Computer Rating System Prediction Results for Pro football (NFL)

2010 Last Week

Through
Rank System Pct. Correct Against Spread Absolute Error Bias Mean Square Error games suw sul atsw atsl
1Line (updated)0.545459.59095.04550167.799001165
2Computer Adjusted Line0.545451.000009.40914.95450164.88200116530
3Dwiggins0.750000.750008.82500.77500152.1070043131
4Pat Laffaye0.727270.888897.98183.72730137.00200118381
5Austin Sports0.818180.909098.17185.19180142.229001192101
6Cover810.666670.333333.9000-0.5667021.9630032112
7Kambour Rating0.636360.818188.48184.60000140.62200117492
8Wunderdog Sports0.636360.750008.81824.63640143.95500117462
9Yarnell0.727270.8000011.54556.45450195.75800118382
10Sagarin Predictive0.818180.818187.71643.88360128.98600119292
11Atomic Football0.625000.7500010.20385.64880164.8760085362
12ARGH Power Ratings0.700000.777789.20005.20000167.49600107372
13Ashby AccuRatings0.727270.818188.18182.91090141.04600118392
14Stephen Kerns0.818180.818188.25452.80000127.70900119292
15Lee Burdorf0.818180.818189.08183.11820150.55300119292
16Least Squares0.818180.818187.78453.49550127.49400119292
17Stat Fox0.727270.800008.27274.27270152.61300118382
18System Average0.727270.727278.50554.48730144.01500118383
19PickingPros.com0.636360.727278.29184.45730140.14500117483
20Strengthranking.com0.545450.727278.05552.18270115.13800116583
21Eric Hollobaugh0.636360.727278.76095.45180158.84600117483
22Beck Elo0.818180.727278.18733.57640132.99900119283
23John Coffey0.545450.727279.18095.40450162.92700116583
24Bihl Rankings0.727270.727278.73555.36820149.42800118383
25System Median0.727270.727278.52824.50820145.50300118383
26Schmidt Comp. Ratings0.727270.727278.46094.88820140.49800118383
27Sportrends0.727270.727277.77363.77360132.13400118383
28Sagarin0.636360.727278.49363.89360141.04800117483
29Dokter Entropy0.363640.636369.62826.01360167.47500114774
30What If Sports0.545450.5555611.25456.52730199.58500116554
31Scoring Effeciency0.545450.636369.16555.72000159.93300116574
32Upset Report0.545450.636369.90916.27270183.78700116574
33NFL Pickles0.545450.636369.62733.73640148.98500116574
34Roger Johnson0.818180.600008.44553.66360131.11000119264
35CPA Rankings0.636360.636368.99735.00820152.04300117474
36Pythagorean Ratings0.545450.636369.06365.55090158.03500116574
37Pigskin Index0.636360.636368.54734.54730143.80800117474
38Michael Robert Ratings0.636360.636368.06184.16180127.74700117474
39Least Abs. Val Reg0.818180.636368.76362.35450143.12500119274
40LS - w/ team HFA0.818180.636368.68642.80090149.54700119274
41Massey Ratings0.818180.636368.25003.43000129.12800119274
42Reistertown Index0.545450.4444410.90913.45450202.00600116545
43NutShell Sports0.545450.5454510.10364.99270181.58800116565
44David and Pasteur0.363640.545459.51185.40270160.21800114765
45Covers.com0.363640.5454510.52736.20000193.36200114765
46Sagarin Elo0.545450.545459.68733.50910161.72400116565
47Dunkel Index0.727270.545458.25641.99820119.02300118365
48Kasulis Enhanced Spread0.727270.545458.72453.33000143.17400118365
49Steven Jens0.727270.500008.80915.02730150.02200118355
50Nutshell Combo0.363640.5454510.55915.51550193.14600114765
51Sonny Moore0.636360.545458.95454.97820164.30700117465
52Logistic Regression0.363640.454559.92733.04000157.32500114756
53RP Excel0.454550.4545511.54556.81820182.41000115656
54Line (opening)0.545450.1428610.18184.90910174.99100116516
55PerformanZ Ratings0.636360.454559.45734.48820167.48600117456
56JFM Power Ratings0.545450.454559.89005.58450168.35100116556
57Game Time Decision0.727270.454559.22645.13730160.20200118356
58Jim Armstrong0.454550.3636410.67647.31450196.63400115647
59Nutshell Girl0.363640.3636410.87276.05270198.68000114747
60Hank Trexler0.272730.3000010.54554.36360174.99600113837
61CPA Retro Rankings0.454550.2727311.20275.76640195.48200115638
62YourLinx0.363640.2727311.55553.60640196.61400114738