Computer Rating System Prediction Results for Pro football (NFL)

2010 Second Half Totals

Through
Rank System Pct. Correct Against Spread Absolute Error Bias Mean Square Error games suw sul atsw atsl
1Line (opening)0.698530.5531910.99261.05150195.0650013695415242
2Cover810.686960.5045011.04780.43570193.0530011579365655
3Line (updated)0.6788311.12411.14600198.979001379344
4Game Time Decision0.678830.4961811.03271.83620192.9410013793446566
5Computer Adjusted Line0.671530.5555611.10221.13140197.8850013792452016
6Michael Robert Ratings0.671530.4926511.14610.75330205.3470013792456769
7ARGH Power Ratings0.666670.5229411.31460.20210200.5650012080405752
8System Average0.664230.5220611.02441.04090194.4160013791467165
9Dokter Entropy0.664230.5037011.07271.71170197.2380013791466867
10Yarnell0.656930.5481511.68382.19740212.0590013790477461
11Nutshell Girl0.656930.4852911.28421.51510199.6170013790476670
12NFL Pickles0.656930.5746311.2759-0.49930200.7680013790477757
13Sagarin Elo0.656930.5147111.15091.10260192.7710013790477066
14Upset Report0.649640.5581411.71530.63500217.9610013789487257
15PickingPros.com0.649640.5588211.34730.69910209.9970013789487660
16JFM Power Ratings0.649640.4264711.29241.52580199.5720013789485878
17Schmidt Comp. Ratings0.649640.5367611.18251.62500199.3950013789487363
18System Median0.649640.5367611.04911.12760195.0170013789487363
19Sagarin0.649640.5514710.79451.11790188.7820013789487561
20Austin Sports0.644630.6166710.98920.95350199.9510012178437446
21Least Abs. Val Reg0.642340.4191212.1285-0.19340228.8880013788495779
22CPA Retro Rankings0.642340.4411811.6105-0.04230210.5720013788496076
23Kasulis Enhanced Spread0.642340.4926511.4537-0.16180205.4020013788496769
24Hank Trexler0.642340.5038811.19710.35040200.3930013788496564
25Ashby AccuRatings0.642340.5426411.19011.51180202.1680013788497059
26Covers.com0.642340.5447811.08501.69400198.2400013788497361
27Wunderdog Sports0.642340.5126110.99270.40880193.4150013788496158
28Stat Fox0.642340.4341110.98551.74470193.4900013788495673
29John Coffey0.642340.5514710.95991.41810193.3690013788497561
30Sagarin Predictive0.642340.5955910.81571.05120192.6920013788498155
31Massey Ratings0.642340.5629610.78240.94010189.6480013788497659
32Bihl Rankings0.642280.5691110.88802.23170191.6720012379447053
33Dwiggins0.640350.5089311.89481.27730230.0190011473415755
34Reistertown Index0.635040.4885511.81750.53280215.2610013787506467
35David and Pasteur0.635040.4926511.40961.67200208.8440013787506769
36Stephen Kerns0.627740.5522411.33430.49930202.2360013786517460
37Pat Laffaye0.627740.5447811.36280.56720210.8370013786517361
38Scoring Effeciency0.627740.5000011.44621.48400211.9890013786516868
39Jim Armstrong0.627740.5000011.50871.79950207.6070013786516767
40Nutshell Combo0.627740.4264711.55371.40820204.9970013786515878
41YourLinx0.627740.4485311.82911.39090213.9980013786516175
42Atomic Football0.626870.5112811.36810.91760205.1440013484506865
43Eric Hollobaugh0.626170.6261710.43681.23500183.2580010767406740
44Kambour Rating0.620440.5955911.21571.04010203.5180013785528155
45Pigskin Index0.620440.4651211.34311.67980202.8880013785526069
46CPA Rankings0.620440.5367611.4471-0.07980211.2040013785527363
47Least Squares0.620440.5441211.6472-0.10280216.5020013785527462
48Strengthranking.com0.613140.5882411.11540.51850198.5540013784538056
49Sonny Moore0.613140.4632411.38680.91180205.5130013784536373
50Brian Gabrielle0.612900.4915312.10483.37900226.360006238242930
51Sportrends0.605840.5581411.36501.71600209.5090013783547257
52What If Sports0.605840.4545512.2175-0.80440225.2950013783546072
53Roger Johnson0.605840.5303011.2912-0.19050204.6220013783547062
54Steven Jens0.602940.5000011.45741.90440204.1610013682546666
55Pythagorean Ratings0.598540.5294111.21241.46410205.3630013782557264
56PerformanZ Ratings0.598540.5185211.55230.47720208.6730013782557065
57Dunkel Index0.598540.4485311.63420.53880212.0110013782556175
58Nationalsportsrankings0.595240.4480011.63271.38600214.2610012675515669
59Lee Burdorf0.591240.4887212.04601.43870236.2920013781566568
60Beck Elo0.591240.5073511.39340.88800205.7280013781566967
61NutShell Sports0.583940.4222212.14261.44050227.1720013780575778
62Brent Craig0.572730.4761911.52761.70950213.3490011063475055
63LS - w/ team HFA0.569340.4360912.6504-0.09380242.8650013778595875
64RP Excel0.569340.4592612.82481.00000264.2340013778596273
65Logistic Regression0.554740.4962411.64740.32510204.8130013776616667