ThePredictionTracker NFL RESULTS

Computer Rating System Prediction Results for Pro football (NFL)

2011 Second Half Totals

Through 2012-02-05

Rank	System	Pct. Correct	Against Spread	Absolute Error	Bias	Mean Square Error	games	suw	sul	atsw	atsl
1	Kambour Rating	0.68613	0.56489	10.9743	-0.98930	195.25900	137	94	43	74	57
2	David and Pasteur	0.65693	0.55725	11.3001	-2.76860	201.34300	137	90	47	73	58
3	PerformanZ Ratings	0.63504	0.55725	11.1294	-1.51220	204.29200	137	87	50	73	58
4	Ashby AccuRatings	0.65693	0.55085	11.0001	-1.95550	189.04900	137	90	47	65	53
5	CPA Retro Rankings	0.65693	0.54962	10.8949	-1.59180	199.55900	137	90	47	72	59
6	Dunkel Index	0.69343	0.54962	11.0608	-1.48590	196.52800	137	95	42	72	59
7	Pat Laffaye	0.67153	0.53846	11.3372	-1.29780	199.66900	137	92	45	70	60
8	Kasulis Enhanced Spread	0.62774	0.53846	10.9326	-2.15780	193.12200	137	86	51	70	60
9	Dwiggins	0.65753	0.53731	11.2370	-1.21250	194.88400	73	48	25	36	31
10	TheSportsCruncher	0.69466	0.53600	10.9519	-1.87250	185.38100	131	91	40	67	58
11	Laffaye RWP	0.63504	0.53435	13.0987	-4.09300	266.08300	137	87	50	70	61
12	Pi-Rate Ratings	0.66423	0.53077	10.9708	-0.82790	182.84800	137	91	46	69	61
13	Reistertown Index	0.65289	0.52727	11.7933	-2.56660	209.34100	121	79	42	58	52
14	Turnover Adj. LS	0.70073	0.52672	10.6231	-1.62990	180.68300	137	96	41	69	62
15	Eric Hollobaugh	0.67460	0.52500	11.5247	-0.71470	207.55000	126	85	41	63	57
16	Lee Burdorf	0.64964	0.52308	11.4824	-0.10070	209.33000	137	89	48	68	62
17	Wunderdog Sports	0.67883	0.52212	10.7518	-1.86760	184.25400	137	93	44	59	54
18	Scoring Effeciency	0.67153	0.51908	10.9547	-0.98780	190.50200	137	92	45	68	63
19	Beck Elo	0.65693	0.51908	11.1412	-1.10500	195.59600	137	90	47	68	63
20	ARGH Power Ratings	0.64234	0.51220	11.3723	-1.43010	207.86300	137	88	49	63	60
21	Sportrends	0.65693	0.51163	11.3322	-0.72050	198.57400	137	90	47	66	63
22	Compughter Ratings	0.66423	0.51145	11.6097	-1.41290	208.85500	137	91	46	67	64
23	Roundtable	0.64444	0.50820	12.2520	-0.68130	232.65100	135	87	48	62	60
24	Stat Fox	0.65693	0.50794	11.1097	-0.68350	193.05200	137	90	47	64	62
25	DirectorOfInformation	0.66667	0.50704	11.6563	-3.08110	214.36200	75	50	25	36	35
26	CPA Rankings	0.65693	0.50382	11.1939	-1.68120	200.34500	137	90	47	66	65
27	Sagarin Predictive	0.67153	0.50382	11.4901	-1.67890	206.85400	137	92	45	66	65
28	Stephen Kerns	0.65693	0.50000	11.6519	-1.62270	207.89200	137	90	47	65	65
29	Baldwin APPYAR	0.56667	0.50000	12.6430	1.55830	243.05600	30	17	13	14	14
30	Sonny Moore	0.64964	0.50000	11.2334	-1.97970	197.97900	137	89	48	65	65
31	Ridge Regression	0.68657	0.50000	11.1468	-1.55340	197.68500	134	92	42	64	64
32	Pythagorean Ratings	0.67153	0.49618	11.2931	-1.03800	197.24800	137	92	45	65	66
33	System Average	0.67883	0.49618	11.0396	-1.35240	192.70400	137	93	44	65	66
34	Bias Free Rankings	0.68613	0.49618	11.1854	-0.71460	197.43600	137	94	43	65	66
35	Hank Trexler	0.67153	0.49573	11.0803	-2.51470	195.52700	137	92	45	58	59
