ThePredictionTracker NFL RESULTS

Computer Rating System Prediction Results for Pro football (NFL)

Through 2022-02-13

Rank	System	Against Spread	Absolute Error	Bias	Mean Square Error	games	atsw	atsl
1	Odds Shark	0.49650	11.0208	-0.30820	193.49000	149	71	72
2	Line (Midweek)		10.8423	0.03080	187.49100	149
3	Bihl Rankings	0.39063	11.7690	0.88950	212.82400	131	50	78
4	ARGH Power Ratings	0.41007	11.3289	0.90410	197.70700	149	57	82
5	Versus Sports Simulator	0.41096	11.6479	0.93110	204.54300	149	60	86
6	System Median	0.41958	11.1204	0.71550	192.72000	149	60	83
7	Sagarin	0.43448	11.3570	0.55530	201.33500	149	63	82
8	Roundtable	0.43590	10.9762	2.65870	189.09500	126	51	66
9	John Coffey	0.45205	11.1646	0.76180	194.78400	149	66	80
10	Stephen Kerns	0.45324	12.0268	1.65750	219.18700	149	63	76
11	Massey Ratings	0.48276	11.3513	1.93400	199.61300	149	70	75
12	Ashby AccuRatings	0.48936	11.1208	0.92470	194.75400	149	69	72
13	Pi-Rate Ratings	0.49296	11.3054	1.68150	196.90700	149	70	72
14	Line (updated)	0.56410	10.7987	-0.12670	185.07400	149	44	34
15	Talisman Red	0.50345	12.0685	-0.95820	242.40100	149	73	72
16	Line (opening)	0.50794	10.8859	0.77050	190.43600	149	64	62
17	Cleanup Hitter	0.51748	12.0503	-0.00680	234.30500	149	74	69
18	RP Excel	0.51773	12.0068	1.45210	230.34200	148	73	68
19	Donchess Inference	0.52055	10.9904	0.53300	191.42000	149	76	70
20	FF-Winners	0.52308	10.8389	-0.13700	190.75300	149	68	62
21	Laffaye RWP	0.52414	10.7834	0.54170	190.28500	148	76	69
22	Dan Hanson	0.52740	11.4491	-4.44990	216.86600	149	77	69
23	Daniel Curry Index	0.52740	11.0921	-1.46620	203.23400	149	77	69
24	System Average	0.53425	10.9128	0.31940	189.69900	149	78	68
25	TuringFantasy.com	0.53623	11.3562	-1.51050	216.86500	146	74	64
26	RP Excel 2	0.56028	13.7211	-0.22070	315.55800	147	79	62

pct correct = percent straight up picking winners
against spread =  percent against the midweek line
absolute error = average(prediction - actual result)
bias = absolute value(prediction - actual result)
mean square error = absolute error squared
games collected
suw = straight up wins
sul = straight up losses
atsw = against the spread wins
atsl = against the spread losses