Computer Rating System Prediction Results for Pro football (NFL)

2010 Last Week

Through
Rank System Pct. Correct Against Spread Absolute Error Bias Mean Square Error games suw sul atsw atsl
1Sagarin Predictive0.818180.818187.71643.88360128.98600119292
2Lee Burdorf0.818180.818189.08183.11820150.55300119292
3Least Abs. Val Reg0.818180.636368.76362.35450143.12500119274
4LS - w/ team HFA0.818180.636368.68642.80090149.54700119274
5Roger Johnson0.818180.600008.44553.66360131.11000119264
6Stephen Kerns0.818180.818188.25452.80000127.70900119292
7Massey Ratings0.818180.636368.25003.43000129.12800119274
8Beck Elo0.818180.727278.18733.57640132.99900119283
9Austin Sports0.818180.909098.17185.19180142.229001192101
10Least Squares0.818180.818187.78453.49550127.49400119292
11Dwiggins0.750000.750008.82500.77500152.1070043131
12Kasulis Enhanced Spread0.727270.545458.72453.33000143.17400118365
13Bihl Rankings0.727270.727278.73555.36820149.42800118383
14Steven Jens0.727270.500008.80915.02730150.02200118355
15Game Time Decision0.727270.454559.22645.13730160.20200118356
16Yarnell0.727270.8000011.54556.45450195.75800118382
17System Median0.727270.727278.52824.50820145.50300118383
18System Average0.727270.727278.50554.48730144.01500118383
19Schmidt Comp. Ratings0.727270.727278.46094.88820140.49800118383
20Stat Fox0.727270.800008.27274.27270152.61300118382
21Dunkel Index0.727270.545458.25641.99820119.02300118365
22Ashby AccuRatings0.727270.818188.18182.91090141.04600118392
23Pat Laffaye0.727270.888897.98183.72730137.00200118381
24Sportrends0.727270.727277.77363.77360132.13400118383
25ARGH Power Ratings0.700000.777789.20005.20000167.49600107372
26Cover810.666670.333333.9000-0.5667021.9630032112
27PerformanZ Ratings0.636360.454559.45734.48820167.48600117456
28CPA Rankings0.636360.636368.99735.00820152.04300117474
29Sonny Moore0.636360.545458.95454.97820164.30700117465
30Wunderdog Sports0.636360.750008.81824.63640143.95500117462
31Eric Hollobaugh0.636360.727278.76095.45180158.84600117483
32Pigskin Index0.636360.636368.54734.54730143.80800117474
33Sagarin0.636360.727278.49363.89360141.04800117483
34Kambour Rating0.636360.818188.48184.60000140.62200117492
35PickingPros.com0.636360.727278.29184.45730140.14500117483
36Michael Robert Ratings0.636360.636368.06184.16180127.74700117474
37Atomic Football0.625000.7500010.20385.64880164.8760085362
38JFM Power Ratings0.545450.454559.89005.58450168.35100116556
39Upset Report0.545450.636369.90916.27270183.78700116574
40NutShell Sports0.545450.5454510.10364.99270181.58800116565
41Line (opening)0.545450.1428610.18184.90910174.99100116516
42Reistertown Index0.545450.4444410.90913.45450202.00600116545
43What If Sports0.545450.5555611.25456.52730199.58500116554
44Sagarin Elo0.545450.545459.68733.50910161.72400116565
45NFL Pickles0.545450.636369.62733.73640148.98500116574
46Line (updated)0.545459.59095.04550167.799001165
47Computer Adjusted Line0.545451.000009.40914.95450164.88200116530
48John Coffey0.545450.727279.18095.40450162.92700116583
49Scoring Effeciency0.545450.636369.16555.72000159.93300116574
50Pythagorean Ratings0.545450.636369.06365.55090158.03500116574
51Strengthranking.com0.545450.727278.05552.18270115.13800116583
52RP Excel0.454550.4545511.54556.81820182.41000115656
53CPA Retro Rankings0.454550.2727311.20275.76640195.48200115638
54Jim Armstrong0.454550.3636410.67647.31450196.63400115647
55David and Pasteur0.363640.545459.51185.40270160.21800114765
56Dokter Entropy0.363640.636369.62826.01360167.47500114774
57Logistic Regression0.363640.454559.92733.04000157.32500114756
58Covers.com0.363640.5454510.52736.20000193.36200114765
59Nutshell Combo0.363640.5454510.55915.51550193.14600114765
60Nutshell Girl0.363640.3636410.87276.05270198.68000114747
61YourLinx0.363640.2727311.55553.60640196.61400114738
62Hank Trexler0.272730.3000010.54554.36360174.99600113837