ThePredictionTracker
 The prediction average is the average prediction of a set of computer ratings.
All lines are in reference to the home team.  +3 means the home team is favored 
to win by 3 points and -3 means the visitor is favored by 3 points.  I am using
predictions that are posted on the various ranking's pages or the ratings that
are sent to me.
These predictions are being used for research and informational purposes only. Disclaimer
Comma Separated File that can be read into Excel
Updated:  Thursday, September 18, 2014    10:23 AM

  Home                Visitor          Opening   Updated  Prediction  Prediction      Prediction          Prediction   Probability Home Team    Home                Visitor
                                         line     line       Avg.       Median     Standard Deviation     Min    Max       Wins    Covers

Atlanta            Tampa Bay             6.50      5.50      5.46        4.51            3.94            -1.60  17.36      0.6326  0.4989       Atlanta             Tampa Bay
Arizona            San Francisco        -3.00     -3.00      1.56        1.62            3.67            -5.60  11.00      0.5387  0.6118       Arizona             San Francisco
Buffalo            San Diego             0.00      2.50     -0.96       -0.79            4.59           -15.00   9.35      0.4765  0.4159       Buffalo             San Diego
Carolina           Pittsburgh            3.00      3.50      7.42        7.25            4.27            -0.84  16.97      0.6766  0.5957       Carolina            Pittsburgh
Cincinnati         Tennessee             7.00      6.50      9.73        9.32            4.32             0.47  23.00      0.7258  0.5789       Cincinnati          Tennessee
Cleveland          Baltimore             0.00     -2.00     -2.92       -2.40            3.77           -17.00   3.77      0.4278  0.4771       Cleveland           Baltimore
Detroit            Green Bay             1.00      2.50      2.43        2.95            4.08            -8.00  13.18      0.5599  0.4983       Detroit             Green Bay
Jacksonville       Indianapolis         -7.00     -7.00     -8.18       -8.22            4.78           -20.64   5.21      0.3083  0.4713       Jacksonville        Indianapolis
Miami              Kansas City           5.00      4.00      3.45        2.10            5.12            -6.88  19.00      0.5831  0.4866       Miami               Kansas City
N.Y. Giants        Houston              -2.50     -2.00      0.72        1.47            6.16           -16.20  13.30      0.5172  0.5644       N.Y. Giants         Houston
New England        Oakland              13.00     14.00     15.22       14.40            4.81             6.20  28.20      0.8241  0.5297       New England         Oakland
New Orleans        Minnesota             9.50     10.00      6.49        7.70            6.19            -5.44  20.68      0.6503  0.4172       New Orleans         Minnesota
Philadelphia       Washington            7.00      6.50      8.76        9.00            5.08           -10.00  19.50      0.7031  0.5547       Philadelphia        Washington
Seattle            Denver                4.50      5.00      5.06        4.61            4.42            -5.31  16.70      0.6224  0.5015       Seattle             Denver
St. Louis          Dallas               -1.00      1.00     -0.05        0.75            5.33           -15.00  15.38      0.4988  0.4746       St. Louis           Dallas
N.Y. Jets          Chicago               0.00      3.00     -1.44       -0.38            4.61           -21.00   5.80      0.4647  0.3925       N.Y. Jets           Chicago
___________________________________________________________________________________________

Sagarin Ed Kambour Football Ratings Pigskin Index
PerformanZ Ratings Dunkel Index NutShell Predictive Sonny Moore
ARGH Power Ratings Enhanced Spread Projections CPA Rankings Ashby AccuRatings

  Home               Visitor             LINE   SAG    PFZ    ARGH   KAM    DUNK   ESP    PIG    NSP    CPA    CPAR   MOR    ASHB      Home         Visitor

