Computer Rating System Prediction Results for Pro football (NFL)

Through 2021-09-13
Rank System Pct. Correct Against Spread Absolute Error Bias Mean Square Error games suw sul atsw atsl
1Sagarin0.5000010.0000-0.75000136.902001688
2Line (Midweek)8.8125-0.31250117.2440016
3Massey Ratings0.250008.92381.67370105.6920016412
4FF-Winners0.416679.00000.12500117.749001657
5ARGH Power Ratings0.437509.6250-1.62500127.335001679
6Laffaye RWP0.437509.46940.86060130.751001679
7Line (updated)0.461548.7500-0.18750112.092001667
8Line (opening)0.466679.09380.21880115.044001678
9System Median0.466678.3189-0.2226096.669001678
10TuringFantasy.com0.5000010.37502.87500169.108001688
11Stephen Kerns0.750007.56251.5625088.7850016124
12Talisman Red0.500008.8500-0.72500104.882001688
13System Average0.500008.3362-0.3739095.766001688
14Daniel Curry Index0.500008.22501.12500102.590001688
15Odds Shark0.5625010.0500-3.23750139.544001697
16Donchess Inference0.562508.9264-0.20070115.730001697
17Cleanup Hitter0.6000010.4375-4.12500186.312001696
18Pi-Rate Ratings0.600007.81250.2500084.590001696
19Ashby AccuRatings0.642868.3750-1.3750098.132001695
20Versus Sports Simulator0.687507.68811.2069075.9200016115
pct correct = percent straight up picking winners
against spread =  percent against the midweek line
absolute error = average(prediction - actual result)
bias = absolute value(prediction - actual result)
mean square error = absolute error squared
games collected
suw = straight up wins
sul = straight up losses
atsw = against the spread wins
atsl = against the spread losses