ThePredictionTracker NFL RESULTS

Computer Rating System Prediction Results for Pro football (NFL)

Through 2018-02-05

Rank	System	Against Spread	Absolute Error	Bias	Mean Square Error	games	atsw	atsl
1	Ashby AccuRatings	0.50000	11.1940	1.46270	208.79000	134	60	60
2	Line (Midweek)		10.8694	0.44400	196.83200	134
3	Line (opening)	0.39130	11.0000	0.70150	200.39200	134	36	56
4	Massey Ratings	0.44697	11.8750	1.65630	232.58400	134	59	73
5	Line (updated)	0.47297	10.9627	0.43280	200.23400	134	35	39
6	ComPughter Ratings	0.47328	12.1604	0.90720	243.98500	134	62	69
7	John Coffey	0.47727	11.2155	0.95490	210.62000	134	63	69
8	System Median	0.48462	11.0684	1.00470	205.60300	134	63	67
9	Daniel Curry Index	0.49242	11.9796	0.50030	245.32500	134	65	67
10	Pi-Rate Ratings	0.50000	11.0224	1.06720	199.17800	134	62	62
11	What If Sports	0.50758	11.4157	3.13210	210.74000	134	67	65
12	Dan Hanson	0.52672	10.9428	0.14380	200.93700	134	69	62
13	Donchess Inference	0.53030	10.9501	0.77600	201.49200	134	70	62
14	System Average	0.53788	10.9168	0.78140	204.35800	134	71	61
15	Cleanup Hitter	0.55906	11.9739	0.27990	235.44200	134	71	56
16	Talisman Red	0.56061	12.1410	-0.75300	253.25200	134	74	58
17	FF-Winners	0.56452	11.0299	1.62690	207.96500	134	70	54
18	Stephen Kerns	0.58333	12.3299	-2.06420	244.01300	134	77	55
19	ARGH Power Ratings	0.47200	11.5833	0.91670	223.56200	132	59	66
20	Roundtable	0.52542	11.2385	1.80770	209.93600	130	62	56
21	RP Excel 2	0.59350	11.7769	1.20770	228.58100	130	73	50
22	RP Excel	0.57258	12.6308	0.46150	258.29100	130	71	53
23	TheSportsCruncher	0.46400	11.5388	0.35430	221.28800	129	58	67
24	Bihl Rankings	0.46825	11.9603	0.65060	236.51300	128	59	67

pct correct = percent straight up picking winners
against spread =  percent against the midweek line
absolute error = average(prediction - actual result)
bias = absolute value(prediction - actual result)
mean square error = absolute error squared
games collected
suw = straight up wins
sul = straight up losses
atsw = against the spread wins
atsl = against the spread losses