Computer Rating System Prediction Results for Pro football (NFL)

Through 2016-09-13
Rank System Pct. Correct Against Spread Absolute Error Bias Mean Square Error games suw sul atsw atsl
1bwhatif0.4375010.96872.35620193.117001679
2bargh0.3571411.31250.68750196.908001659
3bexcel0.3750013.1250-4.00000267.5000016610
4bashby0.3750011.3750-0.25000192.6210016610
5btalis0.3750010.8313-1.68130214.2240016610
6ComPughter Ratings0.3750010.19620.51250167.3420016610
7FF-Winners0.4000011.25000.50000194.109001669
8Pi-Rate Ratings0.4000010.1875-0.81250171.271001669
9Line (opening)0.4166710.40630.78130179.071001657
10bdonchess0.4375011.2013-0.40250190.726001679
11Daniel Curry Index0.6250010.53190.13310163.6230016106
12bcrunch0.4375010.35000.12500183.289001679
13bkerns0.4666711.56252.81250210.693001678
14Cleanup Hitter0.5000014.03132.21880300.614001688
15System Median0.5000010.71780.21160178.280001688
16Massey Ratings0.5000010.53130.95000175.819001688
17Line (updated)0.500009.56250.25000161.340001644
18System Average0.5625010.59700.26070178.877001697
19bkambour0.562509.50000.62500152.226001697
pct correct = percent straight up picking winners
against spread =  percent against the midweek line
absolute error = average(prediction - actual result)
bias = absolute value(prediction - actual result)
mean square error = absolute error squared
games collected
suw = straight up wins
sul = straight up losses
atsw = against the spread wins
atsl = against the spread losses