ThePredictionTracker NFL RESULTS

Computer Rating System Prediction Results for Pro football (NFL)

2011 Last Week

Through 2012-02-05

Rank	System	Pct. Correct	Against Spread	Absolute Error	Bias	Mean Square Error	games	suw	sul	atsw	atsl
1	Ridge Regression	0.75000	0.50000	13.8050	-7.13500	251.24400	8	6	2	4	4
2	CPA Retro Rankings	0.72727	0.54545	10.8782	-1.69700	199.97700	11	8	3	6	5
3	TheSportsCruncher	0.70000	0.60000	11.6400	-7.66000	182.86400	10	7	3	6	4
4	Bihl Rankings	0.57143	0.28571	11.3114	-6.83670	153.88400	7	4	3	2	5
5	Pythagorean Ratings	0.63636	0.54545	12.3873	-4.29000	227.97900	11	7	4	6	5
6	ARGH Power Ratings	0.63636	0.60000	12.2727	-3.60000	255.50400	11	7	4	6	4
7	Pat Laffaye	0.63636	0.54545	12.2182	-3.91000	214.20000	11	7	4	6	5
8	Logistic Regression	0.63636	0.45455	12.1345	-5.78100	261.96000	11	7	4	5	6
9	Sagarin	0.63636	0.54545	12.0973	-4.83000	228.08900	11	7	4	6	5
10	Bias Free Rankings	0.63636	0.45455	12.5164	-3.98700	244.38900	11	7	4	5	6
11	NFL Pickles	0.63636	0.36364	12.5455	-2.22000	216.47700	11	7	4	4	7
12	Sagarin Elo	0.63636	0.45455	12.6627	-4.66000	272.80200	11	7	4	5	6
13	Bradshaw Line	0.63636	0.45455	12.9091	-2.20000	235.11600	11	7	4	5	6
14	Michael Robert Ratings	0.63636	0.45455	13.1082	-3.81600	255.21500	11	7	4	5	6
15	RP Excel	0.63636	0.45455	14.4545	-6.00000	297.00000	11	7	4	5	6
16	Roundtable	0.60000	0.44444	12.9000	-3.70000	237.33100	10	6	4	4	5
17	Dunkel Index	0.63636	0.54545	12.0445	-6.33200	222.67600	11	7	4	6	5
18	Covers.com	0.63636	0.40000	12.0000	-4.80000	229.92000	11	7	4	4	6
19	Schmidt Comp. Ratings	0.63636	0.45455	11.9945	-4.67800	222.54900	11	7	4	5	6
20	Kasulis Enhanced Spread	0.63636	0.70000	10.7364	-5.60000	188.28200	11	7	4	7	3
21	Lee Burdorf	0.63636	0.63636	10.8909	-5.40000	184.40400	11	7	4	7	4
22	Pi-Rate Mean	0.63636	0.45455	11.1000	-2.91000	206.22400	11	7	4	5	6
23	Ashby AccuRatings	0.63636	0.60000	11.4545	-7.10000	192.25900	11	7	4	6	4
24	Pi-Rate Bias	0.63636	0.45455	11.4818	-5.37000	241.32700	11	7	4	5	6
25	Dokter Entropy	0.63636	0.45455	11.5327	-3.02000	212.42500	11	7	4	5	6
26	Massey Ratings	0.63636	0.50000	11.6364	-4.70000	209.49100	11	7	4	4	4
27	Brent Craig	0.63636	0.54545	11.6745	-6.37400	211.00600	11	7	4	6	5
28	Pointshare Ratings	0.63636	0.54545	11.7000	-4.46000	223.08100	11	7	4	6	5
29	Jim Armstrong	0.63636	0.27273	11.7118	-3.53100	211.91100	11	7	4	3	8
30	Least Squares	0.63636	0.45455	11.7491	-3.95200	197.38700	11	7	4	5	6
31	Sagarin Predictive	0.63636	0.63636	11.8191	-4.80200	207.64200	11	7	4	7	4
32	Scoring Effeciency	0.63636	0.45455	11.9082	-4.77300	219.30300	11	7	4	5	6
33	Stat Fox	0.54545	0.30000	12.3636	-4.90000	204.09900	11	6	5	3	7
