Computer Rating System Prediction Results for Pro football (NFL)

2008 Second Half Totals

System Pct. Correct Against Spread Absolute Error Bias Mean Square Error games suw sul atsw atsl
Ashby AccuRatings0.654410.5645211.08021.38300202.3690013789477054
PerformanZ Ratings0.639710.5606111.25090.54820200.5410013787497458
Mike Greenfield0.632350.5572511.23941.25290200.6460013786507358
RP Excel0.602940.5564511.56221.43400224.0120013782546955
Dokter Entropy0.654410.5563910.89721.30680196.0280013789477459
Lee Burdorf0.611570.5431012.52891.28420243.4180012174476353
Stephen Kerns0.647060.5413511.9957-1.65430226.7490013788487261
Grid Iron Gold0.639710.5384611.4599-0.26770220.7040013787497060
LS - w/ team HFA0.654410.5338312.38200.76910241.1530013789477162
Jeff Imes0.730770.5333311.70233.15000217.501007857214035
TheSportsCruncher0.659260.5307711.47730.52580214.5990013689466961
Upset Report0.604650.5203311.7454-2.02230213.1390013078516459
Dwiggins0.654410.5190811.60801.36560209.8220013789476863
Sagarin0.647060.5188011.32470.88880205.2320013788486964
John Coffey0.647060.5151511.25561.05990202.4820013788486864
Stat Fox0.625000.5122011.42321.20620201.8110013785516360
Logistic Regression0.632350.5112811.2601-0.28490209.5850013786506865
YourLinx0.654410.5112811.41110.69080212.7700013789476865
Sonny Moore0.654410.5037611.26670.24640201.6330013789476766
Sagarin Elo0.647060.5037611.56350.80680212.7690013788486766
Kambour Rating0.632350.5037611.66241.04360213.0770013786506766
Nutshell Combo0.661760.5037611.17340.92130201.6520013790466766
Least Squares0.639710.5000011.50990.40550205.5970013787496666
Game Time Decision0.641670.5000010.83960.86510185.8010012177435656
Pigskin Index0.661760.5000011.29911.41210199.5560013790466262
Computer Adjusted Line0.654410.5000011.05840.89340196.6360013789471818
Sport Trends0.588240.5000012.14463.82290233.7080013780566666
Sagarin Predictive0.639710.4962411.32230.94100204.4320013787496667
Dunkel Index0.639710.4962411.28111.47070206.5650013787496667
Beck Elo0.654410.4962411.46250.54100206.1450013789476667
JFM Power Ratings0.647060.4962411.21551.17200203.0440013788486667
Steven Jens0.647060.4961811.27741.59650201.9340013788486566
Jeff Self0.673080.4951511.06700.47340203.9230010570345152
Jonathan Wilson0.607410.4924211.44631.58600208.1800013682536567
Line (opening)0.654410.4895811.06570.83820197.4360013789474749
Michael Robert Ratings0.625000.4887211.35391.19880210.9470013785516568
Tom Benson0.669120.4887211.73680.89650218.1430013791456568
What If Sports0.647060.4881911.41590.23560206.7590013788486265
ARGH Power Ratings0.654410.4880011.34490.59380204.1200013789476164
NutShell Retro0.602940.4812011.39391.14610199.4380013782546469
NutShell Sports0.602940.4812011.79561.03120210.9430013782546469
Least Abs. Val Reg0.632350.4812011.52500.52700205.2650013786506469
Roger Johnson0.639710.4812011.30600.63130201.9650013787496469
System Median0.647060.4809211.18740.90570198.5380013788486368
Hank Trexler0.669120.4778811.02190.66180195.2320013791455459
CPA Rankings0.639710.4736811.7929-0.01760211.0420013787496370
Nutshell Girl0.676470.4736811.42231.45150219.6720013792446370
System Average0.639710.4736811.17740.85570198.2780013787496370
Covers.com0.639710.4728711.24971.31040201.6270013787496168
Reistertown Index0.617650.4728711.69341.35290215.5890013784526168
CPA Retro Rankings0.661760.4697011.4267-0.09400208.8710013790466270
Bihl Rankings0.639710.4661711.48741.78350204.6870013787496271
Pigskin Herald0.666670.4656511.4772-0.30220206.4970013690456170
Strengthranking.com0.651160.4642911.39750.13210200.213008756303945
Scoring Effeciency0.639710.4586511.25601.19900203.9690013787496172
Pythagorean Ratings0.661760.4511311.19471.19830199.7790013790466073
Deslock Rankings0.656000.4508211.84340.44670213.5650012682435567
Cover810.711340.4382010.9744-0.65810190.639009869283950
Kasulis Enhanced Spread0.632350.4242411.52850.08600212.4210013786505676
Eric Hollobaugh0.654410.4210511.58591.10050204.2180013789475677
Line (updated)0.6617611.04380.87130196.419001379046