ThePredictionTracker
 The prediction average is the average prediction of a set of computer ratings.
All lines are in reference to the home team.  +3 means the home team is favored 
to win by 3 points and -3 means the visitor is favored by 3 points.  I am using
predictions that are posted on the various ranking's pages or the ratings that
are sent to me.
These predictions are being used for research and informational purposes only. Disclaimer Comma Separated File that can be read into Excel
More NFL picks at Doc's
Updated:    Friday, September 23, 2016    10:02 AM

  Home                Visitor          Opening   Updated  Midweek   Prediction  Prediction    Prediction       Prediction     Probability Home Team
                                         line     line     line        Avg.       Median    Standard Deviation  Min  Max         Wins    Covers

New England        Houston              -1.50      0.00      0.00      3.36        5.43           6.21       -19.90  11.90      0.5690    0.5690
Buffalo            Arizona              -5.00     -3.50     -3.50     -4.89       -4.52           3.94       -13.66   8.22      0.3962    0.4695
Carolina           Minnesota             7.50      7.00      7.00      6.39        6.23           4.35        -8.78  16.22      0.6313    0.4866
Cincinnati         Denver                3.00      3.00      3.00      0.15        1.30           4.28       -19.19   6.20      0.5033    0.4385
Dallas             Chicago               7.50      7.00      7.00      3.69        4.68           5.86       -20.49  14.74      0.5763    0.4314
Green Bay          Detroit               8.50      7.00      7.50      6.87        7.10           4.25        -4.50  23.99      0.6404    0.4972
Indianapolis       San Diego             3.00      3.00      3.00     -0.99        0.02           4.65       -13.70   9.30      0.4785    0.4155
Jacksonville       Baltimore             0.00     -1.50     -1.00     -3.86       -3.79           4.95       -23.20  11.18      0.4187    0.4496
Kansas City        N.Y. Jets             3.50      3.00      3.00      4.74        4.11           4.56        -5.00  20.01      0.5997    0.5377
Miami              Cleveland             7.50      9.50      9.50      6.68        7.90           4.72       -15.90  12.66      0.6357    0.4396
N.Y. Giants        Washington            4.00      3.50      4.50      5.77        4.88           4.20        -1.20  20.00      0.6201    0.5492
Philadelphia       Pittsburgh           -3.50     -3.50     -3.50     -1.49       -2.97           6.01       -10.50  21.41      0.4688    0.5419
Seattle            San Francisco        10.00      9.50      9.50      5.13        7.00           7.74       -18.00  18.10      0.5992    0.4149
Tampa Bay          Los Angeles           3.50      4.50      5.50      2.32        1.96           4.96        -7.00  16.50      0.5496    0.4535
Tennessee          Oakland               0.00      1.50      1.50      1.58       -0.27           7.34       -14.00  30.41      0.5318    0.5016
New Orleans        Atlanta               3.00      3.00      3.00      1.34        1.60           2.96        -6.82   9.00      0.5299    0.4631
___________________________________________________________________________________________

Sagarin Ed Kambour Football Ratings Pigskin Index Enhanced Spread Projections
PerformanZ Ratings Dunkel Index NutShell Predictive Sonny Moore
ARGH Power Ratings CPA Retro CPA Rankings Ashby AccuRatings

  Home               Visitor             LINE   SAG    PFZ    ARGH   KAM    DUNK   ESP    PIG    NSP    CPA    CPAR   MOR    ASHB      Home         Visitor

