit              15.00  14.99  16.40  18.34  12.68  15.34   7.00  14.33   6.60   7.00  17.30  15.29  14.08    LA Rams       Detroit
Las Vegas          Philadelphia          3.00   3.54   5.26   3.76   4.48  -4.33   0.61  -0.13  -7.00   6.96   4.71   3.50   2.48    Las Vegas     Philadelphia
Arizona            Houston              17.50  16.37  21.52  26.97  16.85   7.00   7.00   7.00   7.00   7.00  19.32  19.72  19.17    Arizona       Houston
Tampa Bay          Chicago              12.50  12.09  12.43   8.57   8.90   3.00   9.88   9.78   7.00   7.00   9.45   6.34   8.81    Tampa Bay     Chicago
San Francisco      Indianapolis          4.00   5.40   1.61   3.84   2.17   1.00  -0.39  10.38  -4.32  -7.00   4.71   2.18   3.93    San Francisco Indianapolis
Seattle            New Orleans          -4.50  -3.01  -3.87   2.05  -1.55   4.67   0.72   3.12   6.95  -6.61   1.26  -0.49   2.85    Seattle       New Orleans



Pi-Ratings Ed Kambour Football Ratings Talisman Red Lou St. John
Donchess Inference TuringFantasy.com Stephen Kerns
Stat Fox Massey Ratings Laffaye RWP FF-Winners

  Home               Visitor             LINE   PiR    PiM    PiB    DONC   SFOX   LRWP   FFW    MASS    PR    KRNS   TURN   STJ       Home         Visitor

Cleveland          Denver                1.00   6.30   6.60   5.90   2.10   7.00  12.03   5.00   1.92   0.89   8.25  -8.00   3.95    Cleveland     Denver
Baltimore          Cincinnati            6.00  12.20  11.10  12.40   8.20  14.00   6.35   7.00   5.05  12.03   5.25   2.00   4.49    Baltimore     Cincinnati
Green Bay          Washington            8.50  13.00  12.70  13.80   8.50  12.00  17.38   8.00   6.93   3.78  12.75   8.00  11.08    Green Bay     Washington
Miami              Atlanta              -2.50   1.30   1.90   0.90  -0.70   0.01   1.16   3.00  -2.63   2.38  -2.80   1.00   1.94    Miami         Atlanta
N.Y. Giants        Carolina             -3.00  -0.80  -0.80  -1.90  -2.30  -5.00 -10.91  -3.00  -6.06  -4.94  -9.80  -2.00  -9.10    N.Y. Giants   Carolina
New England        N.Y. Jets             7.00  11.40   9.80   9.90   7.40  15.00  14.92   7.00   7.28   8.13   8.55  -5.00  10.60    New England   N.Y. Jets
Tennessee          Kansas City          -4.50  -0.70  -0.60  -0.30  -4.80  -1.00   3.17  -3.00  -1.11  -2.63  -5.45  -2.00  -5.45    Tennessee     Kansas City
LA Rams            Detroit              15.00  20.10  20.70  20.50  23.50  23.00  19.67  13.00  12.96  13.56  19.25  15.00  12.44    LA Rams       Detroit
Las Vegas          Philadelphia          3.00   4.50   4.70   3.70   3.40   4.00   8.99   3.00   1.10   2.17   3.70  10.00  -0.87    Las Vegas     Philadelphia
Arizona            Houston              17.50  21.70  24.00  22.30  24.50  22.00  19.47  14.00  14.78   9.78  30.15  11.00  20.44    Arizona       Houston
Tampa Bay          Chicago              12.50  14.50  13.90  13.90  17.00  16.00  13.63  10.00   7.62   8.34  10.05  10.00   9.06    Tampa Bay     Chicago
San Francisco      Indianapolis          4.00   2.20   2.70   2.40   4.30   0.01   6.15   6.00   0.66  -2.46   7.75  -3.00   2.06    San Francisco Indianapolis
Seattle            New Orleans          -4.50  -1.40   0.40  -2.10  -7.30  -3.00   0.96  -2.00  -2.13  -6.89   0.80    .    -3.02    Seattle       New Orleans



Computer Adjusted Line TeamRankings Dwiggins
Fox Sports Covers.com Versus Sports Simulator Daniel Curry Index
Cleanup Hitter Steven Jens Enhanced Spread Projections Odds Shark

  Home               Visitor             LINE   CAL    PPG    CUH     TR    CVRS   JENS   JEN2   VSS    ESP2   DWIG   DCI    OS        Home         Visitor

