Computer Rating System Prediction Results for Pro football (NFL)
Through 2023-09-12
Rank |
System |
Pct. Correct |
Against Spread |
Absolute Error |
Bias |
Mean Square Error |
games |
suw |
sul |
atsw |
atsl |
1 | Line (updated) | | | | 0.00000 | 0.00000 | | | | | |
2 | What If Sports | | | | 0.00000 | 0.00000 | | | | | |
3 | TuringFantasy.com | | | | 0.00000 | 0.00000 | | | | | |
4 | Talisman Red | | | | 0.00000 | 0.00000 | | | | | |
5 | Odds Shark | | | | 0.00000 | 0.00000 | | | | | |
6 | Sagarin | | | | 0.00000 | 0.00000 | | | | | |
7 | Laffaye RWP | | | | 0.00000 | 0.00000 | | | | | |
8 | Roundtable | | | | 0.00000 | 0.00000 | | | | | |
9 | Versus Sports Simulator | | | | 0.00000 | 0.00000 | | | | | |
10 | Pi-Rate Ratings | | | | 0.00000 | 0.00000 | | | | | |
11 | Line (opening) | | | | 0.00000 | 0.00000 | | | | | |
12 | Line (Midweek) | | | | 0.00000 | 0.00000 | | | | | |
13 | System Median | | | | 0.00000 | 0.00000 | | | | | |
14 | Massey Ratings | | | | 0.00000 | 0.00000 | | | | | |
15 | ARGH Power Ratings | | | | 0.00000 | 0.00000 | | | | | |
16 | Stephen Kerns | | | | 0.00000 | 0.00000 | | | | | |
17 | Dan Hanson | | | | 0.00000 | 0.00000 | | | | | |
18 | FF-Winners | | | | 0.00000 | 0.00000 | | | | | |
19 | RP Excel 2 | | | | 0.00000 | 0.00000 | | | | | |
20 | RP Excel | | | | 0.00000 | 0.00000 | | | | | |
21 | Donchess Inference | | | | 0.00000 | 0.00000 | | | | | |
22 | Daniel Curry Index | | | | 0.00000 | 0.00000 | | | | | |
23 | John Coffey | | | | 0.00000 | 0.00000 | | | | | |
24 | Cleanup Hitter | | | | 0.00000 | 0.00000 | | | | | |
25 | Bihl Rankings | | | | 0.00000 | 0.00000 | | | | | |
26 | System Average | | | | 0.00000 | 0.00000 | | | | | |
27 | Ashby AccuRatings | | | | 0.00000 | 0.00000 | | | | | |
pct correct = percent straight up picking winners
against spread = percent against the midweek line
absolute error = average(prediction - actual result)
bias = absolute value(prediction - actual result)
mean square error = absolute error squared
games collected
suw = straight up wins
sul = straight up losses
atsw = against the spread wins
atsl = against the spread losses