Computer Rating System Prediction Results for Pro football (NFL)

Through 2021-12-06
Rank System Pct. Correct Against Spread Absolute Error Bias Mean Square Error games suw sul atsw atsl
1Sagarin0.5087711.24502.88980182.28800582928
2Line (Midweek)11.32763.43100185.7110058
3John Coffey0.4035111.30523.07140185.01600582334
4Bihl Rankings0.4210511.42782.82780185.35600582433
5Roundtable0.4339611.43104.08620186.86700582330
6Stephen Kerns0.4363612.82763.75860234.99800582431
7ARGH Power Ratings0.4444411.29313.15520182.88000582430
8Versus Sports Simulator0.4561411.57813.23570187.63300582631
9Line (opening)0.4693911.45694.14660190.38000582326
10Odds Shark0.4736811.39833.28790190.48000582730
11System Median0.4821411.14723.12090179.13400582729
12RP Excel0.4912311.60344.12070221.24200582829
13Ashby AccuRatings0.5000011.15522.98280184.17400582727
14Laffaye RWP0.6842110.40782.47840172.87000583918
15Pi-Rate Ratings0.5090911.61213.57760197.12000582827
16Cleanup Hitter0.5263211.69833.30170213.52300583027
17Massey Ratings0.5263211.61104.39070190.52600583027
18Line (updated)0.5277811.23283.06030182.04100581917
19Talisman Red0.5357112.38281.28620243.63800583026
20FF-Winners0.5370411.10343.24140182.06000582925
21RP Excel 20.5714312.55173.34480259.70400583224
22Donchess Inference0.5789511.23102.96320180.75300583324
23System Average0.5789510.84442.86780173.99000583324
24Daniel Curry Index0.6140410.27861.53240156.04700583522
25Dan Hanson0.6491210.1493-2.17590172.95200583720
26TuringFantasy.com0.6727310.29312.39660188.95300583718
pct correct = percent straight up picking winners
against spread =  percent against the midweek line
absolute error = average(prediction - actual result)
bias = absolute value(prediction - actual result)
mean square error = absolute error squared
games collected
suw = straight up wins
sul = straight up losses
atsw = against the spread wins
atsl = against the spread losses