Atlanta            Tampa Bay             5.50   4.21   1.93   6.00   4.85   8.38   6.40   9.00   5.50  10.61  14.00   7.35   5.00    Atlanta       Tampa Bay
Arizona            San Francisco        -3.00  -4.40   1.62   2.00  -0.16  -4.87   2.00   3.00   0.50   6.09   6.26   6.13   2.00    Arizona       San Francisco
Buffalo            San Diego             2.50  -2.28  -1.79   2.00   1.94  -0.79   0.70  -2.00  -1.00   4.46   3.37   6.15  -3.00    Buffalo       San Diego
Carolina           Pittsburgh            3.50   2.93   6.22   8.00   9.22  -0.84  10.30   4.00   6.50  11.34   6.00   7.35   9.00    Carolina      Pittsburgh
Cincinnati         Tennessee             6.50   7.19  10.75   7.00  10.86   1.44  10.50  12.00  15.50  15.87  15.49   7.35  10.00    Cincinnati    Tennessee
Cleveland          Baltimore            -2.00  -3.57  -0.14  -2.00  -2.40  -4.62  -2.40  -1.00  -5.00  -7.04  -2.04   1.77  -4.00    Cleveland     Baltimore
Detroit            Green Bay             2.50  -3.11   3.40   2.00   3.31  -2.72   0.80   0.01   4.00   2.95  -2.42   9.64   4.00    Detroit       Green Bay
Jacksonville       Indianapolis         -7.00  -8.22 -13.45  -2.00 -13.15 -11.41  -7.90  -8.00 -15.50 -20.64 -11.19   1.91  -9.00    Jacksonville  Indianapolis
Miami              Kansas City           4.00  -0.37  -6.88   6.00   2.10   0.78   4.60   5.00   3.00   9.56  12.45   7.35   5.00    Miami         Kansas City
N.Y. Giants        Houston              -2.00   1.62   8.79   1.00  -0.11   6.49  -5.50   0.01   3.00  -9.88  -2.39  -5.40   1.00    N.Y. Giants   Houston
New England        Oakland              14.00  13.89  14.17  11.00  16.71  10.68  14.40  15.00  18.50  22.42  12.92   7.35  12.00    New England   Oakland
New Orleans        Minnesota            10.00   8.21  20.68   3.00  11.22  13.50   3.50   9.00   2.50  -1.74  -2.28  -0.90   5.00    New Orleans   Minnesota
Philadelphia       Washington            6.50   5.20   4.12   4.00   5.65   3.36   7.60   9.00  18.00   9.80  15.78   7.35   4.00    Philadelphia  Washington
Seattle            Denver                5.00   1.32   1.92   3.00   9.17   7.67   2.00   3.00   3.50   1.56  -5.31   2.67   4.00    Seattle       Denver
St. Louis          Dallas                1.00  -0.67   7.84   4.00  -2.72  -7.58  -0.60  -3.00   8.50  -5.93  -1.60  -0.90   0.01    St. Louis     Dallas
N.Y. Jets          Chicago               3.00  -3.44  -0.38   1.00  -3.24   5.41   0.70  -4.00   3.00  -4.07  -2.67   3.10   0.01    N.Y. Jets     Chicago



Dokter Entropy Scoring Effeciency Least Squares w/ team specific HFA Stat Fox
Pythagorean Ratings Turnover Adjusted Least squares Least Absolute Value Regression Sagarin Elo Score
Beck Elo Least Squares Regression Logistic Regression Sagarin Pure Points

  Home               Visitor             LINE   DOK    PYTH   ELO    EFF    TAL2   L2     L2HF   L1     LOG    FOX    SAGE  SAGP       Home         Visitor