36	Computer Adjusted Line	0.64234	0.49020	10.8686	-1.44120	185.97400	137	88	49	25	26
37	Dokter Entropy	0.67883	0.48855	10.8618	-0.99130	187.36500	137	93	44	64	67
38	Michael Robert Ratings	0.64234	0.48855	11.4272	-0.85930	207.32500	137	88	49	64	67
39	System Median	0.66423	0.48837	11.0977	-1.25420	194.97200	137	91	46	63	66
40	Strengthranking.com	0.62810	0.48696	11.6402	-2.09950	218.44200	121	76	45	56	59
41	Pigskin Index	0.64234	0.48673	11.0368	-0.46260	189.90700	137	88	49	55	58
42	Brent Craig	0.66912	0.48462	11.2451	-2.40510	203.29800	136	91	45	63	67
43	LS - w/ team HFA	0.61314	0.48462	11.9405	-1.79730	225.02200	137	84	53	63	67
44	Steven Jens	0.65693	0.48438	11.4971	-0.65880	207.84600	137	90	47	62	66
45	RP Excel	0.63636	0.48214	13.3802	-2.71670	271.18800	121	77	44	54	58
46	Schmidt Comp. Ratings	0.67883	0.48092	11.1464	-0.72200	197.10100	137	93	44	63	68
47	Sagarin	0.63504	0.48092	11.5994	-1.53800	211.30000	137	87	50	63	68
48	Nationalsportsrankings	0.68613	0.48062	10.9634	-0.62090	188.10900	137	94	43	62	67
49	Cover81	0.61940	0.48031	11.3268	-1.48100	197.32500	134	83	51	61	66
50	Jim Armstrong	0.64234	0.47328	11.1566	-0.75800	190.70600	137	88	49	62	69
51	Nutshell Girl	0.61314	0.47328	11.3934	-1.00720	207.50000	137	84	53	62	69
52	JFM Power Ratings	0.64964	0.47328	11.1145	-0.71120	198.06800	137	89	48	62	69
53	Least Abs. Val Reg	0.62774	0.46565	11.8120	-1.52240	221.45800	137	86	51	61	70
54	Sagarin Elo	0.63504	0.46565	11.9133	-1.40610	225.90400	137	87	50	61	70
55	Pointshare Ratings	0.65693	0.46457	11.1809	-1.36680	199.14600	137	90	47	59	68
56	What If Sports	0.68613	0.46281	11.4307	-3.80880	211.34900	137	94	43	56	65
57	John Coffey	0.64234	0.46154	11.4131	-1.03490	207.18100	137	88	49	60	70
58	Pi-Rate Mean	0.64234	0.46154	11.2818	-0.56460	193.17500	137	88	49	60	70
59	Massey Ratings	0.67153	0.46032	11.5382	-1.08760	207.89000	137	92	45	58	68
60	NutShell Sports	0.67883	0.45802	11.9727	-0.78820	216.24000	137	93	44	60	71
61	Logistic Regression	0.62044	0.45802	11.7467	-1.82320	223.15700	137	85	52	60	71
62	Bradshaw Line	0.63636	0.45455	12.9091	-2.20000	235.11600	11	7	4	5	6
63	Covers.com	0.64234	0.44355	11.2329	-0.94880	202.73900	137	88	49	55	69
64	Line (opening)	0.66423	0.44340	11.0438	-1.61760	191.51400	137	91	46	47	59
65	YourLinx	0.62774	0.44275	12.3551	-0.49880	234.02300	137	86	51	58	73
66	Least Squares	0.67153	0.44275	11.3425	-0.93900	200.55900	137	92	45	58	73
67	Betgrinders.com	0.56250	0.43750	14.7063	2.54380	294.15400	16	9	7	7	9
68	NFL Pickles	0.65152	0.43200	12.0136	-2.20610	224.51200	132	86	46	54	71
69	Pi-Rate Bias	0.65693	0.42308	11.5877	-1.30650	207.04600	137	90	47	55	75
70	Game Time Decision	0.67153	0.42017	11.0109	-0.68710	188.27200	137	92	45	50	69
71	Nutshell Combo	0.65693	0.41985	11.6466	-0.89730	208.16400	137	90	47	55	76
72	Bihl Rankings	0.63366	0.40000	11.8205	0.44850	214.28800	101	64	37	38	57
73	Line (updated)	0.64964		10.8759	-1.48530	185.49800	137	89	48