ThePredictionTracker NFL RESULTS

Computer Rating System Prediction Results for Pro football (NFL)

2017 Last Week

Through 2018-02-05

Rank	System	Pct. Correct	Against Spread	Absolute Error	Bias	Mean Square Error	games	suw	sul	atsw	atsl
1	ARGH Power Ratings	0.66667	0.87500	5.6667	3.00000	58.44400	9	6	3	7	1
2	TheSportsCruncher	0.50000	0.42857	8.7750	2.05000	93.27200	8	4	4	3	4
3	John Coffey	0.72727	1.00000	7.5182	0.84910	120.27000	11	8	3	10	0
4	Ashby AccuRatings	0.63636	0.80000	7.8182	1.09090	120.61900	11	7	4	8	2
5	Logistic Regression	0.81818	0.90000	8.4736	-1.45000	121.23400	11	9	2	9	1
6	Least Abs. Val Reg	0.81818	0.60000	6.9600	-0.00550	121.47300	11	9	2	6	4
7	Stat Fox	0.72727	0.66667	7.9091	0.81820	121.48500	11	8	3	6	3
8	Cleanup Hitter	0.63636	0.90000	7.8182	-2.72550	122.47700	11	7	4	9	1
9	Sonny Moore	0.72727	0.80000	7.9436	0.90550	123.58900	11	8	3	8	2
10	ThePowerRank.com	0.63636	0.90000	7.9364	0.28180	123.77900	11	7	4	9	1
11	LS - w/ team HFA	0.63636	0.60000	8.1900	0.17550	124.01100	11	7	4	6	4
12	Sagarin Points	0.63636	0.80000	7.9827	1.15730	125.89400	11	7	4	8	2
13	Sagarin Rating	0.63636	0.80000	8.0155	0.47910	126.19900	11	7	4	8	2
14	Least Squares	0.72727	0.88889	7.6818	0.53820	126.52700	11	8	3	8	1
15	Scoring Effeciency	0.63636	0.80000	7.5455	0.13090	126.98600	11	7	4	8	2
16	System Median	0.63636	0.80000	7.8800	0.62180	127.98000	11	7	4	8	2
17	Stephen Kerns	0.63636	0.70000	8.1182	0.13640	128.46800	11	7	4	7	3
18	TeamRankings.com	0.63636	0.80000	8.1000	1.39090	128.86100	11	7	4	8	2
19	Dwiggins	0.63636	0.80000	7.8636	0.98180	129.04200	11	7	4	8	2
20	Pythagorean Ratings	0.72727	0.70000	7.7973	0.56640	129.65200	11	8	3	7	3
21	Turnover Adj. regressio	0.63636	0.80000	8.0273	-0.42360	129.82400	11	7	4	8	2
22	Roundtable	0.71429	1.00000	7.8571	-1.28570	130.47800	7	5	2	6	0
23	Sagarin Golden Mean	0.72727	0.70000	8.5755	0.96640	130.52200	11	8	3	7	3
24	ESPN FPI	0.63636	0.80000	8.5955	2.49730	130.85300	11	7	4	8	2
25	PerformanZ Ratings	0.63636	0.80000	7.6973	-0.95730	130.97500	11	7	4	8	2
26	Dan Hanson	0.72727	0.70000	8.8536	0.41000	131.21500	11	8	3	7	3
27	System Average	0.63636	0.80000	7.9845	0.43550	131.48300	11	7	4	8	2
28	Bihl Rankings	0.72727	0.70000	8.1482	1.63360	131.86100	11	8	3	7	3
29	FF-Winners	0.63636	0.66667	8.8182	1.00000	133.09100	11	7	4	6	3
30	Massey Ratings	0.54545	1.00000	7.8009	0.12270	133.56700	11	6	5	10	0
31	Roger Johnson	0.63636	0.90000	7.8927	0.03820	135.22600	11	7	4	9	1
32	Lou St. John	0.72727	0.90000	7.5445	-1.14090	135.82400	11	8	3	9	1
