ThePredictionTracker NFL RESULTS

Computer Rating System Prediction Results for Pro football (NFL)

Through 2022-02-13

Rank	System	Against Spread	Absolute Error	Bias	Mean Square Error	games	atsw	atsl
1	Ashby AccuRatings	0.49621	11.1193	0.47160	190.37900	285	131	133
2	Line (Midweek)		10.7807	0.48400	179.34000	285
3	Bihl Rankings	0.39759	12.5036	1.30740	238.67800	169	66	100
4	ARGH Power Ratings	0.42205	11.3719	0.63480	196.03800	285	111	152
5	Sagarin	0.43214	11.6541	0.43330	210.24300	285	121	159
6	Versus Sports Simulator	0.43772	11.9944	0.95680	226.27800	285	123	158
7	Massey Ratings	0.44643	11.4420	2.07840	198.96700	285	125	155
8	John Coffey	0.44724	11.4239	1.03460	200.45000	205	89	110
9	System Median	0.46350	11.0409	0.69420	187.87000	285	127	147
10	Roundtable	0.46544	11.2348	2.39130	200.22700	230	101	116
11	Stephen Kerns	0.47037	12.5018	1.62060	243.17900	285	127	143
12	Line (opening)	0.47059	11.0193	0.96810	185.18300	285	112	126
13	FF-Winners	0.47638	10.9895	0.10280	185.91800	285	121	133
14	TuringFantasy.com	0.53137	11.5248	0.93910	208.82800	282	144	127
15	RP Excel	0.50980	12.2313	1.35710	230.54600	268	130	125
16	Daniel Curry Index	0.51246	11.5193	-0.15910	211.02700	285	144	137
17	System Average	0.51246	11.0024	0.41900	188.74500	285	144	137
18	Cleanup Hitter	0.51449	12.3474	-0.46630	251.68100	285	142	134
19	Laffaye RWP	0.51786	11.0809	0.57470	192.01800	284	145	135
20	Donchess Inference	0.51957	10.9152	0.71930	184.34200	285	146	135
21	Pi-Rate Ratings	0.52075	11.0842	1.39360	189.81600	285	138	127
22	RP Excel 2	0.52326	13.7903	0.25280	318.65300	267	135	123
23	Line (updated)	0.52419	10.7544	0.37060	177.68300	285	65	59
24	Odds Shark	0.52536	11.1740	-0.49610	192.25200	285	145	131
25	Dan Hanson	0.52610	11.6109	-3.47050	212.94900	253	131	118
26	Talisman Red	0.52878	11.5526	-0.50000	218.23400	285	147	131

pct correct = percent straight up picking winners
against spread =  percent against the midweek line
absolute error = average(prediction - actual result)
bias = absolute value(prediction - actual result)
mean square error = absolute error squared
games collected
suw = straight up wins
sul = straight up losses
atsw = against the spread wins
atsl = against the spread losses