Computer Rating System Prediction Results for Pro football (NFL)

2010 Last Week

Through
Rank System Pct. Correct Against Spread Absolute Error Bias Mean Square Error games suw sul atsw atsl
1Austin Sports0.818180.909098.17185.19180142.229001192101
2Sagarin Predictive0.818180.818187.71643.88360128.98600119292
3Ashby AccuRatings0.727270.818188.18182.91090141.04600118392
4Stephen Kerns0.818180.818188.25452.80000127.70900119292
5Kambour Rating0.636360.818188.48184.60000140.62200117492
6Least Squares0.818180.818187.78453.49550127.49400119292
7Lee Burdorf0.818180.818189.08183.11820150.55300119292
8System Average0.727270.727278.50554.48730144.01500118383
9System Median0.727270.727278.52824.50820145.50300118383
10Strengthranking.com0.545450.727278.05552.18270115.13800116583
11Bihl Rankings0.727270.727278.73555.36820149.42800118383
12Yarnell0.727270.8000011.54556.45450195.75800118382
13Eric Hollobaugh0.636360.727278.76095.45180158.84600117483
14PickingPros.com0.636360.727278.29184.45730140.14500117483
15Schmidt Comp. Ratings0.727270.727278.46094.88820140.49800118383
16Sagarin0.636360.727278.49363.89360141.04800117483
17John Coffey0.545450.727279.18095.40450162.92700116583
18Pat Laffaye0.727270.888897.98183.72730137.00200118381
19Sportrends0.727270.727277.77363.77360132.13400118383
20Beck Elo0.818180.727278.18733.57640132.99900119283
21Stat Fox0.727270.800008.27274.27270152.61300118382
22Dokter Entropy0.363640.636369.62826.01360167.47500114774
23Pigskin Index0.636360.636368.54734.54730143.80800117474
24Upset Report0.545450.636369.90916.27270183.78700116574
25Pythagorean Ratings0.545450.636369.06365.55090158.03500116574
26CPA Rankings0.636360.636368.99735.00820152.04300117474
27NFL Pickles0.545450.636369.62733.73640148.98500116574
28Scoring Effeciency0.545450.636369.16555.72000159.93300116574
29Michael Robert Ratings0.636360.636368.06184.16180127.74700117474
30ARGH Power Ratings0.700000.777789.20005.20000167.49600107372
31Least Abs. Val Reg0.818180.636368.76362.35450143.12500119274
32Massey Ratings0.818180.636368.25003.43000129.12800119274
33LS - w/ team HFA0.818180.636368.68642.80090149.54700119274
34NutShell Sports0.545450.5454510.10364.99270181.58800116565
35Sagarin Elo0.545450.545459.68733.50910161.72400116565
36Dunkel Index0.727270.545458.25641.99820119.02300118365
37Sonny Moore0.636360.545458.95454.97820164.30700117465
38Kasulis Enhanced Spread0.727270.545458.72453.33000143.17400118365
39David and Pasteur0.363640.545459.51185.40270160.21800114765
40Atomic Football0.625000.7500010.20385.64880164.8760085362
41Covers.com0.363640.5454510.52736.20000193.36200114765
42Nutshell Combo0.363640.5454510.55915.51550193.14600114765
43Wunderdog Sports0.636360.750008.81824.63640143.95500117462
44Roger Johnson0.818180.600008.44553.66360131.11000119264
45Logistic Regression0.363640.454559.92733.04000157.32500114756
46RP Excel0.454550.4545511.54556.81820182.41000115656
47What If Sports0.545450.5555611.25456.52730199.58500116554
48JFM Power Ratings0.545450.454559.89005.58450168.35100116556
49Game Time Decision0.727270.454559.22645.13730160.20200118356
50Steven Jens0.727270.500008.80915.02730150.02200118355
51PerformanZ Ratings0.636360.454559.45734.48820167.48600117456
52Reistertown Index0.545450.4444410.90913.45450202.00600116545
53Nutshell Girl0.363640.3636410.87276.05270198.68000114747
54Jim Armstrong0.454550.3636410.67647.31450196.63400115647
55YourLinx0.363640.2727311.55553.60640196.61400114738
56Dwiggins0.750000.750008.82500.77500152.1070043131
57Hank Trexler0.272730.3000010.54554.36360174.99600113837
58Computer Adjusted Line0.545451.000009.40914.95450164.88200116530
59CPA Retro Rankings0.454550.2727311.20275.76640195.48200115638
60Line (opening)0.545450.1428610.18184.90910174.99100116516
61Cover810.666670.333333.9000-0.5667021.9630032112
62Line (updated)0.545459.59095.04550167.799001165