New England        Houston               0.00   6.44   0.73   5.00   9.87   7.29   3.00   9.00   8.25   7.61   7.11   6.41   4.00    New England   Houston
Buffalo            Arizona              -3.50  -3.29 -10.50  -3.00  -2.10  -6.31  -6.90  -5.00  -3.25   1.05  -4.22  -7.72  -4.00    Buffalo       Arizona
Carolina           Minnesota             7.00   4.20   5.32   3.00   7.26   8.88   2.80   6.00   6.50   1.84   1.33  10.76   4.00    Carolina      Minnesota
Cincinnati         Denver                3.00   1.79  -4.39  -1.00   1.29  -1.09  -0.20   2.00   1.75  -0.54  -0.75  -4.04   2.00    Cincinnati    Denver
Dallas             Chicago               7.00   6.43   4.25   3.00   1.64   8.49   6.30  10.00   5.75  12.47   9.60   7.68   3.00    Dallas        Chicago
Green Bay          Detroit               7.00   8.23   9.33   5.00  10.38   7.11   7.80  12.00   3.25   8.66   9.57   7.05   5.00    Green Bay     Detroit
Indianapolis       San Diego             3.00   2.38  -4.76   2.00   0.13  -0.72  -3.30   4.00   0.50   1.94   1.42  -2.86  -1.00    Indianapolis  San Diego
Jacksonville       Baltimore            -1.50  -1.76  -6.97  -4.00  -4.38  -7.13  -4.40   0.01  -0.25  -4.07  -4.24  -8.18  -4.00    Jacksonville  Baltimore
Kansas City        N.Y. Jets             3.00   3.48   2.59   5.00   7.96   4.32   3.20   5.00   3.00   2.75   4.27   0.10   7.00    Kansas City   N.Y. Jets
Miami              Cleveland             9.50   8.84   3.61   5.00   5.47   8.68   8.30   9.00   8.25   6.94  10.80  10.22   6.00    Miami         Cleveland
N.Y. Giants        Washington            3.50   6.38   9.62   5.00   3.42   9.31   6.00   8.00   4.75  17.59  12.89   6.10   4.00    N.Y. Giants   Washington
Philadelphia       Pittsburgh           -3.50  -2.52  -0.04   1.00  -4.61  -4.54  -4.50  -5.00  -2.25   1.19  -9.17  -5.66   1.00    Philadelphia  Pittsburgh
Seattle            San Francisco         9.50   5.76  -3.02   5.00  13.83   8.21   5.10  12.00  -2.75   4.26   2.05   6.81   6.00    Seattle       San Francisco
Tampa Bay          Los Angeles           4.50   2.34   5.64   1.00  -3.80   1.96  -1.00   3.00   9.50   7.20  10.69  -3.38   2.00    Tampa Bay     Los Angeles
Tennessee          Oakland               1.50  -1.02   5.41   1.00  -4.78  -1.27   1.30  -1.00  -1.25   8.70   5.78  -0.86   2.00    Tennessee     Oakland
New Orleans        Atlanta               3.00   1.21   4.22  -1.00   3.03   4.51  -0.90   2.00   8.50  -1.41  -1.18   2.06  -2.00    New Orleans   Atlanta



Dokter Entropy Scoring Effeciency Least Squares w/ team specific HFA Sagarin recent/pred/golden mean
Pythagorean Ratings Hank Trexler Least Absolute Value Regression Turnover adjusted Least Squares
Beck Elo Least Squares Regression Logistic Regression

  Home               Visitor             LINE   DOK    PYTH   ELO    EFF     L1    L2     L2TO   LTHF   LOG    SGM    SAGR  SAGP       Home         Visitor

