Computer Rating System Prediction Results for Pro football (NFL)

2007 Last Week

Through
Rank System Pct. Correct Against Spread Absolute Error Bias Mean Square Error games suw sul atsw atsl
1LS - w/ team HFA0.454550.818186.88092.2391075.25200115692
2CPA Retro Rankings0.636360.636367.87273.4945079.43400117474
3Brian Gabrielle0.500000.500009.08335.0833084.8180063333
4Kambour Rating0.454550.818188.02912.1909090.63700115692
5JFM Power Ratings0.545450.818187.98551.0382093.75600116592
6CPA Rankings0.545450.636368.64554.1764095.74300116574
7Stat Fox0.545451.000008.18182.1818096.476001165110
8PerformanZ Ratings0.636360.818188.1645-0.7809097.09100117492
9Logistic Regression0.545450.818187.3964-1.34000100.50300116592
10Reistertown Index0.545450.800009.18182.09090100.60300116582
11Least Abs. Val Reg0.636360.818188.10641.99550102.38600117492
12Covers.com0.454550.818188.97450.40910106.58800115692
13System Median0.545450.818188.59731.92450107.00200116592
14Dokter Entropy0.454550.636368.81730.76820107.91800115674
15Sagarin Predictive0.545450.727278.56362.18180108.09400116583
16Jeff Imes0.545450.636368.51731.67910109.14200116574
17System Average0.454550.727278.65361.91550109.25500115683
18Sonny Moore0.545450.545458.7082-0.18270109.75300116565
19Sagarin0.545450.700008.82182.04730109.87400116573
20Game Time Decision0.545450.727278.81822.90910110.91200116583
21John Coffey0.454550.545459.15912.75180111.93200115665
22Hank Trexler0.545450.727278.90912.54550112.32000116583
23Roger Johnson0.454550.818188.72731.66180112.93100115692
24Mike Greenfield0.545450.727278.45450.94550112.94600116583
25Scoring Effeciency0.454550.727279.31091.70360113.06800115683
26Beck Elo0.545450.636367.7655-1.38000113.09100116574
27Stephen Kerns0.636360.636369.06362.62730113.17000117474
28Steven Jens0.545450.636368.57271.48180113.79800116574
29NutShell Sports0.545450.727278.22001.44730114.70300116583
30Pigskin Index0.545450.727278.09090.45640114.77900116583
31Pythagorean Ratings0.454550.545459.47551.97550116.31300115665
32Michael Robert Ratings0.454550.545459.24362.78000116.62800115665
33Line (opening)0.454550.636369.54553.54550117.35700115674
34Sport Trends0.727270.727278.6364-3.38180117.51500118383
35Pigskin Herald0.500000.600009.97002.21000119.17700105564
36Sagarin Elo0.545450.545459.42002.16180120.33100116565
37NutShell Retro0.454550.545459.91643.23090120.71500115665
38ARGH Power Ratings0.545450.545459.81822.90910121.24200116565
39Computer Adjusted Line0.545451.000009.50003.31820123.93100116540
40Least Squares0.363640.636369.34272.11000124.95000114774
41Dwiggins1.000000.500008.5750-3.27500126.5210044022
42Sourjax0.454550.5454510.47273.95270127.63900115665
43Line (updated)0.545459.72733.45450128.324001165
44Bihl Rankings0.428570.571439.31433.05430129.7770073443
45Jeff Self0.400000.600009.7360-0.86000132.2040052332
46Dunkel Index0.363640.636369.94273.96270133.01900114774
47Kasulis Enhanced Spread0.454550.545459.4091-2.22730138.71700115665
48Eric Hollobaugh0.454550.4545510.35274.17270140.05400115656
49Grid Iron Gold0.500000.7142910.6250-2.62500140.0760084452
50Ashby AccuRatings0.454550.5555610.72734.72730145.60500115654
51Lee Burdorf0.545450.600008.9000-2.99090147.20400116564
52Cover810.625000.3333310.25003.75000147.2420085324
53TheSportsCruncher0.600000.4444410.50003.60000164.05400106445
54Upset Report0.545450.6000010.24551.50000180.22400116564
55Tom Benson0.454550.3636412.78647.50640200.89900115647
56Ed Bemiss0.750000.2500011.2250-7.62500240.2170043113