Computer Rating System Prediction Results for Pro football (NFL)

2010 Season Totals

Through
Rank System Pct. Correct Against Spread Absolute Error Bias Mean Square Error games suw sul atsw atsl
1Sagarin Predictive0.621720.5538510.98450.80510200.69500267166101144116
2PerformanZ Ratings0.606740.5444011.22540.20290204.27500267162105141118
3Pythagorean Ratings0.565540.5269211.55440.32310224.84100267151116137123
4Scoring Effeciency0.610490.5269211.16461.05190206.02100267163104137123
5Kambour Rating0.621720.5153811.52310.54670214.61600267166101134126
6Pat Laffaye0.588010.5193811.79590.41540229.11800267157110134124
7David and Pasteur0.621720.5173710.99221.06030199.62000267166101134125
8Michael Robert Ratings0.636700.5115410.83620.35150198.0230026717097133127
9Covers.com0.614230.5156311.08770.96370206.09500267164103132124
10Upset Report0.617980.5387811.3933-0.13480209.73000267165102132113
11NFL Pickles0.610490.5136211.9532-0.70300228.06300267163104132125
12Game Time Decision0.640450.5240010.81081.33000194.3450026717196131119
13Least Squares0.588010.5057911.8537-0.28480232.07000267157110131128
14Sportrends0.603000.5220911.40451.38260212.08300267161106130119
15Reistertown Index0.610490.5179311.31830.30720206.72400267163104130121
16CPA Rankings0.617980.5000011.46870.39930217.52900267165102130130
17Stephen Kerns0.625470.5000011.4734-0.05170211.25300267167100129129
18Massey Ratings0.617980.4980711.07480.86170199.67400267165102129130
19Sagarin0.617980.4961511.01750.72560200.68500267165102129131
20Logistic Regression0.535580.5019611.6609-0.32490221.94200267143124128127
21System Average0.625470.4923111.02590.61650199.31500267167100128132
22Sonny Moore0.588010.4923111.14650.43590210.42500267157110128132
23System Median0.617980.4922511.01460.69920199.09800267165102127131
24Strengthranking.com0.593630.5122011.81270.70460220.38400251149102126120
25Schmidt Comp. Ratings0.591760.4807711.31371.10060208.59100267158109125135
26Lee Burdorf0.565540.4863812.29781.18620243.81500267151116125132
27Beck Elo0.573030.4807711.61940.44040219.43400267153114125135
28Hank Trexler0.603000.4959711.1498-0.39330201.90600267161106123125
29Jim Armstrong0.629210.4728711.15731.28720202.6390026716899122136
30Sagarin Elo0.617980.4692311.42220.61310208.76300267165102122138
31RP Excel0.554310.4782612.14981.28840245.18500267148119121132
32Pigskin Index0.617980.4938311.05611.21430199.55900267165102120123
33Kasulis Enhanced Spread0.606740.4648411.40500.10340209.23300267162105119137
34Least Abs. Val Reg0.599250.4594611.9852-0.39530236.49600267160107119140
35Nutshell Girl0.614230.4594611.20570.79980205.06500267164103119140
36Dokter Entropy0.629210.4594611.06840.96460199.2800026716899119140
37Dunkel Index0.584270.4500011.55740.19930217.69100267156111117143
38PickingPros.com0.625570.5441911.49930.31510221.178002191378211798
39JFM Power Ratings0.621720.4500011.45291.07080208.26700267166101117143
40Atomic Football0.621210.4549011.17630.54990202.11400264164100116139
41CPA Retro Rankings0.632960.4423111.55210.25000219.6540026716998115145
42Ashby AccuRatings0.632960.4831911.09741.21790201.5080026716998115123
43Steven Jens0.578950.4488211.53761.24970213.91400266154112114140
44LS - w/ team HFA0.531840.4505912.4948-0.52880243.37200267142125114139
45ARGH Power Ratings0.620000.4978011.1970-0.16300203.3550025015595113114
46YourLinx0.588010.4346213.17810.38160270.06400267157110113147
47Nationalsportsrankings0.589840.4556511.46200.97270212.54200256151105113135
48Nutshell Combo0.610490.4341111.49810.78580209.00800267163104112146
49NutShell Sports0.599250.4324312.06840.72040227.22000267160107112147
50Austin Sports0.629630.6000011.14230.94190218.176001891197011174
51Dwiggins0.586960.4864912.25000.58140240.7040023013595108114
52Roger Johnson0.593610.5071111.61700.40740226.2280021913089107104
53Wunderdog Sports0.621720.4585211.01500.11610197.67400267166101105124
54Cover810.660470.5123210.5856-0.31110190.824002151427310499
55What If Sports0.580520.4136512.2584-0.61800234.40000267155112103146
56Stat Fox0.629210.4146311.48691.24000211.2880026716899102144
57Line (opening)0.657890.5257710.80080.74440194.669002661759110292
58Yarnell0.643980.5376311.54571.27520214.351001911236810086
59John Coffey0.633510.5294110.83391.30480201.93200191121709988
60Bihl Rankings0.646340.5652210.77752.44270204.25200164106589170
61Brian Gabrielle0.588540.4970811.32031.37260214.29300192113798586
62Eric Hollobaugh0.604320.5882410.3521-0.11700176.5970013984558056
63Brent Craig0.593980.4803111.64691.18080220.4430013379546166
64Computer Adjusted Line0.640450.5061710.82400.69290194.19100267171964140
65Tom Benson0.437500.3571411.4088-10.73250199.91800167959
66Line (updated)0.6441910.82020.70790194.6100026717295