ThePredictionTracker NFL RESULTS

Computer Rating System Prediction Results for Pro football (NFL)

2011 Retrodiction Results

Through

Rank	System	Pct. Correct	Absolute Error	Bias	Mean Square Error	games	suw	sul
1	Ashby Accuratings	0.67969	9.9141	-0.26560	161.31200	256	174	82
2	Beck Elo	0.67969	9.7896	-0.26560	160.57800	256	174	82
3	Covers.com	0.71094	9.7500	-0.26560	167.76200	256	182	74
4	Ed Bemiss	0.68359	9.8473	-0.26560	158.35100	256	175	81
5	Ed Kambour	0.76563	9.3673	-0.21700	144.15600	256	196	60
6	JFM Power Ratings	0.75000	9.6546	-0.34670	157.37900	256	192	64
7	Least Abs. Val Reg	0.75391	9.3386	-0.26560	158.63700	256	193	63
8	Least Squares	0.72656	9.7135	-0.38560	152.41200	256	186	70
9	Logistic Regression	0.74609	9.9221	-1.81130	178.55500	256	191	65
10	LS - w/ team HFA	0.75000	9.1376	0.02070	132.45200	256	192	64
11	NutShell Sports	0.69922	9.8334	-0.26560	166.60100	256	179	77
12	PerformanZ Ratings	0.76563	9.3573	-0.54250	149.40700	256	196	60
13	Pigskin Index	0.66797	9.9063	-0.26560	163.74200	256	171	85
14	Pythagorean Ratings	0.74219	9.7101	-0.26560	152.23500	256	190	66
15	Sagarin	0.75391	9.6413	-0.17560	155.49100	256	193	63
16	Sagarin Elo	0.75391	9.8471	-0.17560	165.09100	256	193	63
17	Sagarin Predictive	0.73047	9.7343	-0.17560	152.97600	256	187	69
18	Scoring Effeciency	0.72656	9.8775	-0.26170	164.86200	256	186	70
19	Sonny Moore	0.72266	9.8299	-1.26560	161.70500	256	185	71
20	Stat Fox	0.67969	9.9766	-0.26560	160.31200	256	174	82
21	Stephen Kerns	0.72266	9.7680	-0.26560	155.19500	256	185	71
22	System Average	0.74219	9.5368	-0.35920	151.74000	256	190	66
23	System Median	0.73438	9.5269	-0.36230	151.18200	256	188	68
24	Turnover adjusted least squares	0.68750	10.1644	-1.02560	167.25700	256	176	80