33	Covers.com	0.63636	0.70000	9.0000	0.18180	136.08800	11	7	4	7	3
34	Points Per Game	0.63636	0.60000	8.6827	0.67730	137.46400	11	7	4	6	4
35	Turner Rateform	0.63636	0.90000	8.1182	-0.57640	137.72400	11	7	4	9	1
36	Pi-Rate Bias	0.72727	0.70000	8.2182	1.23640	138.30100	11	8	3	7	3
37	Pi-Rate Ratings	0.63636	0.80000	8.2455	1.19090	138.39900	11	7	4	8	2
38	Pigskin Index	0.63636	0.88889	8.2727	0.27270	138.44800	11	7	4	8	1
39	Talisman Red	0.81818	0.60000	8.2209	0.14640	138.49000	11	9	2	6	4
40	YourLinx	0.54545	0.90000	9.0109	-1.16550	140.62300	11	6	5	9	1
41	Beck Elo	0.54545	0.90000	8.2255	-1.19820	141.84000	11	6	5	9	1
42	Dokter Entropy	0.54545	0.70000	8.4482	1.68640	143.05700	11	6	5	7	3
43	Donchess Inference	0.63636	0.90000	8.4918	0.82820	143.15700	11	7	4	9	1
44	Pi-Rate Mean	0.63636	0.80000	8.4182	1.27270	143.39500	11	7	4	8	2
45	Laffaye RWP	0.63636	0.70000	8.4809	1.45000	145.49400	11	7	4	7	3
46	Sagarin Recent	0.63636	0.90000	9.0036	-2.12910	146.63000	11	7	4	9	1
47	ComPughter Ratings	0.63636	0.70000	8.1400	0.67090	148.95500	11	7	4	7	3
48	Kasulis Enhanced Spread	0.63636	0.70000	8.6182	-0.58180	151.04200	11	7	4	7	3
49	Daniel Curry Index	0.72727	0.70000	9.7655	1.54730	154.69400	11	8	3	7	3
50	What If Sports	0.54545	0.90000	8.9273	-3.72730	158.95000	11	6	5	9	1
51	Lee Burdorf	0.54545	0.60000	9.4364	-0.67270	161.71000	11	6	5	6	4
52	Kasulis ESP2	0.45455	0.70000	9.1636	0.01820	163.14500	11	5	6	7	3
53	NutShell Sports	0.72727	0.60000	9.2455	1.60910	166.78900	11	8	3	6	4
54	Computer Adjusted Line	0.45455	1.00000	9.3182	0.86360	166.86400	11	5	6	6	0
55	ProComputerGambler	0.45455	0.50000	9.3655	0.86180	169.51900	11	5	6	5	5
56	Dunkel Index	0.54545	0.50000	10.0755	3.82090	175.79100	11	6	5	5	5
57	RP Excel 2	0.71429	0.71429	10.7143	2.14290	176.05800	7	5	2	5	2
58	Line (opening)	0.45455	0.80000	9.6818	0.40910	178.28000	11	5	6	4	1
59	Line (updated)	0.45455	1.00000	9.6818	0.77270	181.10500	11	5	6	4	0
60	Line (Midweek)	0.45455		9.9545	0.95450	184.84900	11	5	6
61	Kalin Ratings	0.57143	0.83333	9.9514	-3.20000	186.70000	7	4	3	5	1
62	Game Time Decision	0.54545	0.70000	10.2718	1.63730	194.47400	11	6	5	7	3
63	RP Excel	0.57143	0.66667	10.7143	-0.14290	223.56900	7	4	3	4	2

pct correct = percent straight up picking winners
against spread =  percent against the midweek line
absolute error = average(prediction - actual result)
bias = absolute value(prediction - actual result)
mean square error = absolute error squared
games collected
suw = straight up wins
sul = straight up losses
atsw = against the spread wins
atsl = against the spread losses