ThePredictionTracker NFL RESULTS

Computer Rating System Prediction Results for Pro football (NFL)

2011 Season Totals

Through 2012-02-05

Rank	System	Pct. Correct	Against Spread	Absolute Error	Bias	Mean Square Error	games	suw	sul	atsw	atsl
1	Nationalsportsrankings	0.69721	0.52321	10.4929	-0.15540	185.71400	251	175	76	124	113
2	Dokter Entropy	0.67790	0.52157	10.5258	-0.67910	187.16500	267	181	86	133	122
3	Computer Adjusted Line	0.65169	0.55422	10.5674	-0.94920	188.93400	267	174	93	46	37
4	Line (updated)	0.65543		10.5993	-0.99620	189.12800	267	175	92
5	Ashby AccuRatings	0.65918	0.54043	10.7566	-1.34150	191.07300	267	176	91	127	108
6	Wunderdog Sports	0.67416	0.53275	10.5281	-1.18050	191.31800	267	180	87	122	107
7	Game Time Decision	0.68165	0.48729	10.6085	-0.20090	193.12200	267	182	85	115	121
8	System Average	0.67790	0.52941	10.6092	-0.77840	193.77600	267	181	86	135	120
9	Jim Armstrong	0.65414	0.49606	10.7759	-0.49350	193.92800	266	174	92	126	128
10	Line (opening)	0.66292	0.46759	10.7154	-0.85340	194.70000	267	177	90	101	115
11	System Median	0.67416	0.53571	10.6260	-0.72030	194.81900	267	180	87	135	117
12	Pigskin Index	0.66667	0.51770	10.6929	-0.14230	195.05300	267	178	89	117	109
13	Kasulis Enhanced Spread	0.65543	0.54762	10.6549	-0.92620	195.10300	267	175	92	138	114
14	Dunkel Index	0.67790	0.55686	10.6433	-0.96130	195.40800	267	181	86	142	113
15	Pi-Rate Ratings	0.66667	0.56522	10.8558	-0.69360	196.39100	267	178	89	143	110
16	Schmidt Comp. Ratings	0.66135	0.50209	10.8950	-0.25200	196.45000	251	166	85	120	119
17	Hank Trexler	0.66667	0.50000	10.7640	-2.04510	197.70600	267	178	89	116	116
18	JFM Power Ratings	0.64419	0.52157	10.6886	-0.20930	197.79300	267	172	95	133	122
19	Pi-Rate Mean	0.64794	0.51984	10.9139	-0.50520	198.06700	267	173	94	131	121
20	Stat Fox	0.68539	0.55466	10.8204	-0.24000	198.47000	267	183	84	137	110
21	Kambour Rating	0.67041	0.55686	10.7866	-0.63030	198.93200	267	179	88	142	113
22	Turnover Adj. LS	0.67123	0.49519	11.0445	-0.77650	199.90100	219	147	72	103	105
23	Beck Elo	0.66667	0.53725	11.0604	-0.83550	199.97500	267	178	89	137	118
24	Cover81	0.63913	0.48624	11.0430	-0.49200	200.80900	230	147	83	106	112
25	Ridge Regression	0.68323	0.51948	11.1801	-0.46410	201.37500	161	110	51	80	74
26	Covers.com	0.65543	0.47951	10.8484	-0.33090	202.35900	267	175	92	117	127
27	Scoring Effeciency	0.66667	0.50588	10.8684	-0.44720	202.81600	267	178	89	129	126
28	TheSportsCruncher	0.65769	0.51626	10.9019	-1.00580	203.25300	260	171	89	127	119
29	Sonny Moore	0.63296	0.54724	10.9658	-1.43510	203.87700	267	169	98	139	115
30	Sportrends	0.65169	0.56175	11.0394	-0.15030	204.12500	267	174	93	141	110
31	ARGH Power Ratings	0.63745	0.54955	10.9124	-0.66200	204.50400	251	160	91	122	100
32	Sagarin Predictive	0.66292	0.51373	10.9928	-0.78080	204.77300	267	177	90	131	124
33	Nutshell Girl	0.64045	0.48627	10.9270	-0.41970	204.99700	267	171	96	124	131
34	Sagarin	0.64045	0.49412	10.9870	-0.75920	205.41600	267	171	96	126	129
35	Michael Robert Ratings	0.64794	0.51373	10.8823	-0.63350	206.04400	267	173	94	131	124