Atlanta            Tampa Bay             5.50   4.07   4.10   0.80   3.62   3.75   1.69  -6.88   0.20   2.58   4.00   6.19   3.22    Atlanta       Tampa Bay
Arizona            San Francisco        -3.00  -0.21  -0.14   2.79   0.79   5.25   2.15  -1.12   1.82   2.80   1.00  -1.07  -5.56    Arizona       San Francisco
Buffalo            San Diego             2.50  -0.46  -1.57  -6.12  -0.15  -7.09  -9.78  -2.31 -10.08  -5.00  -5.00   0.96  -3.63    Buffalo       San Diego
Carolina           Pittsburgh            3.50   8.36   8.14   6.25   6.49  -0.70   2.17  14.94   3.10  -8.67  10.00   4.80   1.73    Carolina      Pittsburgh
Cincinnati         Tennessee             6.50  10.46   8.37   9.19   6.83   0.47   9.70   7.34   9.32   7.00  12.00   8.99   5.97    Cincinnati    Tennessee
Cleveland          Baltimore            -2.00  -3.85   0.15  -2.79   1.02  -9.91  -7.97  -7.00  -8.37  -7.00  -1.00  -1.34  -4.22    Cleveland     Baltimore
Detroit            Green Bay             2.50   2.64   4.35   0.55   4.03  13.18   8.08  15.23   6.08  -2.45   7.00  -0.63  -4.12    Detroit       Green Bay
Jacksonville       Indianapolis         -7.00 -10.37  -6.78  -8.63  -4.83  -8.39  -6.20  -0.60  -6.46  -0.76 -10.00  -4.69  -9.14    Jacksonville  Indianapolis
Miami              Kansas City           4.00   4.15  -2.75  -5.94  -0.77   3.92   1.87  -4.76   2.37  14.60   1.00   3.20  -1.72    Miami         Kansas City
N.Y. Giants        Houston              -2.00  -0.69   5.41   5.20   4.96   9.88  -2.29 -10.56  -4.37   3.43   6.00   1.56   2.05    N.Y. Giants   Houston
New England        Oakland              14.00  19.57  12.64  20.21  10.32   7.77  20.74   7.00  20.75   7.00  26.00  13.98  12.95    New England   Oakland
New Orleans        Minnesota            10.00   8.59  10.53  11.17   8.81  -2.20  -4.83 -11.45  -5.44 -10.53   9.00   7.83   7.84    New Orleans   Minnesota
Philadelphia       Washington            6.50   9.66  10.81  10.94   9.11   7.43  14.33   6.54  13.18   7.00  14.00   6.67   4.34    Philadelphia  Washington
Seattle            Denver                5.00   4.75   4.73   2.17   4.19   9.66  10.03   8.99   9.06   6.58  12.00   2.36   0.62    Seattle       Denver
St. Louis          Dallas                1.00  -4.13   1.98   5.09   2.47  -1.81   4.44   7.84   4.23   8.56   1.00   1.24  -1.36    St. Louis     Dallas
N.Y. Jets          Chicago               3.00  -2.64  -0.43   0.04   0.39   1.86 -10.18 -13.90  -8.52  -3.55  -2.00  -1.59  -4.06    N.Y. Jets     Chicago



Massey Ratings What If Sports Stephen Kerns
Laffaye RWP Game Time Decision Lee Burdorf Steven Jens
Laffaye XWP Points Per Game RP Excel Covers.com

  Home               Visitor             LINE   MASS   LRWP   LXWP   WHIF   GAME   PPG           BURD   RPXL   KRNS   JENS   CVRS      Home         Visitor

