Computer Rating System Prediction Results for Pro football (NFL)

2010 Season Totals

Through
Rank System Pct. Correct Against Spread Absolute Error Bias Mean Square Error games suw sul atsw atsl
1Tom Benson0.437500.3571411.4088-10.73250199.91800167959
2Brent Craig0.593980.4803111.64691.18080220.4430013379546166
3Eric Hollobaugh0.604320.5882410.3521-0.11700176.5970013984558056
4Bihl Rankings0.646340.5652210.77752.44270204.25200164106589170
5Yarnell0.643980.5376311.54571.27520214.351001911236810086
6Austin Sports0.629630.6000011.14230.94190218.176001891197011174
7John Coffey0.633510.5294110.83391.30480201.93200191121709988
8Cover810.660470.5123210.5856-0.31110190.824002151427310499
9Brian Gabrielle0.588540.4970811.32031.37260214.29300192113798586
10PickingPros.com0.625570.5441911.49930.31510221.178002191378211798
11Roger Johnson0.593610.5071111.61700.40740226.2280021913089107104
12Line (opening)0.657890.5257710.80080.74440194.669002661759110292
13Line (updated)0.6441910.82020.70790194.6100026717295
14Dwiggins0.586960.4864912.25000.58140240.7040023013595108114
15ARGH Power Ratings0.620000.4978011.1970-0.16300203.3550025015595113114
16Game Time Decision0.640450.5240010.81081.33000194.3450026717196131119
17Computer Adjusted Line0.640450.5061710.82400.69290194.19100267171964140
18Michael Robert Ratings0.636700.5115410.83620.35150198.0230026717097133127
19Ashby AccuRatings0.632960.4831911.09741.21790201.5080026716998115123
20CPA Retro Rankings0.632960.4423111.55210.25000219.6540026716998115145
21Stat Fox0.629210.4146311.48691.24000211.2880026716899102144
22Dokter Entropy0.629210.4594611.06840.96460199.2800026716899119140
23Jim Armstrong0.629210.4728711.15731.28720202.6390026716899122136
24Stephen Kerns0.625470.5000011.4734-0.05170211.25300267167100129129
25System Average0.625470.4923111.02590.61650199.31500267167100128132
26Atomic Football0.621210.4549011.17630.54990202.11400264164100116139
27Kambour Rating0.621720.5153811.52310.54670214.61600267166101134126
28JFM Power Ratings0.621720.4500011.45291.07080208.26700267166101117143
29Wunderdog Sports0.621720.4585211.01500.11610197.67400267166101105124
30David and Pasteur0.621720.5173710.99221.06030199.62000267166101134125
31Sagarin Predictive0.621720.5538510.98450.80510200.69500267166101144116
32Strengthranking.com0.593630.5122011.81270.70460220.38400251149102126120
33CPA Rankings0.617980.5000011.46870.39930217.52900267165102130130
34Sagarin Elo0.617980.4692311.42220.61310208.76300267165102122138
35System Median0.617980.4922511.01460.69920199.09800267165102127131
36Sagarin0.617980.4961511.01750.72560200.68500267165102129131
37Pigskin Index0.617980.4938311.05611.21430199.55900267165102120123
38Massey Ratings0.617980.4980711.07480.86170199.67400267165102129130
39Upset Report0.617980.5387811.3933-0.13480209.73000267165102132113
40Covers.com0.614230.5156311.08770.96370206.09500267164103132124
41Nutshell Girl0.614230.4594611.20570.79980205.06500267164103119140
42NFL Pickles0.610490.5136211.9532-0.70300228.06300267163104132125
43Scoring Effeciency0.610490.5269211.16461.05190206.02100267163104137123
44Reistertown Index0.610490.5179311.31830.30720206.72400267163104130121
45Nutshell Combo0.610490.4341111.49810.78580209.00800267163104112146
46PerformanZ Ratings0.606740.5444011.22540.20290204.27500267162105141118
47Kasulis Enhanced Spread0.606740.4648411.40500.10340209.23300267162105119137
48Nationalsportsrankings0.589840.4556511.46200.97270212.54200256151105113135
49Sportrends0.603000.5220911.40451.38260212.08300267161106130119
50Hank Trexler0.603000.4959711.1498-0.39330201.90600267161106123125
51Least Abs. Val Reg0.599250.4594611.9852-0.39530236.49600267160107119140
52NutShell Sports0.599250.4324312.06840.72040227.22000267160107112147
53Schmidt Comp. Ratings0.591760.4807711.31371.10060208.59100267158109125135
54Least Squares0.588010.5057911.8537-0.28480232.07000267157110131128
55Sonny Moore0.588010.4923111.14650.43590210.42500267157110128132
56Pat Laffaye0.588010.5193811.79590.41540229.11800267157110134124
57YourLinx0.588010.4346213.17810.38160270.06400267157110113147
58Dunkel Index0.584270.4500011.55740.19930217.69100267156111117143
59Steven Jens0.578950.4488211.53761.24970213.91400266154112114140
60What If Sports0.580520.4136512.2584-0.61800234.40000267155112103146
61Beck Elo0.573030.4807711.61940.44040219.43400267153114125135
62Lee Burdorf0.565540.4863812.29781.18620243.81500267151116125132
63Pythagorean Ratings0.565540.5269211.55440.32310224.84100267151116137123
64RP Excel0.554310.4782612.14981.28840245.18500267148119121132
65Logistic Regression0.535580.5019611.6609-0.32490221.94200267143124128127
66LS - w/ team HFA0.531840.4505912.4948-0.52880243.37200267142125114139