Computer Rating System Prediction Results for Pro football (NFL)

2010 Retrodiction Results

Through
Rank System Pct. Correct Against Spread Absolute Error Bias Mean Square Error games suw sul atsw atsl
1System Average0.726590.000009.60640.63500152.702002671947300
2Sonny Moore0.700370.000009.83370.50810158.961002671878000
3LS - w/ team HFA0.696630.000008.98200.04920137.238002671868100
4Least Squares0.696630.000009.7106-0.35710154.162002671868100
5Ed Kambour0.692880.000009.77170.37620157.430002671858200
6Pythagorean Ratings0.692880.000009.96711.29120165.555002671858200
7JFM Power Ratings0.685390.000009.89391.13910159.773002671838400
8Beck Elo0.685390.000009.98871.19440161.535002671838400
9NutShell Sports0.681650.0000011.10901.18310191.173002671828500
10Stat Fox0.670410.0000010.11611.17980161.017002671798800
11Scoring Effeciency0.666670.0000010.20031.29630173.773002671788900
12Ashby Accuratings0.647940.0000010.11611.22470167.414002671739400
13Stephen Kerns0.704120.0000010.06401.23260160.072002671887900
14Logistic Regression0.704120.0000010.05150.19660173.660002671887900
15Roger Johnson0.722850.000009.71030.31000158.701002671937400
16Covers.com0.722850.000009.92511.32660167.508002671937400
17System Median0.719100.000009.61970.59690154.210002671927500
18Sagarin0.719100.000009.70840.12880155.972002671927500
19CPA Rankings0.715360.000009.11690.02270141.632002671917600
20CPA Retro0.715360.000009.47010.00810153.003002671917600
21Sagarin Elo0.715360.000009.89640.11820164.334002671917600
22Least Abs. Val Reg0.707870.000009.4960-0.28410161.831002671897800
23Sagarin Predictive0.707870.000009.68980.13660152.866002671897800
24Ed Bemiss0.707870.000009.98881.29400163.849002671897800
25PerformanZ Ratings0.704120.000009.79480.36670158.510002671887900
26Pigskin Index0.644190.0000010.03371.19480162.815002671729500

Copyright © 2010 Todd Beck