New England        Houston               0.00  -1.79  -2.01   6.11   0.28  -6.85  -6.39  -7.03  -4.87  -7.00   6.31   6.20   6.60    New England   Houston
Buffalo            Arizona              -3.50  -3.43 -13.66  -7.58  -7.81  -6.34  -7.08  -5.75   8.41  -3.32  -3.12  -3.19  -3.55    Buffalo       Arizona
Carolina           Minnesota             7.00   8.32   2.69   6.47   3.19  -2.62  -1.62   4.69   3.63  -7.00   3.31   3.20   4.92    Carolina      Minnesota
Cincinnati         Denver                3.00   4.23  -6.32   3.24  -2.50   0.12  -0.68  -2.08   8.80  -5.02   1.40   1.31   2.12    Cincinnati    Denver
Dallas             Chicago               7.00   6.57  14.74   4.75   9.64   6.35   5.60   3.89   2.38   4.48   6.74   6.83   6.16    Dallas        Chicago
Green Bay          Detroit               7.00   6.67   2.35   9.64   2.67   1.24   1.82  -1.51  12.21   9.57   7.90   7.78   8.55    Green Bay     Detroit
Indianapolis       San Diego             3.00   0.22  -8.60  -6.74  -6.04  -5.15  -5.58  -3.38   1.04  -3.28   2.85   2.63   2.19    Indianapolis  San Diego
Jacksonville       Baltimore            -1.50  -5.38 -13.18  -4.34  -5.61 -10.89 -10.37  -9.69  -4.09  -7.00  -2.55  -2.73  -1.12    Jacksonville  Baltimore
Kansas City        N.Y. Jets             3.00   0.93   0.79   0.72   2.03  10.01   9.83  11.95   2.04   7.00   3.80   3.72   3.30    Kansas City   N.Y. Jets
Miami              Cleveland             9.50   8.11   8.45  12.66   6.26   6.51   6.35   3.18  14.41   9.90   7.80   7.74   9.54    Miami         Cleveland
N.Y. Giants        Washington            3.50   5.32  14.37   9.09   9.15   0.94   1.61   3.29   4.23   8.61   7.17   7.32   5.71    N.Y. Giants   Washington
Philadelphia       Pittsburgh           -3.50  -7.01   4.97  -4.56   4.02   9.11   8.83   5.42  -3.54   7.00  -2.61  -2.49  -2.54    Philadelphia  Pittsburgh
Seattle            San Francisco         9.50   7.55  -5.12  -2.95  -0.22  -1.14  -2.02  -1.36  -2.63   3.93   6.39   6.12   5.51    Seattle       San Francisco
Tampa Bay          Los Angeles           4.50   2.46   8.45   4.34   8.98  -3.45  -3.10  -0.03   7.34 -10.20   2.48   2.57   2.11    Tampa Bay     Los Angeles
Tennessee          Oakland               1.50   0.69   0.46   4.37   1.45  13.26  13.61  10.72  -3.42   7.00  -0.70  -0.54  -1.41    Tennessee     Oakland
New Orleans        Atlanta               3.00   0.14   1.37   0.85   1.72   3.20   3.49   1.21  -1.02  -7.00   0.46   0.41   1.73    New Orleans   Atlanta



Pi-Ratings Donchess Inference ESPN FPI Stephen Kerns
Pro Computer Gambler Stat Fox Lee Burdorf Steven Jens
DirectorOfInformation.com Covers.com

  Home               Visitor             LINE   PiR    PiM    PiB    DONC   FOX    ESPN   PCG    BURD   DOI    KRNS   JENS   CVRS      Home         Visitor

