Computer Rating System Prediction Results for Pro football (NFL)

2008 Second Half Totals

System Pct. Correct Against Spread Absolute Error Bias Mean Square Error games suw sul atsw atsl
Jeff Imes0.730770.5333311.70233.15000217.501007857214035
Cover810.711340.4382010.9744-0.65810190.639009869283950
Nutshell Girl0.676470.4736811.42231.45150219.6720013792446370
Jeff Self0.673080.4951511.06700.47340203.9230010570345152
Hank Trexler0.669120.4778811.02190.66180195.2320013791455459
Tom Benson0.669120.4887211.73680.89650218.1430013791456568
Pigskin Herald0.666670.4656511.4772-0.30220206.4970013690456170
CPA Retro Rankings0.661760.4697011.4267-0.09400208.8710013790466270
Pigskin Index0.661760.5000011.29911.41210199.5560013790466262
Pythagorean Ratings0.661760.4511311.19471.19830199.7790013790466073
Nutshell Combo0.661760.5037611.17340.92130201.6520013790466766
Line (updated)0.6617611.04380.87130196.419001379046
TheSportsCruncher0.659260.5307711.47730.52580214.5990013689466961
Deslock Rankings0.656000.4508211.84340.44670213.5650012682435567
LS - w/ team HFA0.654410.5338312.38200.76910241.1530013789477162
Dwiggins0.654410.5190811.60801.36560209.8220013789476863
Eric Hollobaugh0.654410.4210511.58591.10050204.2180013789475677
Beck Elo0.654410.4962411.46250.54100206.1450013789476667
YourLinx0.654410.5112811.41110.69080212.7700013789476865
Dokter Entropy0.654410.5563910.89721.30680196.0280013789477459
Computer Adjusted Line0.654410.5000011.05840.89340196.6360013789471818
Line (opening)0.654410.4895811.06570.83820197.4360013789474749
Ashby AccuRatings0.654410.5645211.08021.38300202.3690013789477054
Sonny Moore0.654410.5037611.26670.24640201.6330013789476766
ARGH Power Ratings0.654410.4880011.34490.59380204.1200013789476164
Strengthranking.com0.651160.4642911.39750.13210200.213008756303945
JFM Power Ratings0.647060.4962411.21551.17200203.0440013788486667
Stephen Kerns0.647060.5413511.9957-1.65430226.7490013788487261
Sagarin Elo0.647060.5037611.56350.80680212.7690013788486766
What If Sports0.647060.4881911.41590.23560206.7590013788486265
Sagarin0.647060.5188011.32470.88880205.2320013788486964
John Coffey0.647060.5151511.25561.05990202.4820013788486864
System Median0.647060.4809211.18740.90570198.5380013788486368
Steven Jens0.647060.4961811.27741.59650201.9340013788486566
Game Time Decision0.641670.5000010.83960.86510185.8010012177435656
CPA Rankings0.639710.4736811.7929-0.01760211.0420013787496370
Least Squares0.639710.5000011.50990.40550205.5970013787496666
Bihl Rankings0.639710.4661711.48741.78350204.6870013787496271
Grid Iron Gold0.639710.5384611.4599-0.26770220.7040013787497060
Sagarin Predictive0.639710.4962411.32230.94100204.4320013787496667
Roger Johnson0.639710.4812011.30600.63130201.9650013787496469
Dunkel Index0.639710.4962411.28111.47070206.5650013787496667
Scoring Effeciency0.639710.4586511.25601.19900203.9690013787496172
PerformanZ Ratings0.639710.5606111.25090.54820200.5410013787497458
Covers.com0.639710.4728711.24971.31040201.6270013787496168
System Average0.639710.4736811.17740.85570198.2780013787496370
Kambour Rating0.632350.5037611.66241.04360213.0770013786506766
Kasulis Enhanced Spread0.632350.4242411.52850.08600212.4210013786505676
Least Abs. Val Reg0.632350.4812011.52500.52700205.2650013786506469
Logistic Regression0.632350.5112811.2601-0.28490209.5850013786506865
Mike Greenfield0.632350.5572511.23941.25290200.6460013786507358
Michael Robert Ratings0.625000.4887211.35391.19880210.9470013785516568
Stat Fox0.625000.5122011.42321.20620201.8110013785516360
Reistertown Index0.617650.4728711.69341.35290215.5890013784526168
Lee Burdorf0.611570.5431012.52891.28420243.4180012174476353
Jonathan Wilson0.607410.4924211.44631.58600208.1800013682536567
Upset Report0.604650.5203311.7454-2.02230213.1390013078516459
NutShell Sports0.602940.4812011.79561.03120210.9430013782546469
RP Excel0.602940.5564511.56221.43400224.0120013782546955
NutShell Retro0.602940.4812011.39391.14610199.4380013782546469
Sport Trends0.588240.5000012.14463.82290233.7080013780566666