Atlanta            Tampa Bay             5.50   4.00    .      .     3.00    .     1.69          7.40  16.00  -0.10  12.70   8.75    Atlanta       Tampa Bay
Arizona            San Francisco        -3.00   0.01    .      .    -4.00    .    -3.14          7.30  11.00   2.40   2.80   1.00    Arizona       San Francisco
Buffalo            San Diego             2.50  -3.00    .      .     2.00    .    -5.28         -7.80  -3.00   4.90   8.70   2.00    Buffalo       San Diego
Carolina           Pittsburgh            3.50  10.00    .      .     3.00    .     7.03         13.20  13.00  13.30  13.70   7.25    Carolina      Pittsburgh
Cincinnati         Tennessee             6.50   8.00    .      .     4.00    .     8.54         12.50   9.00  12.40  17.00  10.50    Cincinnati    Tennessee
Cleveland          Baltimore            -2.00  -3.00    .      .    -4.00    .    -3.13          0.60  -2.00  -6.80  -3.20   0.01    Cleveland     Baltimore
Detroit            Green Bay             2.50   3.00    .      .    -8.00    .     3.06          6.00  -6.00   4.50   6.90  -0.75    Detroit       Green Bay
Jacksonville       Indianapolis         -7.00  -7.00    .      .   -11.00    .   -13.57        -15.80  -3.00  -9.30  -8.70  -4.50    Jacksonville  Indianapolis
Miami              Kansas City           4.00   3.00    .      .     1.00    .    -7.42          0.30  11.00   8.40  17.60   4.25    Miami         Kansas City
N.Y. Giants        Houston              -2.00   3.00    .      .    -5.00    .     4.94          1.40   2.00 -16.20  -4.10   0.01    N.Y. Giants   Houston
New England        Oakland              14.00  16.00    .      .    13.00    .    15.69         28.20  14.00  13.20  20.50  15.25    New England   Oakland
New Orleans        Minnesota            10.00   7.00    .      .     3.00    .    12.71          7.70  16.00  -0.40   6.00   6.00    New Orleans   Minnesota
Philadelphia       Washington            6.50   7.00    .      .     7.00    .    13.41         15.00  10.00  -2.70  11.90   8.75    Philadelphia  Washington
Seattle            Denver                5.00   4.00    .      .     1.00    .    -0.33         16.70  11.00   1.40   9.40   1.75    Seattle       Denver
St. Louis          Dallas                1.00   2.00    .      .    -5.00    .    -0.44         -3.90   1.00 -10.90  -7.80   0.75    St. Louis     Dallas
N.Y. Jets          Chicago               3.00  -1.00    .      .    -3.00    .    -3.00          0.70   1.00  -3.70 -10.90  -1.25    N.Y. Jets     Chicago



Computer Adjusted Line Ed Bemiss Sunshine
directorofinformation.com Donchess Inference David and Pasteur Locksmith
Pi-Rate ratings Dwiggins Sportrends

  Home               Visitor             LINE   CAL    PiR    PiM    PiB    DON    DOI    SUNP   SUNF   DWIG    ST   LOCK   DaP        Home         Visitor

Atlanta            Tampa Bay             5.50   5.50   4.10   6.70   4.10   4.73  -0.15    .      .     8.70   2.00    .    4.82     Atlanta       Tampa Bay
Arizona            San Francisco        -3.00  -2.00   3.30   1.70   3.90   4.37  -0.15    .      .     8.25  -1.00    .    2.45     Arizona       San Francisco
Buffalo            San Diego             2.50   2.00  -3.20  -1.40  -3.30   1.48  -0.85    .      .    -3.25  -4.00    .    2.37     Buffalo       San Diego
Carolina           Pittsburgh            3.50   4.00   8.00   3.90   8.60   6.64   4.33    .      .    15.25  10.00    .    4.97     Carolina      Pittsburgh
Cincinnati         Tennessee             6.50   7.00   8.40  11.40   7.70   6.67   4.96    .      .    12.50   9.00    .    5.48     Cincinnati    Tennessee
Cleveland          Baltimore            -2.00  -2.00  -3.20  -3.90  -2.50  -2.36  -2.46    .      .    -5.35  -1.00    .   -0.11     Cleveland     Baltimore
Detroit            Green Bay             2.50   2.50   2.60   0.60   3.80   2.98   1.71    .      .     3.20   1.50    .    8.72     Detroit       Green Bay
Jacksonville       Indianapolis         -7.00  -7.00 -13.10 -13.30 -14.30  -4.38  -4.84    .      .   -11.50 -11.00    .   -5.01     Jacksonville  Indianapolis
Miami              Kansas City           4.00   4.00   1.10   0.80   0.80   4.83   0.70    .      .     7.55  -3.00    .    4.68     Miami         Kansas City
N.Y. Giants        Houston              -2.00  -1.50   3.60   2.80   3.00   5.66   2.55    .      .    -8.00   7.00    .   -1.19     N.Y. Giants   Houston
New England        Oakland              14.00  14.00  19.40  18.70  19.50  11.29  12.92    .      .    15.85  16.00    .    8.06     New England   Oakland
New Orleans        Minnesota            10.00   9.50  15.50  14.30  17.00   5.06   9.35    .      .    -1.10  16.50    .    3.36     New Orleans   Minnesota
Philadelphia       Washington            6.50   6.50   9.40  10.40   9.40   8.18   8.24    .      .     7.10  13.50    .    9.15     Philadelphia  Washington
Seattle            Denver                5.00   5.00   5.60   3.60   5.50   4.61   3.58    .      .     8.90   1.50    .    3.52     Seattle       Denver
St. Louis          Dallas                1.00   1.00  -2.80  -2.00  -4.10   3.25   2.03    .      .    -3.10   4.00    .   -2.27     St. Louis     Dallas
N.Y. Jets          Chicago               3.00   2.00   1.00  -0.20   0.40   2.92  -2.69    .      .     3.10   1.00    .    3.41     N.Y. Jets     Chicago



