Computer Rating System Prediction Results for Pro football (NFL)

2009 Second Half Totals

System Pct. Correct Against Spread Absolute Error Bias Mean Square Error games suw sul atsw atsl
Michael Robert Ratings0.714290.619058.8113-0.59100129.061006345183924
Line (updated)0.6956511.0942-0.81750197.163001389642
Computer Adjusted Line0.695650.5000011.1304-0.89050197.7900013896422323
Ashby AccuRatings0.695650.5124011.2971-0.68600211.0050013896426259
Stat Fox0.695650.5645211.6812-1.09450210.3430013896427054
Upset Report0.695650.4833312.0725-3.46350228.3300013896425862
CPA Rankings0.695650.5338312.3239-1.05660244.7190013896427162
Hank Trexler0.688410.5217411.4348-1.32120210.6660013895436055
TheSportsCruncher0.688410.5158711.3404-1.54950210.2310013895436561
Line (opening)0.688410.5100011.2319-0.67150202.9890013895435149
Nationalsportsrankings0.686570.4697010.0267-0.97300161.275006746213135
Eric Hollobaugh0.681160.5188012.2793-1.40350232.0110013894446964
Sportrends0.681160.4920612.0831-1.03980230.3490013894446264
Jonathan Wilson0.681160.5114511.7521-1.79630221.2420013894446764
JFM Power Ratings0.681160.4887211.6231-0.67300217.0520013894446568
Grid Iron Gold0.681160.5748011.5690-1.84980225.5340013894447354
Game Time Decision0.681160.5725811.3222-0.52520207.2360013894447153
Deslock Rankings0.675680.5277812.1568-3.59490230.4770011175365751
Kambour Rating0.673910.5188011.6412-1.79110215.5580013893456964
Scoring Effeciency0.673910.5563911.3188-0.83280212.3060013893457459
Massey Ratings0.673910.5188011.3437-1.15420207.1260013893456964
Reistertown Index0.673910.5124011.7030-0.72990218.2890013893456259
Sagarin Predictive0.673910.4661712.1566-2.05200229.2420013893456271
Dwiggins0.670450.5000012.3511-1.82640230.563008859294343
NFL Pickles0.669120.5038812.0265-2.34810222.0420013691456564
System Median0.666670.4923111.6998-1.29060215.4890013892466466
Brian Gabrielle0.664230.5120011.9926-0.95600226.0720013791466461
LS - w/ team HFA0.659420.4661712.9298-2.24160254.1460013891476271
Least Abs. Val Reg0.659420.4887212.2951-2.81030234.9990013891476568
Strengthranking.com0.659420.5037612.2559-2.01890231.1210013891476766
Sonny Moore0.659420.4736811.9604-1.66320222.7850013891476370
System Average0.659420.5263211.6571-1.35150214.1820013891477063
PerformanZ Ratings0.659420.5563911.6221-1.65990224.5260013891477459
Pythagorean Ratings0.659420.5263211.6139-1.02340215.2800013891477063
Pigskin Index0.659420.4836111.5799-0.72950212.5950013891475963
Roger Johnson0.659420.4961811.7810-1.90820220.6840013891476566
Bihl Rankings0.655740.5042712.5739-0.80870238.9030012280425958
Least Squares0.652170.4962412.2833-2.85280234.4100013890486667
ARGH Power Ratings0.652170.4560012.0851-1.65880227.8590013890485768
CPA Retro Rankings0.652170.4661712.4385-0.79350239.2740013890486271
Lee Burdorf0.652170.5112812.8238-1.18520250.1250013890486865
Wunderdog Sports0.649640.5575211.3066-1.65690208.2060013789486350
RP Excel0.644930.5648911.7029-0.97810214.5770013889497457
John Coffey0.644930.4887211.9790-1.04050223.6180013889496568
Harmon Forcast0.644930.4958712.0217-1.07300219.6780013889496061
YourLinx0.644930.4586512.3326-0.94090231.2860013889496172
Covers.com0.637680.4772712.1701-0.75960230.5810013888506369
Dunkel Index0.637680.4736812.0296-1.39910219.6790013888506370
Schmidt Comp. Ratings0.637680.4812011.8033-0.68340218.4210013888506469
Kasulis Enhanced Spread0.637680.4961811.7290-1.68180222.4290013888506566
Nutshell Girl0.630430.4812011.9756-0.61370230.5540013887516469
Tom Benson0.630430.4586513.8578-1.04790291.2870013887516172
Steven Jens0.630430.4887212.4258-0.80120233.8100013887516568
What If Sports0.630430.5371912.3738-1.63490242.2890013887516556
NutShell Sports0.630430.5188012.1089-0.91830218.7680013887516964
Sagarin0.630430.5188012.2808-1.75260234.6550013887516964
Dokter Entropy0.623190.4924211.6296-0.88990210.3190013886526567
Pete Prisco0.620440.4883712.56200.54740259.7280013785526366
Beck Elo0.615940.4887212.2057-1.56970231.1020013885536568
Stephen Kerns0.615940.5151512.8696-2.40290252.1740013885536864
Pat Laffaye0.615940.5037612.7560-2.06950244.9470013885536766
Nutshell Combo0.608700.4887211.7991-0.76550216.6360013884546568
Sagarin Elo0.601450.4586512.8197-1.44720253.4220013883556172
Logistic Regression0.594200.5037612.0770-2.03880230.7070013882566766