Computer Rating System Prediction Results for Pro football (NFL)

Through 2016-09-13
Rank System Pct. Correct Against Spread Absolute Error Bias Mean Square Error games suw sul atsw atsl
1Daniel Curry Index0.6250010.53190.13310163.6230016106
2bkambour0.562509.50000.62500152.226001697
3System Average0.5625010.59700.26070178.877001697
4Line (updated)0.500009.56250.25000161.340001644
5Massey Ratings0.5000010.53130.95000175.819001688
6System Median0.5000010.71780.21160178.280001688
7Cleanup Hitter0.5000014.03132.21880300.614001688
8bkerns0.4666711.56252.81250210.693001678
9bwhatif0.4375010.96872.35620193.117001679
10bdonchess0.4375011.2013-0.40250190.726001679
11bcrunch0.4375010.35000.12500183.289001679
12Line (opening)0.4166710.40630.78130179.071001657
13Pi-Rate Ratings0.4000010.1875-0.81250171.271001669
14FF-Winners0.4000011.25000.50000194.109001669
15ComPughter Ratings0.3750010.19620.51250167.3420016610
16btalis0.3750010.8313-1.68130214.2240016610
17bashby0.3750011.3750-0.25000192.6210016610
18bexcel0.3750013.1250-4.00000267.5000016610
19bargh0.3571411.31250.68750196.908001659
pct correct = percent straight up picking winners
against spread =  percent against the midweek line
absolute error = average(prediction - actual result)
bias = absolute value(prediction - actual result)
mean square error = absolute error squared
games collected
suw = straight up wins
sul = straight up losses
atsw = against the spread wins
atsl = against the spread losses