36	David and Pasteur	0.65543	0.53333	10.9007	-1.79360	206.27100	267	175	92	136	119
37	Reistertown Index	0.64143	0.51111	11.2749	-1.50000	206.32100	251	161	90	115	110
38	Betgrinders.com	0.64662	0.45528	10.9285	0.31510	206.42300	133	86	47	56	67
39	Massey Ratings	0.67416	0.51200	11.1078	-0.23790	206.72200	267	180	87	128	122
40	CPA Rankings	0.67041	0.54118	11.0150	-0.29570	207.13800	267	179	88	138	117
41	Pointshare Ratings	0.64255	0.49541	11.2808	-0.18670	207.24000	235	151	84	108	110
42	Pi-Rate Bias	0.65543	0.49407	11.1408	-0.81800	207.25900	267	175	92	125	128
43	CPA Retro Rankings	0.64419	0.54510	10.8417	-0.29330	208.01000	267	172	95	139	116
44	PerformanZ Ratings	0.61798	0.54510	11.0240	-1.01060	209.06600	267	165	102	139	116
45	Strengthranking.com	0.64681	0.49776	11.1485	-1.11750	209.65500	235	152	83	111	112
46	Steven Jens	0.65918	0.51600	11.2015	0.53420	210.14300	267	176	91	129	121
47	Nutshell Combo	0.67416	0.48627	11.0961	-0.37930	210.51600	267	180	87	124	131
48	Lee Burdorf	0.67416	0.51969	11.2367	-0.03910	211.17800	267	180	87	132	122
49	Brent Craig	0.66165	0.49213	11.0745	-1.02740	212.08100	266	176	90	125	129
50	John Coffey	0.63415	0.48718	11.4859	-0.23710	212.39700	164	104	60	76	80
51	Stephen Kerns	0.65543	0.51181	11.4341	-1.37400	212.87200	267	175	92	130	124
52	Baldwin APPYAR	0.62500	0.50993	11.0096	0.15360	212.96600	160	100	60	77	74
53	Eric Hollobaugh	0.66016	0.52459	11.2831	-0.40630	214.00000	256	169	87	128	116
54	DirectorOfInformation	0.66667	0.50704	11.6563	-3.08110	214.36200	75	50	25	36	35
55	Sagarin Elo	0.63296	0.49020	11.2213	-0.72020	215.34900	267	169	98	125	130
56	What If Sports	0.66292	0.48536	11.1199	-3.17670	216.19900	267	177	90	116	123
57	Least Squares	0.66292	0.46825	11.3934	-0.98530	217.80000	267	177	90	118	134
58	Pythagorean Ratings	0.66292	0.49020	11.4937	-0.85670	218.57400	267	177	90	125	130
59	Pat Laffaye	0.65918	0.54724	11.6184	-0.35790	218.97500	267	176	91	139	115
60	Compughter Ratings	0.63670	0.51765	11.6310	-1.13620	219.08900	267	170	97	132	123
61	Bias Free Rankings	0.66667	0.47929	11.6131	0.20700	220.28500	177	118	59	81	88
62	Logistic Regression	0.62172	0.49412	11.4808	-1.84540	223.70000	267	166	101	126	129
63	Dwiggins	0.62644	0.50307	11.9362	-0.08150	227.92800	174	109	65	82	81
64	NFL Pickles	0.63985	0.45122	11.8073	-1.61960	229.95300	261	167	94	111	135
65	Roundtable	0.64430	0.52206	12.0606	0.14110	232.45300	149	96	53	71	65
66	NutShell Sports	0.68914	0.51373	11.7613	-0.36240	234.09900	267	184	83	131	124
67	Bradshaw Line	0.63636	0.45455	12.9091	-2.20000	235.11600	11	7	4	5	6
68	Bihl Rankings	0.62338	0.44444	12.1305	1.42880	235.66000	154	96	58	64	80
69	LS - w/ team HFA	0.59925	0.50199	11.9467	-1.39070	236.81300	267	160	107	126	125
70	Least Abs. Val Reg	0.64045	0.46825	12.0245	-0.90560	236.90200	267	171	96	118	134
71	YourLinx	0.64419	0.50980	12.4726	-0.83320	258.59800	267	172	95	130	125
72	Laffaye RWP	0.62547	0.52941	12.5393	-3.40580	259.15800	267	167	100	135	120
73	RP Excel	0.58964	0.44635	13.0837	-1.46800	278.68300	251	148	103	104	129