Computer Rating System Prediction Results for Pro football (NFL)

2010 Last Week

Through
Rank System Pct. Correct Against Spread Absolute Error Bias Mean Square Error games suw sul atsw atsl
1ARGH Power Ratings0.700000.777789.20005.20000167.49600107372
2Ashby AccuRatings0.727270.818188.18182.91090141.04600118392
3Atomic Football0.625000.7500010.20385.64880164.8760085362
4Austin Sports0.818180.909098.17185.19180142.229001192101
5Beck Elo0.818180.727278.18733.57640132.99900119283
6Bihl Rankings0.727270.727278.73555.36820149.42800118383
7Computer Adjusted Line0.545451.000009.40914.95450164.88200116530
8Cover810.666670.333333.9000-0.5667021.9630032112
9Covers.com0.363640.5454510.52736.20000193.36200114765
10CPA Rankings0.636360.636368.99735.00820152.04300117474
11CPA Retro Rankings0.454550.2727311.20275.76640195.48200115638
12David and Pasteur0.363640.545459.51185.40270160.21800114765
13Dokter Entropy0.363640.636369.62826.01360167.47500114774
14Dunkel Index0.727270.545458.25641.99820119.02300118365
15Dwiggins0.750000.750008.82500.77500152.1070043131
16Eric Hollobaugh0.636360.727278.76095.45180158.84600117483
17Game Time Decision0.727270.454559.22645.13730160.20200118356
18Hank Trexler0.272730.3000010.54554.36360174.99600113837
19JFM Power Ratings0.545450.454559.89005.58450168.35100116556
20Jim Armstrong0.454550.3636410.67647.31450196.63400115647
21John Coffey0.545450.727279.18095.40450162.92700116583
22Kambour Rating0.636360.818188.48184.60000140.62200117492
23Kasulis Enhanced Spread0.727270.545458.72453.33000143.17400118365
24Least Abs. Val Reg0.818180.636368.76362.35450143.12500119274
25Least Squares0.818180.818187.78453.49550127.49400119292
26Lee Burdorf0.818180.818189.08183.11820150.55300119292
27Line (opening)0.545450.1428610.18184.90910174.99100116516
28Line (updated)0.545459.59095.04550167.799001165
29Logistic Regression0.363640.454559.92733.04000157.32500114756
30LS - w/ team HFA0.818180.636368.68642.80090149.54700119274
31Massey Ratings0.818180.636368.25003.43000129.12800119274
32Michael Robert Ratings0.636360.636368.06184.16180127.74700117474
33NFL Pickles0.545450.636369.62733.73640148.98500116574
34Nutshell Combo0.363640.5454510.55915.51550193.14600114765
35Nutshell Girl0.363640.3636410.87276.05270198.68000114747
36NutShell Sports0.545450.5454510.10364.99270181.58800116565
37Pat Laffaye0.727270.888897.98183.72730137.00200118381
38PerformanZ Ratings0.636360.454559.45734.48820167.48600117456
39PickingPros.com0.636360.727278.29184.45730140.14500117483
40Pigskin Index0.636360.636368.54734.54730143.80800117474
41Pythagorean Ratings0.545450.636369.06365.55090158.03500116574
42Reistertown Index0.545450.4444410.90913.45450202.00600116545
43Roger Johnson0.818180.600008.44553.66360131.11000119264
44RP Excel0.454550.4545511.54556.81820182.41000115656
45Sagarin0.636360.727278.49363.89360141.04800117483
46Sagarin Elo0.545450.545459.68733.50910161.72400116565
47Sagarin Predictive0.818180.818187.71643.88360128.98600119292
48Schmidt Comp. Ratings0.727270.727278.46094.88820140.49800118383
49Scoring Effeciency0.545450.636369.16555.72000159.93300116574
50Sonny Moore0.636360.545458.95454.97820164.30700117465
51Sportrends0.727270.727277.77363.77360132.13400118383
52Stat Fox0.727270.800008.27274.27270152.61300118382
53Stephen Kerns0.818180.818188.25452.80000127.70900119292
54Steven Jens0.727270.500008.80915.02730150.02200118355
55Strengthranking.com0.545450.727278.05552.18270115.13800116583
56System Average0.727270.727278.50554.48730144.01500118383
57System Median0.727270.727278.52824.50820145.50300118383
58Upset Report0.545450.636369.90916.27270183.78700116574
59What If Sports0.545450.5555611.25456.52730199.58500116554
60Wunderdog Sports0.636360.750008.81824.63640143.95500117462
61Yarnell0.727270.8000011.54556.45450195.75800118382
62YourLinx0.363640.2727311.55553.60640196.61400114738