Computer Rating System Prediction Results for Pro football (NFL)

Through 2022-01-17
Rank System Pct. Correct Against Spread Absolute Error Bias Mean Square Error games suw sul atsw atsl
1Massey Ratings0.4000010.4533-0.93670138.03600623
2Line (Midweek)9.3333-2.83330136.912006
3RP Excel 20.0000018.6000-5.40000449.96800504
4Bihl Rankings0.0000011.6367-0.84670165.82800605
5RP Excel0.2000015.3333-0.33330309.64800614
6Stephen Kerns0.2000010.83330.16670162.16200614
7Sagarin0.2000010.7100-2.36000164.20700614
8System Median0.2000010.4415-1.83820147.52200614
9Talisman Red0.4000013.1167-3.61670256.06500623
10Pi-Rate Ratings0.4000011.50000.00000157.41700623
11Versus Sports Simulator0.4000011.3717-0.29500152.91400623
12Ashby AccuRatings0.4000011.0000-1.33330159.37000623
13ARGH Power Ratings0.4000010.6667-1.00000143.16700623
14John Coffey1.000009.2217-2.50500123.77600650
15System Average0.4000010.2708-2.42850152.08300623
16Line (updated)0.500009.3333-3.00000139.50000611
17Laffaye RWP0.500008.10403.5760077.07400522
18FF-Winners0.600009.0000-3.66670134.09300632
19Line (opening)0.666679.4167-2.75000132.53100621
20Roundtable0.750009.5000-1.50000118.12500631
21Cleanup Hitter0.750008.6667-7.00000134.75000631
22Daniel Curry Index0.800009.8983-3.38500160.09700641
23Dan Hanson0.800009.1050-7.36170128.74300641
24Donchess Inference0.800009.0617-3.78440129.94500641
25Odds Shark0.800007.4500-5.25000121.39500641
26TuringFantasy.com1.000009.5000-5.83330112.16200650
pct correct = percent straight up picking winners
against spread =  percent against the midweek line
absolute error = average(prediction - actual result)
bias = absolute value(prediction - actual result)
mean square error = absolute error squared
games collected
suw = straight up wins
sul = straight up losses
atsw = against the spread wins
atsl = against the spread losses