Computer Rating System Prediction Results for Pro football (NFL)

2010 Season Totals

Through
Rank System Pct. Correct Against Spread Absolute Error Bias Mean Square Error games suw sul atsw atsl
1ARGH Power Ratings0.620000.4978011.1970-0.16300203.3550025015595113114
2Ashby AccuRatings0.632960.4831911.09741.21790201.5080026716998115123
3Atomic Football0.621210.4549011.17630.54990202.11400264164100116139
4Austin Sports0.629630.6000011.14230.94190218.176001891197011174
5Beck Elo0.573030.4807711.61940.44040219.43400267153114125135
6Bihl Rankings0.646340.5652210.77752.44270204.25200164106589170
7Brent Craig0.593980.4803111.64691.18080220.4430013379546166
8Brian Gabrielle0.588540.4970811.32031.37260214.29300192113798586
9Computer Adjusted Line0.640450.5061710.82400.69290194.19100267171964140
10Cover810.660470.5123210.5856-0.31110190.824002151427310499
11Covers.com0.614230.5156311.08770.96370206.09500267164103132124
12CPA Rankings0.617980.5000011.46870.39930217.52900267165102130130
13CPA Retro Rankings0.632960.4423111.55210.25000219.6540026716998115145
14David and Pasteur0.621720.5173710.99221.06030199.62000267166101134125
15Dokter Entropy0.629210.4594611.06840.96460199.2800026716899119140
16Dunkel Index0.584270.4500011.55740.19930217.69100267156111117143
17Dwiggins0.586960.4864912.25000.58140240.7040023013595108114
18Eric Hollobaugh0.604320.5882410.3521-0.11700176.5970013984558056
19Game Time Decision0.640450.5240010.81081.33000194.3450026717196131119
20Hank Trexler0.603000.4959711.1498-0.39330201.90600267161106123125
21JFM Power Ratings0.621720.4500011.45291.07080208.26700267166101117143
22Jim Armstrong0.629210.4728711.15731.28720202.6390026716899122136
23John Coffey0.633510.5294110.83391.30480201.93200191121709988
24Kambour Rating0.621720.5153811.52310.54670214.61600267166101134126
25Kasulis Enhanced Spread0.606740.4648411.40500.10340209.23300267162105119137
26Least Abs. Val Reg0.599250.4594611.9852-0.39530236.49600267160107119140
27Least Squares0.588010.5057911.8537-0.28480232.07000267157110131128
28Lee Burdorf0.565540.4863812.29781.18620243.81500267151116125132
29Line (opening)0.657890.5257710.80080.74440194.669002661759110292
30Line (updated)0.6441910.82020.70790194.6100026717295
31Logistic Regression0.535580.5019611.6609-0.32490221.94200267143124128127
32LS - w/ team HFA0.531840.4505912.4948-0.52880243.37200267142125114139
33Massey Ratings0.617980.4980711.07480.86170199.67400267165102129130
34Michael Robert Ratings0.636700.5115410.83620.35150198.0230026717097133127
35Nationalsportsrankings0.589840.4556511.46200.97270212.54200256151105113135
36NFL Pickles0.610490.5136211.9532-0.70300228.06300267163104132125
37Nutshell Combo0.610490.4341111.49810.78580209.00800267163104112146
38Nutshell Girl0.614230.4594611.20570.79980205.06500267164103119140
39NutShell Sports0.599250.4324312.06840.72040227.22000267160107112147
40Pat Laffaye0.588010.5193811.79590.41540229.11800267157110134124
41PerformanZ Ratings0.606740.5444011.22540.20290204.27500267162105141118
42PickingPros.com0.625570.5441911.49930.31510221.178002191378211798
43Pigskin Index0.617980.4938311.05611.21430199.55900267165102120123
44Pythagorean Ratings0.565540.5269211.55440.32310224.84100267151116137123
45Reistertown Index0.610490.5179311.31830.30720206.72400267163104130121
46Roger Johnson0.593610.5071111.61700.40740226.2280021913089107104
47RP Excel0.554310.4782612.14981.28840245.18500267148119121132
48Sagarin0.617980.4961511.01750.72560200.68500267165102129131
49Sagarin Elo0.617980.4692311.42220.61310208.76300267165102122138
50Sagarin Predictive0.621720.5538510.98450.80510200.69500267166101144116
51Schmidt Comp. Ratings0.591760.4807711.31371.10060208.59100267158109125135
52Scoring Effeciency0.610490.5269211.16461.05190206.02100267163104137123
53Sonny Moore0.588010.4923111.14650.43590210.42500267157110128132
54Sportrends0.603000.5220911.40451.38260212.08300267161106130119
55Stat Fox0.629210.4146311.48691.24000211.2880026716899102144
56Stephen Kerns0.625470.5000011.4734-0.05170211.25300267167100129129
57Steven Jens0.578950.4488211.53761.24970213.91400266154112114140
58Strengthranking.com0.593630.5122011.81270.70460220.38400251149102126120
59System Average0.625470.4923111.02590.61650199.31500267167100128132
60System Median0.617980.4922511.01460.69920199.09800267165102127131
61Tom Benson0.437500.3571411.4088-10.73250199.91800167959
62Upset Report0.617980.5387811.3933-0.13480209.73000267165102132113
63What If Sports0.580520.4136512.2584-0.61800234.40000267155112103146
64Wunderdog Sports0.621720.4585211.01500.11610197.67400267166101105124
65Yarnell0.643980.5376311.54571.27520214.351001911236810086
66YourLinx0.588010.4346213.17810.38160270.06400267157110113147