ThePredictionTracker NFL RESULTS

Computer Rating System Prediction Results for Pro football (NFL)

2008 Season Totals

System	Pct. Correct	Against Spread	Absolute Error	Bias	Mean Square Error	games	suw	sul	atsw	atsl
Mike Greenfield	0.63483	0.56069	11.2821	0.98140	202.71800	179	113	65	97	76
NutShell Retro	0.64286	0.55939	11.3292	0.58010	201.29700	267	171	95	146	115
Dokter Entropy	0.66541	0.55939	11.1404	0.60120	197.87200	267	177	89	146	115
Ashby AccuRatings	0.67669	0.55372	11.0748	0.64220	195.29300	267	180	86	134	108
Stephen Kerns	0.64286	0.54789	12.0600	-2.10030	239.05900	267	171	95	143	118
RP Excel	0.62000	0.54148	11.5738	0.49000	223.62400	251	155	95	124	105
NutShell Sports	0.64286	0.54023	11.5758	0.46130	208.17300	267	171	95	141	120
TheSportsCruncher	0.64906	0.53906	11.4180	-0.33590	208.99400	266	172	93	138	118
Jeff Imes	0.67788	0.52709	11.8575	1.54200	217.54900	208	141	67	107	96
Game Time Decision	0.65200	0.52564	11.0777	0.49690	190.98800	251	163	87	123	111
Pigskin Index	0.67293	0.52245	11.2731	0.72500	196.54300	267	179	87	128	117
Grid Iron Gold	0.65789	0.52191	11.2827	-0.90510	210.98600	267	175	91	131	120
Reistertown Index	0.64286	0.51969	11.4382	0.47170	206.57700	267	171	95	132	122
Steven Jens	0.66165	0.51751	11.2431	0.85110	201.33900	267	176	90	133	124
Stat Fox	0.64662	0.51639	11.4829	0.57770	204.21000	267	172	94	126	118
Lee Burdorf	0.60558	0.51639	12.1100	0.62730	230.73200	251	152	99	126	118
Computer Adjusted Line	0.66165	0.51563	11.1105	0.26420	193.53000	267	176	90	33	31
Nutshell Girl	0.67660	0.51515	11.3976	0.32180	215.24800	236	159	76	119	112
Logistic Regression	0.62030	0.51351	11.5665	-1.26200	213.37400	267	165	101	133	126
Beck Elo	0.63534	0.51341	11.7571	0.08650	215.95700	267	169	97	134	127
PerformanZ Ratings	0.61654	0.51154	11.5385	-0.02640	207.15700	267	164	102	133	127
JFM Power Ratings	0.64286	0.50958	11.3536	0.60970	200.70500	267	171	95	133	128
What If Sports	0.66000	0.50855	11.3892	0.11380	204.87100	251	165	85	119	115
Jeff Self	0.68493	0.50694	11.3019	-0.56080	213.73900	147	100	46	73	71
Michael Robert Ratings	0.63158	0.50575	11.3780	0.51250	207.54700	267	168	98	132	129
John Coffey	0.65104	0.50532	11.5383	0.53260	208.72200	193	125	67	95	93
Sonny Moore	0.64286	0.50385	11.3107	-0.43840	201.22300	267	171	95	131	129
Nutshell Combo	0.65106	0.50216	11.4586	0.17440	209.29000	236	153	82	116	115
Kambour Rating	0.63600	0.50204	11.9694	0.34090	219.30500	251	159	91	123	122
Dunkel Index	0.63910	0.50192	11.5385	0.72850	207.47100	267	170	96	131	130
Sports Report Pred	0.67857	0.50000	17.4818	-2.57630	552.83600	28	19	9	14	14
ARGH Power Ratings	0.65079	0.50000	11.4862	0.00200	204.49300	253	164	88	116	116
Jonathan Wilson	0.60755	0.49807	11.5436	0.64490	213.46400	266	161	104	129	130
Dwiggins	0.64286	0.49784	11.4741	1.31060	200.47100	239	153	85	115	116
Sagarin	0.65038	0.49615	11.4558	0.77610	207.29300	267	173	93	129	131
Upset Report	0.59073	0.49597	11.9069	-2.71350	225.14800	260	153	106	123	125
Cover81	0.67136	0.49490	10.9555	-0.59370	186.93500	214	143	70	97	99
Sagarin Elo	0.66165	0.49425	11.8339	0.80420	219.61700	267	176	90	129	132
YourLinx	0.63404	0.49130	11.8078	0.06150	224.07900	236	149	86	113	117
Sagarin Predictive	0.63910	0.49042	11.4558	0.75750	209.53200	267	170	96	128	133
LS - w/ team HFA	0.62406	0.48846	13.4596	-0.74140	297.37900	267	166	100	127	133
Roger Johnson	0.63927	0.48837	11.5756	0.04800	216.21100	220	140	79	105	110
Tom Benson	0.63445	0.48707	11.7815	0.64020	214.64600	239	151	87	113	119
CPA Rankings	0.62782	0.48659	11.8855	0.01180	212.89700	267	167	99	127	134
Covers.com	0.64286	0.48627	11.3491	0.60260	200.88900	267	171	95	124	131
Pigskin Herald	0.64906	0.48062	11.5026	-0.69360	207.96400	266	172	93	124	134
Sport Trends	0.57519	0.47876	12.2528	1.68120	234.14700	267	153	113	124	135
Hank Trexler	0.65789	0.47826	11.1648	0.04150	196.84900	267	175	91	110	120
CPA Retro Rankings	0.63534	0.47692	11.5772	-0.05890	207.63700	267	169	97	124	136
System Median	0.65414	0.47656	11.2393	0.31440	196.23900	267	174	92	122	134
Scoring Effeciency	0.64286	0.47126	11.1794	0.67480	202.36700	267	171	95	123	138
Least Squares	0.62782	0.47104	11.9725	-0.62020	218.37200	267	167	99	122	137
Line (opening)	0.65414	0.47090	11.1948	0.28300	195.54500	267	174	92	89	100
Pythagorean Ratings	0.62782	0.46743	11.5541	0.61860	213.54900	267	167	99	122	139
Deslock Rankings	0.62353	0.46586	12.2298	0.08590	242.63000	256	159	96	116	133
Bihl Rankings	0.64024	0.46584	11.8431	1.63160	215.11300	165	105	59	75	86
Least Abs. Val Reg	0.60150	0.46538	12.1275	-0.56920	224.49200	267	160	106	121	139
Strengthranking.com	0.65116	0.46429	11.3975	0.13210	200.21300	87	56	30	39	45
System Average	0.65038	0.45594	11.2453	0.22260	197.02100	267	173	93	119	142
Kasulis Enhanced Spread	0.62406	0.45000	11.5036	-0.37410	205.93200	267	166	100	117	143
Eric Hollobaugh	0.63910	0.43629	12.0326	0.26710	225.63600	267	170	96	113	146
Football GPA	0.61702	0.43182	11.6915	2.07450	231.85000	47	29	18	19	25
Line (updated)	0.66541		11.1199	0.24720	193.72100	267	177	89