ThePredictionTracker NFL RESULTS

Computer Rating System Prediction Results for Pro football (NFL)

Through 2016-09-13

Rank	System	Against Spread	Absolute Error	Bias	Mean Square Error	games	atsw	atsl
1	bwhatif	0.43750	10.9687	2.35620	193.11700	16	7	9
2	bargh	0.35714	11.3125	0.68750	196.90800	16	5	9
3	bexcel	0.37500	13.1250	-4.00000	267.50000	16	6	10
4	bashby	0.37500	11.3750	-0.25000	192.62100	16	6	10
5	btalis	0.37500	10.8313	-1.68130	214.22400	16	6	10
6	ComPughter Ratings	0.37500	10.1962	0.51250	167.34200	16	6	10
7	FF-Winners	0.40000	11.2500	0.50000	194.10900	16	6	9
8	Pi-Rate Ratings	0.40000	10.1875	-0.81250	171.27100	16	6	9
9	Line (opening)	0.41667	10.4063	0.78130	179.07100	16	5	7
10	bdonchess	0.43750	11.2013	-0.40250	190.72600	16	7	9
11	Daniel Curry Index	0.62500	10.5319	0.13310	163.62300	16	10	6
12	bcrunch	0.43750	10.3500	0.12500	183.28900	16	7	9
13	bkerns	0.46667	11.5625	2.81250	210.69300	16	7	8
14	Cleanup Hitter	0.50000	14.0313	2.21880	300.61400	16	8	8
15	System Median	0.50000	10.7178	0.21160	178.28000	16	8	8
16	Massey Ratings	0.50000	10.5313	0.95000	175.81900	16	8	8
17	Line (updated)	0.50000	9.5625	0.25000	161.34000	16	4	4
18	System Average	0.56250	10.5970	0.26070	178.87700	16	9	7
19	bkambour	0.56250	9.5000	0.62500	152.22600	16	9	7

pct correct = percent straight up picking winners
against spread =  percent against the midweek line
absolute error = average(prediction - actual result)
bias = absolute value(prediction - actual result)
mean square error = absolute error squared
games collected
suw = straight up wins
sul = straight up losses
atsw = against the spread wins
atsl = against the spread losses