Computer Rating System Prediction Results for Pro football (NFL)

2010 Last Week

Through
Rank System Pct. Correct Against Spread Absolute Error Bias Mean Square Error games suw sul atsw atsl
1Hank Trexler0.272730.3000010.54554.36360174.99600113837
2JFM Power Ratings0.545450.454559.89005.58450168.35100116556
3Sagarin Elo0.545450.545459.68733.50910161.72400116565
4NFL Pickles0.545450.636369.62733.73640148.98500116574
5Line (updated)0.545459.59095.04550167.799001165
6Computer Adjusted Line0.545451.000009.40914.95450164.88200116530
7John Coffey0.545450.727279.18095.40450162.92700116583
8Scoring Effeciency0.545450.636369.16555.72000159.93300116574
9Pythagorean Ratings0.545450.636369.06365.55090158.03500116574
10Strengthranking.com0.545450.727278.05552.18270115.13800116583
11PerformanZ Ratings0.636360.454559.45734.48820167.48600117456
12CPA Rankings0.636360.636368.99735.00820152.04300117474
13Sonny Moore0.636360.545458.95454.97820164.30700117465
14Upset Report0.545450.636369.90916.27270183.78700116574
15NutShell Sports0.545450.5454510.10364.99270181.58800116565
16Line (opening)0.545450.1428610.18184.90910174.99100116516
17YourLinx0.363640.2727311.55553.60640196.61400114738
18Nutshell Girl0.363640.3636410.87276.05270198.68000114747
19Nutshell Combo0.363640.5454510.55915.51550193.14600114765
20Covers.com0.363640.5454510.52736.20000193.36200114765
21Logistic Regression0.363640.454559.92733.04000157.32500114756
22Dokter Entropy0.363640.636369.62826.01360167.47500114774
23David and Pasteur0.363640.545459.51185.40270160.21800114765
24RP Excel0.454550.4545511.54556.81820182.41000115656
25CPA Retro Rankings0.454550.2727311.20275.76640195.48200115638
26Jim Armstrong0.454550.3636410.67647.31450196.63400115647
27What If Sports0.545450.5555611.25456.52730199.58500116554
28Reistertown Index0.545450.4444410.90913.45450202.00600116545
29Wunderdog Sports0.636360.750008.81824.63640143.95500117462
30Eric Hollobaugh0.636360.727278.76095.45180158.84600117483
31Pigskin Index0.636360.636368.54734.54730143.80800117474
32Stat Fox0.727270.800008.27274.27270152.61300118382
33Dunkel Index0.727270.545458.25641.99820119.02300118365
34Ashby AccuRatings0.727270.818188.18182.91090141.04600118392
35Pat Laffaye0.727270.888897.98183.72730137.00200118381
36Sportrends0.727270.727277.77363.77360132.13400118383
37Lee Burdorf0.818180.818189.08183.11820150.55300119292
38Least Abs. Val Reg0.818180.636368.76362.35450143.12500119274
39LS - w/ team HFA0.818180.636368.68642.80090149.54700119274
40Roger Johnson0.818180.600008.44553.66360131.11000119264
41Stephen Kerns0.818180.818188.25452.80000127.70900119292
42Massey Ratings0.818180.636368.25003.43000129.12800119274
43Beck Elo0.818180.727278.18733.57640132.99900119283
44Austin Sports0.818180.909098.17185.19180142.229001192101
45Least Squares0.818180.818187.78453.49550127.49400119292
46Schmidt Comp. Ratings0.727270.727278.46094.88820140.49800118383
47System Average0.727270.727278.50554.48730144.01500118383
48Sagarin0.636360.727278.49363.89360141.04800117483
49Kambour Rating0.636360.818188.48184.60000140.62200117492
50PickingPros.com0.636360.727278.29184.45730140.14500117483
51Michael Robert Ratings0.636360.636368.06184.16180127.74700117474
52Yarnell0.727270.8000011.54556.45450195.75800118382
53Game Time Decision0.727270.454559.22645.13730160.20200118356
54System Median0.727270.727278.52824.50820145.50300118383
55Kasulis Enhanced Spread0.727270.545458.72453.33000143.17400118365
56Bihl Rankings0.727270.727278.73555.36820149.42800118383
57Sagarin Predictive0.818180.818187.71643.88360128.98600119292
58Steven Jens0.727270.500008.80915.02730150.02200118355
59ARGH Power Ratings0.700000.777789.20005.20000167.49600107372
60Atomic Football0.625000.7500010.20385.64880164.8760085362
61Dwiggins0.750000.750008.82500.77500152.1070043131
62Cover810.666670.333333.9000-0.5667021.9630032112