Computer Rating System Prediction Results for Pro football (NFL)

2008 Last Week

System Pct. Correct Against Spread Absolute Error Bias Mean Square Error games suw sul atsw atsl
RP Excel0.727270.727278.90915.30000173.29100118383
Lee Burdorf0.727270.5454510.20000.79000213.49100118365
Stat Fox0.636360.3636410.36361.90000184.53900117447
Kasulis Enhanced Spread0.636360.4545510.18182.53000169.01300117456
Least Abs. Val Reg0.636360.4545510.09452.94700151.54400117456
Covers.com0.636360.4545510.00915.47000165.94500117456
Pythagorean Ratings0.636360.545459.69184.64200152.51100117465
NutShell Retro0.636360.545459.65095.15500158.09200117465
Sonny Moore0.636360.636369.02452.62400139.00100117474
PerformanZ Ratings0.636360.727279.00094.52500146.53100117483
Pigskin Herald0.600000.4000010.58003.10000172.33500106446
TheSportsCruncher0.600000.500009.87005.79000154.24100106455
Strengthranking.com0.571430.2857111.69292.29830273.7860074325
Dokter Entropy0.545450.2727310.28004.72500184.73800116538
Steven Jens0.545450.5454510.36274.01100172.82800116565
Nutshell Girl0.545450.4545510.41185.92300181.37700116556
CPA Rankings0.545450.4545510.58824.37600208.88900116556
NutShell Sports0.545450.3636410.72452.08100186.38800116547
Dwiggins0.545450.4545510.78182.96000180.56200116556
Dunkel Index0.545450.3636411.11644.03700203.83500116547
Reistertown Index0.545450.4000011.18183.30000188.41100116546
Line (opening)0.545450.2222210.22734.35000172.83300116527
LS - w/ team HFA0.545450.5454510.20645.95300220.03900116565
Sport Trends0.545450.727278.82738.16000160.92700116583
Scoring Effeciency0.545450.545459.70184.85500156.32300116565
Pigskin Index0.545450.545459.72733.30000164.01100116565
Grid Iron Gold0.545450.636369.77364.50100145.86000116574
Ashby AccuRatings0.545450.600009.81915.40100165.90700116564
Game Time Decision0.545450.545459.83644.64000166.87500116565
Hank Trexler0.545450.555569.90914.70000169.09100116554
Eric Hollobaugh0.545450.454559.98003.99000161.60400116556
System Median0.545450.6363610.12824.07600165.75200116574
Cover810.500000.500009.25006.00000120.3750042222
Upset Report0.500000.2500011.25004.25000157.2340042213
Tom Benson0.454550.4545510.77645.47500202.83300115656
What If Sports0.454550.3000010.81824.10000196.41900115637
CPA Retro Rankings0.454550.4000010.84645.60000213.11100115646
Beck Elo0.454550.3636411.00642.29000185.36200115647
Stephen Kerns0.454550.5454511.2545-1.48000196.32500115665
Bihl Rankings0.454550.4545510.55914.43400170.60400115656
Kambour Rating0.454550.5454510.55825.30400186.13300115665
Computer Adjusted Line0.454550.3333310.18184.25000170.36900115612
Line (updated)0.4545510.04554.20000168.636001156
Jeff Self0.454550.545459.93915.60300166.01900115665
Least Squares0.454550.545459.93183.05600156.32900115665
Mike Greenfield0.454550.818189.77274.07000154.88700115692
Roger Johnson0.454550.727279.53273.70400145.26300115683
Jonathan Wilson0.400000.5000010.61004.61000165.02200104655
ARGH Power Ratings0.363640.1111110.95454.40000191.86400114718
Sagarin Elo0.363640.4545510.77004.88400188.56900114756
Nutshell Combo0.363640.4545510.59362.73200169.36500114756
JFM Power Ratings0.363640.3636410.56364.33700179.90400114747
John Coffey0.363640.4545510.46004.89000176.34000114756
Sagarin0.363640.5454510.45094.17200174.71600114765
Logistic Regression0.363640.3636410.44914.23400166.49400114747
System Average0.363640.6363610.13824.05400166.62500114774
Sagarin Predictive0.363640.5454510.07733.34300164.45200114765
Michael Robert Ratings0.363640.636369.60184.44000146.30600114774
YourLinx0.272730.5454510.45643.39300168.15400113865