Computer Rating System Prediction Results for Pro football (NFL)

2010 Retrodiction Results

Through
Rank System Pct. Correct Against Spread Absolute Error Bias Mean Square Error games suw sul atsw atsl
1System Average0.726590.000009.60640.63500152.702002671947300
2Roger Johnson0.722850.000009.71030.31000158.701002671937400
3Covers.com0.722850.000009.92511.32660167.508002671937400
4System Median0.719100.000009.61970.59690154.210002671927500
5Sagarin0.719100.000009.70840.12880155.972002671927500
6Sagarin Elo0.715360.000009.89640.11820164.334002671917600
7CPA Retro0.715360.000009.47010.00810153.003002671917600
8CPA Rankings0.715360.000009.11690.02270141.632002671917600
9Least Abs. Val Reg0.707870.000009.4960-0.28410161.831002671897800
10Sagarin Predictive0.707870.000009.68980.13660152.866002671897800
11Ed Bemiss0.707870.000009.98881.29400163.849002671897800
12Stephen Kerns0.704120.0000010.06401.23260160.072002671887900
13Logistic Regression0.704120.0000010.05150.19660173.660002671887900
14PerformanZ Ratings0.704120.000009.79480.36670158.510002671887900
15Sonny Moore0.700370.000009.83370.50810158.961002671878000
16LS - w/ team HFA0.696630.000008.98200.04920137.238002671868100
17Least Squares0.696630.000009.7106-0.35710154.162002671868100
18Ed Kambour0.692880.000009.77170.37620157.430002671858200
19Pythagorean Ratings0.692880.000009.96711.29120165.555002671858200
20Beck Elo0.685390.000009.98871.19440161.535002671838400
21JFM Power Ratings0.685390.000009.89391.13910159.773002671838400
22NutShell Sports0.681650.0000011.10901.18310191.173002671828500
23Stat Fox0.670410.0000010.11611.17980161.017002671798800
24Scoring Effeciency0.666670.0000010.20031.29630173.773002671788900
25Ashby Accuratings0.647940.0000010.11611.22470167.414002671739400
26Pigskin Index0.644190.0000010.03371.19480162.815002671729500