Cleveland          Denver                1.00   2.00   0.17   6.50   4.50    .      .      .     7.24   2.90   9.00   9.46 16.30     Cleveland     Denver
Baltimore          Cincinnati            6.00   6.00   3.67   6.50   8.80    .      .      .     6.40   6.40   8.85  12.14  9.90     Baltimore     Cincinnati
Green Bay          Washington            8.50   8.50  11.67   6.50   8.40    .      .      .    12.10   8.90   8.00  15.97 16.50     Green Bay     Washington
Miami              Atlanta              -2.50  -1.50  -2.40   1.50   1.90    .      .      .     4.14  -4.30   1.50  -2.28  1.00     Miami         Atlanta
N.Y. Giants        Carolina             -3.00  -3.00 -12.17   2.50  -3.10    .      .      .    -9.77  -4.10  -7.90  -0.69 -5.50     N.Y. Giants   Carolina
New England        N.Y. Jets             7.00   7.00  12.47   7.00  10.40    .      .      .    12.83   7.40  10.75  13.55 16.50     New England   N.Y. Jets
Tennessee          Kansas City          -4.50  -3.50   1.33   4.50  -2.30    .      .      .     0.91  -3.00   0.35   5.46  5.00     Tennessee     Kansas City
LA Rams            Detroit              15.00  15.00  21.17   5.00  16.60    .      .      .    21.05  14.50  25.95  26.02 32.80     LA Rams       Detroit
Las Vegas          Philadelphia          3.00   3.00   5.00   7.00   2.80    .      .      .     2.59   4.60   4.90   5.39 15.40     Las Vegas     Philadelphia
Arizona            Houston              17.50  17.50  29.50   5.00  21.60    .      .      .    31.67  18.20  30.30  23.97 34.00     Arizona       Houston
Tampa Bay          Chicago              12.50  12.50  14.83  11.50  12.50    .      .      .    11.81   9.60  12.45  12.15 22.20     Tampa Bay     Chicago
San Francisco      Indianapolis          4.00   4.00   0.27   3.50   3.30    .      .      .     2.97   1.30   3.10  -0.29 15.80     San Francisco Indianapolis
Seattle            New Orleans          -4.50  -3.50  -6.70   2.00  -0.10    .      .      .     1.43  -4.00   4.30  -0.62 -4.70     Seattle       New Orleans



Bihl Rankings Roger Johnson
John Coffey
Dan Hanson Roundtable

  Home               Visitor             LINE                                             BIHL          HNSN   JOHN   RND    CFFY      Home         Visitor

Cleveland          Denver                1.00    .             .      .             .     5.89    .    -0.39   6.58   7.00   4.65    Cleveland     Denver
Baltimore          Cincinnati            6.00    .             .      .             .     4.63    .     2.90   1.48   8.00   6.76    Baltimore     Cincinnati
Green Bay          Washington            8.50    .             .      .             .    12.30    .     0.19  11.98  12.00  11.58    Green Bay     Washington
Miami              Atlanta              -2.50    .             .      .             .     1.84    .    -4.31   2.08   6.00   0.14    Miami         Atlanta
N.Y. Giants        Carolina             -3.00    .             .      .             .    -9.27    .     1.28 -10.82  -7.00  -4.37    N.Y. Giants   Carolina
New England        N.Y. Jets             7.00    .             .      .             .     9.56    .     3.91   7.78  12.00   7.88    New England   N.Y. Jets
Tennessee          Kansas City          -4.50    .             .      .             .    -0.59    .    -4.21  -1.12   1.00   3.00    Tennessee     Kansas City
LA Rams            Detroit              15.00    .             .      .             .    19.51    .     5.43  13.98  23.00  16.60    LA Rams       Detroit
Las Vegas          Philadelphia          3.00    .             .      .             .     3.52    .    -1.34   1.78   4.00   6.19    Las Vegas     Philadelphia
Arizona            Houston              17.50    .             .      .             .    28.97    .    -1.80  21.18  33.00  23.61    Arizona       Houston
Tampa Bay          Chicago              12.50    .             .      .             .     8.50    .     2.80   4.98  13.00   8.21    Tampa Bay     Chicago
San Francisco      Indianapolis          4.00    .             .      .             .     2.99    .    -2.84   1.88   5.00   3.32    San Francisco Indianapolis
Seattle            New Orleans          -4.50    .             .      .             .     0.08    .    -1.81  -0.32   1.00  -1.43    Seattle       New Orleans



Season Totals