New England        Houston               0.00   2.60  -0.70   2.70   5.88   9.00   4.70   3.85   6.60   7.96   4.40  11.90   2.50    New England   Houston
Buffalo            Arizona              -3.50  -7.90  -4.50  -8.70  -5.22  -5.00  -2.20   5.22  -3.90  -1.57 -13.50  -9.10  -4.00    Buffalo       Arizona
Carolina           Minnesota             7.00   9.50   9.30   9.90   6.68  10.00   6.52   8.96   8.90   4.04  15.20   8.80   6.00    Carolina      Minnesota
Cincinnati         Denver                3.00   3.50   6.20   4.30   4.68   4.00   2.28   3.86   0.50   2.23  -0.90   1.20   2.00    Cincinnati    Denver
Dallas             Chicago               7.00   2.20   4.60   2.00   2.18   7.00   4.45   5.16   7.40   6.52   4.30   8.50   8.00    Dallas        Chicago
Green Bay          Detroit               7.00   7.70   7.20   8.10   7.08  10.00  11.43   0.86  13.40   6.27   5.30  10.50   8.50    Green Bay     Detroit
Indianapolis       San Diego             3.00   0.20   1.00  -0.70   2.69  -3.00   3.40   5.15 -11.00   2.63 -12.60  -6.50   2.00    Indianapolis  San Diego
Jacksonville       Baltimore            -1.50  -0.60  -1.00  -1.00  -0.52  -6.00   1.29  -0.13  -6.50  -1.47  -6.10  -4.60  -1.00    Jacksonville  Baltimore
Kansas City        N.Y. Jets             3.00   0.90   2.90   0.40   4.88   6.00   4.08   7.14   2.20   5.09  -2.60   4.80   4.00    Kansas City   N.Y. Jets
Miami              Cleveland             9.50   9.20   9.00   9.80   7.68   8.00  12.27   9.40  11.10   5.49   6.70  12.50   8.50    Miami         Cleveland
N.Y. Giants        Washington            3.50   4.20   2.70   4.50   5.58   1.00   6.26   3.33   5.20   6.57  11.90  11.20   4.50    N.Y. Giants   Washington
Philadelphia       Pittsburgh           -3.50  -2.90  -5.50  -4.80  -4.12  -6.00  -3.12  -3.91  -6.50  -0.62  -2.30  -7.30  -4.50    Philadelphia  Pittsburgh
Seattle            San Francisco         9.50  13.80   9.50  14.40  13.48  15.00   8.60   1.50   7.20   2.12  -5.20   3.50  11.00    Seattle       San Francisco
Tampa Bay          Los Angeles           4.50   1.50   0.90   1.20   1.98  -1.00   5.62   0.68  -5.00   5.80   0.20   6.90   5.50    Tampa Bay     Los Angeles
Tennessee          Oakland               1.50  -0.80   0.50  -1.20  -0.62  -5.00   0.94   0.43  -1.20   3.90   5.50   6.40  -1.00    Tennessee     Oakland
New Orleans        Atlanta               3.00   5.20   4.70   4.60   1.38   1.00   3.82   7.74   2.40   2.68   2.10  -0.70   1.00    New Orleans   Atlanta



Computer Adjusted Line kalin Ratings RP Excel Yourlinx
Laffaye RWP Lou St. John IronRank.com Daniel Curry Index
Massey Ratings What If Sports Enhanced Spread Projections Sportrends

  Home               Visitor             LINE   CAL    WHIF   MASS   KLN    STJ    LRWP   RPXL   YL     ESP2    ST    DCI   IRON       Home         Visitor