Line (Midweek) Michael Robert Ratings FF-Winners Roundtable
Lou St. John Compughter Ratings Oddsshark John Coffey
Talisman Red MDS Model Roger Johnson Ironrank.com

  Home               Visitor             LINE   MWL    STJ     TR    MRR    PUGH   MDS    FFW     OS     RJ    RNDT   CFFY   IRON      Home         Visitor

Atlanta            Tampa Bay             5.50   5.50   4.51   2.78   4.18   4.53   1.71  10.50  -1.60    .     5.00    .     3.88    Atlanta       Tampa Bay
Arizona            San Francisco        -3.00  -3.00  -0.06  -0.33  -0.66   0.41   4.07   7.00   1.70    .    -3.00    .     1.04    Arizona       San Francisco
Buffalo            San Diego             2.50   2.50   2.49  -6.80   1.29   0.83   6.01  -4.00  -2.80    .     4.00    .     0.26    Buffalo       San Diego
Carolina           Pittsburgh            3.50   3.50   6.95  11.15   5.41  16.97  12.24  10.00   0.60    .    15.00    .     6.29    Carolina      Pittsburgh
Cincinnati         Tennessee             6.50   6.50   3.94   9.75   5.00  12.62  16.30  14.00  11.80    .    23.00    .     7.40    Cincinnati    Tennessee
Cleveland          Baltimore            -2.00  -2.00  -1.69  -3.62  -0.39  -6.54  -6.14  -1.50  -5.30    .   -17.00    .     0.17    Cleveland     Baltimore
Detroit            Green Bay             2.50   2.50   3.68   3.34   2.55   6.06   2.94  -3.50   7.40    .     7.00    .     3.71    Detroit       Green Bay
Jacksonville       Indianapolis         -7.00  -7.00  -3.23  -8.18  -3.38 -17.30  -7.37  -9.00  -5.80    .   -15.00    .    -4.34    Jacksonville  Indianapolis
Miami              Kansas City           4.00   4.00   3.81  -0.86   2.00   7.81   8.32   9.00  -1.90    .    19.00    .     2.07    Miami         Kansas City
N.Y. Giants        Houston              -2.00  -2.00  -0.44   7.59   3.02  -7.27  -4.68  -0.50   1.10    .   -15.00    .     1.47    N.Y. Giants   Houston
New England        Oakland              14.00  14.00  15.09  14.98   9.33  20.18  13.05  17.50  18.00    .    11.00    .    11.33    New England   Oakland
New Orleans        Minnesota            10.00  10.00   8.37   9.50   7.72   3.24   2.62   8.00   5.30    .    -3.00    .     5.60    New Orleans   Minnesota
Philadelphia       Washington            6.50   6.50   5.66  12.07   6.05   6.44   4.85  14.00  18.90    .   -10.00    .     6.38    Philadelphia  Washington
Seattle            Denver                5.00   5.00  11.45   5.28   5.16   4.84   7.28   7.00   2.10    .    13.00    .     4.63    Seattle       Denver
St. Louis          Dallas                1.00   1.00   2.68   4.76   2.01  -8.46  -3.27   4.50   2.30    .   -15.00    .     0.87    St. Louis     Dallas
N.Y. Jets          Chicago               3.00   3.00  -6.43   0.77   0.74  -9.60  -4.53   1.50   1.10    .   -21.00    .     0.59    N.Y. Jets     Chicago



