Computer Rating System Prediction Results for Pro football (NFL)

2011 Season Totals

Through 2012-02-05
Rank System Pct. Correct Against Spread Absolute Error Bias Mean Square Error games suw sul atsw atsl
1Line (updated)0.6554310.5993-0.99620189.1280026717592
2Bradshaw Line0.636360.4545512.9091-2.20000235.11600117456
3DirectorOfInformation0.666670.5070411.6563-3.08110214.362007550253635
4Computer Adjusted Line0.651690.5542210.5674-0.94920188.93400267174934637
5Roundtable0.644300.5220612.06060.14110232.4530014996537165
6Betgrinders.com0.646620.4552810.92850.31510206.4230013386475667
7Ridge Regression0.683230.5194811.1801-0.46410201.37500161110518074
8Baldwin APPYAR0.625000.5099311.00960.15360212.96600160100607774
9John Coffey0.634150.4871811.4859-0.23710212.39700164104607680
10Bihl Rankings0.623380.4444412.13051.42880235.6600015496586480
11Dwiggins0.626440.5030711.9362-0.08150227.92800174109658281
12Bias Free Rankings0.666670.4792911.61310.20700220.28500177118598188
13ARGH Power Ratings0.637450.5495510.9124-0.66200204.5040025116091122100
14Turnover Adj. LS0.671230.4951911.0445-0.77650199.9010021914772103105
15Wunderdog Sports0.674160.5327510.5281-1.18050191.3180026718087122107
16Ashby AccuRatings0.659180.5404310.7566-1.34150191.0730026717691127108
17Pigskin Index0.666670.5177010.6929-0.14230195.0530026717889117109
18Reistertown Index0.641430.5111111.2749-1.50000206.3210025116190115110
19Stat Fox0.685390.5546610.8204-0.24000198.4700026718384137110
20Pointshare Ratings0.642550.4954111.2808-0.18670207.2400023515184108110
21Sportrends0.651690.5617511.0394-0.15030204.1250026717493141110
22Pi-Rate Ratings0.666670.5652210.8558-0.69360196.3910026717889143110
23Strengthranking.com0.646810.4977611.1485-1.11750209.6550023515283111112
24Cover810.639130.4862411.0430-0.49200200.8090023014783106112
25Nationalsportsrankings0.697210.5232110.4929-0.15540185.7140025117576124113
26Dunkel Index0.677900.5568610.6433-0.96130195.4080026718186142113
27Kambour Rating0.670410.5568610.7866-0.63030198.9320026717988142113
28Kasulis Enhanced Spread0.655430.5476210.6549-0.92620195.1030026717592138114
29Pat Laffaye0.659180.5472411.6184-0.35790218.9750026717691139115
30Sonny Moore0.632960.5472410.9658-1.43510203.8770026716998139115
31Line (opening)0.662920.4675910.7154-0.85340194.7000026717790101115
32CPA Retro Rankings0.644190.5451010.8417-0.29330208.0100026717295139116
33PerformanZ Ratings0.617980.5451011.0240-1.01060209.06600267165102139116
34Eric Hollobaugh0.660160.5245911.2831-0.40630214.0000025616987128116
35Hank Trexler0.666670.5000010.7640-2.04510197.7060026717889116116
36CPA Rankings0.670410.5411811.0150-0.29570207.1380026717988138117
37System Median0.674160.5357110.6260-0.72030194.8190026718087135117
38Beck Elo0.666670.5372511.0604-0.83550199.9750026717889137118
39David and Pasteur0.655430.5333310.9007-1.79360206.2710026717592136119
40TheSportsCruncher0.657690.5162610.9019-1.00580203.2530026017189127119
41Schmidt Comp. Ratings0.661350.5020910.8950-0.25200196.4500025116685120119
42System Average0.677900.5294110.6092-0.77840193.7760026718186135120
43Laffaye RWP0.625470.5294112.5393-3.40580259.15800267167100135120
44Game Time Decision0.681650.4872910.6085-0.20090193.1220026718285115121
45Steven Jens0.659180.5160011.20150.53420210.1430026717691129121
46Pi-Rate Mean0.647940.5198410.9139-0.50520198.0670026717394131121
47JFM Power Ratings0.644190.5215710.6886-0.20930197.7930026717295133122
48Dokter Entropy0.677900.5215710.5258-0.67910187.1650026718186133122
49Lee Burdorf0.674160.5196911.2367-0.03910211.1780026718087132122
50Massey Ratings0.674160.5120011.1078-0.23790206.7220026718087128122
51What If Sports0.662920.4853611.1199-3.17670216.1990026717790116123
52Compughter Ratings0.636700.5176511.6310-1.13620219.0890026717097132123
53Sagarin Predictive0.662920.5137310.9928-0.78080204.7730026717790131124
54NutShell Sports0.689140.5137311.7613-0.36240234.0990026718483131124
55Stephen Kerns0.655430.5118111.4341-1.37400212.8720026717592130124
56Michael Robert Ratings0.647940.5137310.8823-0.63350206.0440026717394131124
57LS - w/ team HFA0.599250.5019911.9467-1.39070236.81300267160107126125
58YourLinx0.644190.5098012.4726-0.83320258.5980026717295130125
59Scoring Effeciency0.666670.5058810.8684-0.44720202.8160026717889129126
60Covers.com0.655430.4795110.8484-0.33090202.3590026717592117127
61Pi-Rate Bias0.655430.4940711.1408-0.81800207.2590026717592125128
62Jim Armstrong0.654140.4960610.7759-0.49350193.9280026617492126128
63Brent Craig0.661650.4921311.0745-1.02740212.0810026617690125129
64Logistic Regression0.621720.4941211.4808-1.84540223.70000267166101126129
65RP Excel0.589640.4463513.0837-1.46800278.68300251148103104129
66Sagarin0.640450.4941210.9870-0.75920205.4160026717196126129
67Pythagorean Ratings0.662920.4902011.4937-0.85670218.5740026717790125130
68Sagarin Elo0.632960.4902011.2213-0.72020215.3490026716998125130
69Nutshell Girl0.640450.4862710.9270-0.41970204.9970026717196124131
70Nutshell Combo0.674160.4862711.0961-0.37930210.5160026718087124131
71Least Abs. Val Reg0.640450.4682512.0245-0.90560236.9020026717196118134
72Least Squares0.662920.4682511.3934-0.98530217.8000026717790118134
73NFL Pickles0.639850.4512211.8073-1.61960229.9530026116794111135