34	Steven Jens	0.54545	0.27273	12.3364	-4.48000	221.85300	11	6	5	3	8
35	Dwiggins	0.54545	0.54545	12.3000	-3.77000	214.15600	11	6	5	6	5
36	Stephen Kerns	0.54545	0.54545	12.2818	-6.23000	211.61400	11	6	5	6	5
37	System Median	0.54545	0.50000	12.2373	-4.87600	219.13000	11	6	5	5	5
38	Nutshell Combo	0.54545	0.36364	12.2309	-4.41700	209.23100	11	6	5	4	7
39	Beck Elo	0.54545	0.45455	12.3809	-5.12100	219.39000	11	6	5	5	6
40	Sonny Moore	0.54545	0.45455	12.4982	-5.59400	216.45200	11	6	5	5	6
41	PerformanZ Ratings	0.54545	0.36364	12.5255	-5.35100	250.68600	11	6	5	4	7
42	Hank Trexler	0.54545	0.18182	12.5455	-6.00000	237.20000	11	6	5	2	9
43	Compughter Ratings	0.54545	0.45455	12.5727	-4.53000	220.20800	11	6	5	5	6
44	CPA Rankings	0.54545	0.36364	12.6527	-2.52100	246.64300	11	6	5	4	7
45	LS - w/ team HFA	0.54545	0.36364	12.9355	-4.87500	248.74000	11	6	5	4	7
46	NutShell Sports	0.54545	0.45455	13.0700	-3.67000	220.26900	11	6	5	5	6
47	Wunderdog Sports	0.54545	0.50000	12.1818	-6.10000	215.57900	11	6	5	4	4
48	Game Time Decision	0.54545	0.45455	12.1818	-4.10000	220.56900	11	6	5	5	6
49	JFM Power Ratings	0.54545	0.45455	11.4682	-4.27000	209.55900	11	6	5	5	6
50	Computer Adjusted Line	0.54545	0.50000	11.5455	-5.20000	205.24600	11	6	5	2	2
51	Line (updated)	0.54545		11.5455	-5.20000	203.54600	11	6	5
52	Nutshell Girl	0.54545	0.45455	11.6764	-4.81300	215.88100	11	6	5	5	6
53	Kambour Rating	0.54545	0.54545	11.7509	-3.61800	215.89400	11	6	5	6	5
54	Cover81	0.54545	0.45455	11.8000	-4.56000	212.64300	11	6	5	5	6
55	Strengthranking.com	0.54545	0.54545	11.8091	-4.14300	185.99900	11	6	5	6	5
56	Line (opening)	0.54545	0.16667	11.8182	-5.10000	213.94900	11	6	5	1	5
57	Turnover Adj. LS	0.54545	0.54545	12.1636	-6.82400	208.87400	11	6	5	6	5
58	Sportrends	0.54545	0.45455	12.1364	-4.40000	206.86400	11	6	5	5	6
59	Pigskin Index	0.54545	0.50000	12.0909	-4.60000	211.48400	11	6	5	5	5
60	System Average	0.54545	0.54545	12.0627	-4.90600	213.98800	11	6	5	6	5
61	Pi-Rate Ratings	0.54545	0.36364	11.9727	-4.59000	225.36200	11	6	5	4	7
62	Nationalsportsrankings	0.54545	0.40000	11.8345	-4.92300	210.81900	11	6	5	4	6
63	Laffaye RWP	0.45455	0.36364	13.9718	-5.99000	276.35400	11	5	6	4	7
64	DirectorOfInformation	0.45455	0.50000	13.4627	-3.62100	273.99800	11	5	6	5	5
65	What If Sports	0.45455	0.54545	12.7273	-7.40000	243.52400	11	5	6	6	5
66	John Coffey	0.45455	0.36364	12.6673	-4.27800	247.47500	11	5	6	4	7
67	David and Pasteur	0.45455	0.63636	12.5355	-7.25500	217.78600	11	5	6	7	4
68	YourLinx	0.45455	0.36364	12.4409	-3.98100	243.14900	11	5	6	4	7
69	Least Abs. Val Reg	0.45455	0.45455	12.0491	-4.85400	221.70300	11	5	6	5	6
70	Reistertown Index	0.45455	0.10000	14.6364	-6.40000	292.30400	11	5	6	1	9