Pointshare Ratings Daniel Curry Index Bihl Rankings
YourLinx Turner Ratform Sagarin Golden Mean Nutshell Girl
Nutshell Combo Brent Craig 1 & 2 Cleanup Hitter Foreshadow Sports

  Home               Visitor             LINE    PS    TURN    YL    BIHL   SGM    GIRL   NSC    BC1    BC2     CH   DCI     FS        Home         Visitor

Atlanta            Tampa Bay             5.50    .    17.36   5.38    .     5.44  10.25   7.87    .      .     1.20   3.10   4.00    Atlanta       Tampa Bay
Arizona            San Francisco        -3.00    .     9.50   5.38    .    -1.57   0.81   0.66    .      .    -5.60  -0.30   4.00    Arizona       San Francisco
Buffalo            San Diego             2.50    .     9.35  -0.71    .     0.37   2.25   0.63    .      .    -2.40 -15.00  -4.00    Buffalo       San Diego
Carolina           Pittsburgh            3.50    .     9.64   7.40    .     5.25  12.93   9.72    .      .     3.00   5.00   5.00    Carolina      Pittsburgh
Cincinnati         Tennessee             6.50    .     9.72  12.21    .     8.66  17.75  16.63    .      .     7.10  13.20   8.00    Cincinnati    Tennessee
Cleveland          Baltimore            -2.00    .     3.77  -4.08    .    -1.70   2.63  -1.18    .      .     2.60 -12.40   3.00    Cleveland     Baltimore
Detroit            Green Bay             2.50    .     2.71  -1.35    .    -0.48   1.81   2.91    .      .     3.40  -5.70   4.00    Detroit       Green Bay
Jacksonville       Indianapolis         -7.00    .     5.21  -8.22    .    -5.61 -11.00 -13.25    .      .    -0.10  -5.40  -3.00    Jacksonville  Indianapolis
Miami              Kansas City           4.00    .    13.07   7.69    .     1.88   2.00   2.50    .      .    -1.20   1.60  -1.00    Miami         Kansas City
N.Y. Giants        Houston              -2.00    .   -13.49   7.65    .     0.74   5.56   4.28    .      .    10.30  13.30   6.00    N.Y. Giants   Houston
New England        Oakland              14.00    .    14.44  20.87    .    13.97  18.50  18.50    .      .     6.20  26.40  10.00    New England   Oakland
New Orleans        Minnesota            10.00    .    -4.78  -0.02    .     8.48  -0.25   1.13    .      .     6.90  16.80   9.00    New Orleans   Minnesota
Philadelphia       Washington            6.50    .     9.42  15.22    .     6.14  19.50  18.75    .      .     9.30  15.80   9.00    Philadelphia  Washington
Seattle            Denver                5.00    .    -2.62   0.78    .     3.11   5.50   4.50    .      .    -5.10  15.90   6.00    Seattle       Denver
St. Louis          Dallas                1.00    .     2.55   6.56    .     0.88  15.38  11.94    .      .    -0.70   8.30   3.00    St. Louis     Dallas
N.Y. Jets          Chicago               3.00    .     2.63   2.72    .    -1.37  -5.00  -1.00    .      .     1.80   5.80  -4.00    N.Y. Jets     Chicago



Season Totals