New England        Houston               0.00   0.50  -2.60   7.23   4.84   5.15 -11.13   5.00   5.70   1.00    .     6.04  5.09     New England   Houston
Buffalo            Arizona              -3.50  -3.50  -5.60  -4.52  -3.91  -4.45  -7.15   1.00  -0.14  -5.70    .    -8.46 -1.53     Buffalo       Arizona
Carolina           Minnesota             7.00   7.00   5.30   4.67   7.15   7.47   3.29   9.00   3.74   4.90    .     9.57  5.40     Carolina      Minnesota
Cincinnati         Denver                3.00   3.00  -1.00  -0.16   0.89   1.77 -14.25  -7.00   0.42   1.40    .    -5.17  2.34     Cincinnati    Denver
Dallas             Chicago               7.00   7.00  -4.30   0.72   4.50   5.19  -8.17  -8.00   1.89   6.90    .     6.38  4.29     Dallas        Chicago
Green Bay          Detroit               7.00   7.00  11.40   5.86   6.94   8.82   1.80  15.00   3.91   7.60    .     9.51  4.95     Green Bay     Detroit
Indianapolis       San Diego             3.00   2.50   9.30  -0.20   2.47   0.64  -9.53  -1.00   8.42  -0.10    .     1.04  0.14     Indianapolis  San Diego
Jacksonville       Baltimore            -1.50  -1.50  -1.00  -4.04  -2.05  -3.66  -9.38  -3.00  -3.92  -2.70    .   -12.32 -0.91     Jacksonville  Baltimore
Kansas City        N.Y. Jets             3.00   3.00   2.40   5.80   4.04   3.37  12.57   7.00   6.14   3.10    .     1.10  4.14     Kansas City   N.Y. Jets
Miami              Cleveland             9.50   9.50   7.40   6.21   6.77   8.84  -5.47  12.00   8.03   8.90    .     8.54  5.46     Miami         Cleveland
N.Y. Giants        Washington            3.50   3.50   1.00   2.93   4.64   4.33  11.96   4.00  -1.20   5.20    .     5.76  4.16     N.Y. Giants   Washington
Philadelphia       Pittsburgh           -3.50  -3.50  -9.30  -5.58  -3.86  -4.08  12.23  -1.00  -0.21  -4.00    .    -2.94 -1.03     Philadelphia  Pittsburgh
Seattle            San Francisco         9.50   9.50  12.30  12.01   9.15  10.16 -10.41  10.00   8.15   7.60    .     8.33  7.38     Seattle       San Francisco
Tampa Bay          Los Angeles           4.50   4.00   2.50  -1.96   0.96   0.52  -5.04  -7.00   1.79   1.80    .    -5.52  1.11     Tampa Bay     Los Angeles
Tennessee          Oakland               1.50   1.50  -1.20  -4.56  -2.82  -2.02  17.17  -2.00  -9.26   1.40    .    -2.48  0.39     Tennessee     Oakland
New Orleans        Atlanta               3.00   3.00  -3.10   0.01   0.94   2.52  -6.82  -4.00   4.75   1.10    .     2.63  1.94     New Orleans   Atlanta



ThePowerRank.com MDS Model TeamRankings Game Time Decision
Dwiggins Points per game ComPughter Ratigs FF-Winners
Talisman Red Cleanup Hitter The Sports Cruncher Roundtable

  Home               Visitor             LINE    PR    CUH    TRED   MDS    PUGH    TR    PPG    DWIG   FFW    GAME   TSC    RND       Home         Visitor

New England        Houston               0.00   8.20   7.00   6.38   7.43   6.80   8.20   8.00  -0.60   9.00   0.01   1.00   9.00    New England   Houston
Buffalo            Arizona              -3.50  -5.10  -1.00  -6.95  -2.41 -13.32  -4.50  -9.50  -8.50  -2.00  -2.00  -4.30 -11.00    Buffalo       Arizona
Carolina           Minnesota             7.00   9.10  11.00   4.49   5.28  10.68   5.90  14.00   1.00   7.00   7.00   4.80  15.00    Carolina      Minnesota
Cincinnati         Denver                3.00   2.90   1.50   2.56   4.70  -0.29   3.10  -6.00   3.35   2.00   3.00  -2.80   5.00    Cincinnati    Denver
Dallas             Chicago               7.00   6.60   1.50  -1.82  -0.67   3.53   5.10  11.00   1.25   6.00   6.00   3.50  -5.00    Dallas        Chicago
Green Bay          Detroit               7.00  11.30   0.50   5.11   7.12   6.23   9.10  -4.50   6.40   7.00   9.00   3.20   6.00    Green Bay     Detroit
Indianapolis       San Diego             3.00   7.30   1.00   0.54   2.94  -6.67   0.50  -3.00  -0.45   1.00   2.50  -3.90   4.00    Indianapolis  San Diego
Jacksonville       Baltimore            -1.50   1.90   4.00  -3.60   1.60  -6.50  -0.40   1.50  -6.65  -1.00   0.50   1.20   0.01    Jacksonville  Baltimore
Kansas City        N.Y. Jets             3.00   5.50   0.01   9.99   6.85   5.35   6.60  -5.00   6.25   6.00   4.50   2.70  17.00    Kansas City   N.Y. Jets
Miami              Cleveland             9.50   8.00   2.50   4.89   4.82   8.53   9.60   4.00  10.15   7.00   6.50   8.90  -1.00    Miami         Cleveland
N.Y. Giants        Washington            3.50   1.80   2.50  -0.12   2.55   2.74   6.50   0.50  13.10   4.00   6.50   4.30   5.00    N.Y. Giants   Washington
Philadelphia       Pittsburgh           -3.50  -7.10   2.00  -3.40  -3.34  -6.92  -3.40   0.01  -0.25  -3.00  -4.50 -10.50  -1.00    Philadelphia  Pittsburgh
Seattle            San Francisco         9.50  18.10   9.00  14.92  15.85   1.12  10.10 -18.00  -3.60  11.00   9.00  11.70 -12.00    Seattle       San Francisco
Tampa Bay          Los Angeles           4.50   5.20   9.50  -1.82    .    -0.27   1.70  16.50  -6.55   1.00   3.00   7.80   9.00    Tampa Bay     Los Angeles
Tennessee          Oakland               1.50  -3.60   1.00  -4.74  -1.68   1.36  -1.90 -13.50   2.15  -1.00   0.01   4.90  12.00    Tennessee     Oakland
New Orleans        Atlanta               3.00   1.90   2.50  -0.97   2.19   1.71   2.70  -4.00  -6.15   3.00   1.50  -1.50   9.00    New Orleans   Atlanta



