Computer Rating System Prediction Results for Pro football (NFL)

2010 Season Totals

Through
Rank System Pct. Correct Against Spread Absolute Error Bias Mean Square Error games suw sul atsw atsl
1Line (opening)0.657890.5257710.80080.74440194.669002661759110292
2Line (updated)0.6441910.82020.70790194.6100026717295
3Game Time Decision0.640450.5240010.81081.33000194.3450026717196131119
4Computer Adjusted Line0.640450.5061710.82400.69290194.19100267171964140
5Michael Robert Ratings0.636700.5115410.83620.35150198.0230026717097133127
6CPA Retro Rankings0.632960.4423111.55210.25000219.6540026716998115145
7Ashby AccuRatings0.632960.4831911.09741.21790201.5080026716998115123
8Dokter Entropy0.629210.4594611.06840.96460199.2800026716899119140
9Jim Armstrong0.629210.4728711.15731.28720202.6390026716899122136
10Stat Fox0.629210.4146311.48691.24000211.2880026716899102144
11System Average0.625470.4923111.02590.61650199.31500267167100128132
12Stephen Kerns0.625470.5000011.4734-0.05170211.25300267167100129129
13JFM Power Ratings0.621720.4500011.45291.07080208.26700267166101117143
14Kambour Rating0.621720.5153811.52310.54670214.61600267166101134126
15Wunderdog Sports0.621720.4585211.01500.11610197.67400267166101105124
16David and Pasteur0.621720.5173710.99221.06030199.62000267166101134125
17Sagarin Predictive0.621720.5538510.98450.80510200.69500267166101144116
18CPA Rankings0.617980.5000011.46870.39930217.52900267165102130130
19Sagarin Elo0.617980.4692311.42220.61310208.76300267165102122138
20Upset Report0.617980.5387811.3933-0.13480209.73000267165102132113
21Massey Ratings0.617980.4980711.07480.86170199.67400267165102129130
22Pigskin Index0.617980.4938311.05611.21430199.55900267165102120123
23Sagarin0.617980.4961511.01750.72560200.68500267165102129131
24System Median0.617980.4922511.01460.69920199.09800267165102127131
25Nutshell Girl0.614230.4594611.20570.79980205.06500267164103119140
26Covers.com0.614230.5156311.08770.96370206.09500267164103132124
27Atomic Football0.621210.4549011.17630.54990202.11400264164100116139
28Scoring Effeciency0.610490.5269211.16461.05190206.02100267163104137123
29Reistertown Index0.610490.5179311.31830.30720206.72400267163104130121
30Nutshell Combo0.610490.4341111.49810.78580209.00800267163104112146
31NFL Pickles0.610490.5136211.9532-0.70300228.06300267163104132125
32Kasulis Enhanced Spread0.606740.4648411.40500.10340209.23300267162105119137
33PerformanZ Ratings0.606740.5444011.22540.20290204.27500267162105141118
34Hank Trexler0.603000.4959711.1498-0.39330201.90600267161106123125
35Sportrends0.603000.5220911.40451.38260212.08300267161106130119
36Least Abs. Val Reg0.599250.4594611.9852-0.39530236.49600267160107119140
37NutShell Sports0.599250.4324312.06840.72040227.22000267160107112147
38Schmidt Comp. Ratings0.591760.4807711.31371.10060208.59100267158109125135
39Pat Laffaye0.588010.5193811.79590.41540229.11800267157110134124
40Least Squares0.588010.5057911.8537-0.28480232.07000267157110131128
41YourLinx0.588010.4346213.17810.38160270.06400267157110113147
42Sonny Moore0.588010.4923111.14650.43590210.42500267157110128132
43Dunkel Index0.584270.4500011.55740.19930217.69100267156111117143
44ARGH Power Ratings0.620000.4978011.1970-0.16300203.3550025015595113114
45What If Sports0.580520.4136512.2584-0.61800234.40000267155112103146
46Steven Jens0.578950.4488211.53761.24970213.91400266154112114140
47Beck Elo0.573030.4807711.61940.44040219.43400267153114125135
48Lee Burdorf0.565540.4863812.29781.18620243.81500267151116125132
49Pythagorean Ratings0.565540.5269211.55440.32310224.84100267151116137123
50Nationalsportsrankings0.589840.4556511.46200.97270212.54200256151105113135
51Strengthranking.com0.593630.5122011.81270.70460220.38400251149102126120
52RP Excel0.554310.4782612.14981.28840245.18500267148119121132
53Logistic Regression0.535580.5019611.6609-0.32490221.94200267143124128127
54Cover810.660470.5123210.5856-0.31110190.824002151427310499
55LS - w/ team HFA0.531840.4505912.4948-0.52880243.37200267142125114139
56PickingPros.com0.625570.5441911.49930.31510221.178002191378211798
57Dwiggins0.586960.4864912.25000.58140240.7040023013595108114
58Roger Johnson0.593610.5071111.61700.40740226.2280021913089107104
59Yarnell0.643980.5376311.54571.27520214.351001911236810086
60John Coffey0.633510.5294110.83391.30480201.93200191121709988
61Austin Sports0.629630.6000011.14230.94190218.176001891197011174
62Brian Gabrielle0.588540.4970811.32031.37260214.29300192113798586
63Bihl Rankings0.646340.5652210.77752.44270204.25200164106589170
64Eric Hollobaugh0.604320.5882410.3521-0.11700176.5970013984558056
65Brent Craig0.593980.4803111.64691.18080220.4430013379546166
66Tom Benson0.437500.3571411.4088-10.73250199.91800167959