Computer Rating System Prediction Results for Pro football (NFL)

Through 2021-02-07
Rank System Pct. Correct Against Spread Absolute Error Bias Mean Square Error games suw sul atsw atsl
1Line (opening)0.5833313.23081.37500293.363001375
2Line (Midweek)13.69231.37500302.9880013
3Odds Shark0.2222216.41822.11000397.478001127
4TuringFantasy.com0.3846217.23087.91670390.527001358
5Daniel Curry Index0.3846216.31236.26080407.294001358
6Talisman Red0.3846215.31545.97500374.239001358
7Dan Hanson0.4615414.1823-1.85920330.482001367
8Cleanup Hitter0.4615413.4231-1.87500361.728001367
9System Average0.4615413.04662.37610301.468001367
10RP Excel 20.5000016.000016.00000276.50000422
11System Median0.5384613.02402.43820297.012001376
12Massey Ratings0.5384612.73232.96420292.862001376
13Donchess Inference0.9230811.83900.74160236.8780013121
14Versus Sports Simulator0.6153813.81923.63750326.509001385
15Bihl Rankings0.6153813.15623.10080307.208001385
16Ashby AccuRatings0.6363612.84623.00000297.917001374
17Roundtable0.6666714.16670.50000356.45800642
18Pi-Rate Ratings0.6666713.07692.25000304.078001384
19Sagarin0.6923112.74851.69500287.355001394
20John Coffey0.6923112.35622.15830283.511001394
21Line (updated)0.7500013.61541.41670301.916001331
22ARGH Power Ratings0.7500012.76923.00000295.583001393
23FF-Winners0.7692313.23080.83330276.9420013103
pct correct = percent straight up picking winners
against spread =  percent against the midweek line
absolute error = average(prediction - actual result)
bias = absolute value(prediction - actual result)
mean square error = absolute error squared
games collected
suw = straight up wins
sul = straight up losses
atsw = against the spread wins
atsl = against the spread losses