Dan Hanson Turner Rateform
PointShare Bihl Rankings
John Coffey Roger Johnson

  Home               Visitor             LINE   HNSN    PS    CFFY   JOHN   TRNR          BIHL                                         Home         Visitor

New England        Houston               0.00  -2.08 -19.90    .   -17.69   4.44           .                                         New England   Houston
Buffalo            Arizona              -3.50  -6.46   5.30    .    -0.89   8.22           .                                         Buffalo       Arizona
Carolina           Minnesota             7.00  16.22   8.20    .    14.91  -8.78           .                                         Carolina      Minnesota
Cincinnati         Denver                3.00   0.53   1.70    .   -19.19   4.44           .                                         Cincinnati    Denver
Dallas             Chicago               7.00  -0.27 -13.00    .   -20.49  -2.22           .                                         Dallas        Chicago
Green Bay          Detroit               7.00  23.99   0.60    .     2.71   3.00           .                                         Green Bay     Detroit
Indianapolis       San Diego             3.00  -4.01 -13.70    .    -5.49  -2.22           .                                         Indianapolis  San Diego
Jacksonville       Baltimore            -1.50  11.18 -23.20    .    -2.99 -12.56           .                                         Jacksonville  Baltimore
Kansas City        N.Y. Jets             3.00  -4.13   2.90    .    20.01  18.56           .                                         Kansas City   N.Y. Jets
Miami              Cleveland             9.50   8.38 -15.90    .    -8.69   3.00           .                                         Miami         Cleveland
N.Y. Giants        Washington            3.50   2.72   1.40    .     3.31  20.00           .                                         N.Y. Giants   Washington
Philadelphia       Pittsburgh           -3.50  18.18   6.90    .    21.41   1.56           .                                         Philadelphia  Pittsburgh
Seattle            San Francisco         9.50   3.21  -5.00    .   -14.59   3.00           .                                         Seattle       San Francisco
Tampa Bay          Los Angeles           4.50   8.57   0.10    .    -4.09  14.78           .                                         Tampa Bay     Los Angeles
Tennessee          Oakland               1.50  23.07   6.10    .    30.41 -14.00           .                                         Tennessee     Oakland
New Orleans        Atlanta               3.00  -3.28   5.00    .     0.31   3.00           .                                         New Orleans   Atlanta



Season Totals