ThePredictionTracker NFL RESULTS

Computer Rating System Prediction Results for Pro football (NFL)

2009 Season Totals

System	Pct. Correct	Against Spread	Absolute Error	Bias	Mean Square Error	games	suw	sul	atsw	atsl
Upset Report	0.68165	0.51220	12.1479	-2.16170	238.84700	267	182	85	126	120
Least Squares	0.63670	0.48659	12.4367	-1.76520	248.49900	267	170	97	127	134
LS - w/ team HFA	0.62172	0.47876	13.2712	-1.71070	273.89600	267	166	101	124	135
Least Abs. Val Reg	0.62921	0.48659	12.4905	-1.68270	247.70300	267	168	99	127	134
NFL Pickles	0.66667	0.49677	11.9907	-1.60560	221.18300	162	108	54	77	78
Logistic Regression	0.58801	0.47126	12.7231	-1.49910	255.21900	267	157	110	123	138
Roger Johnson	0.64384	0.52381	12.1570	-1.46540	243.60500	219	141	78	110	100
Deslock Rankings	0.65000	0.50424	12.3513	-1.43370	249.41900	240	156	84	119	117
Pat Laffaye	0.62147	0.52047	12.9676	-1.13690	259.29700	177	110	67	89	82
Grid Iron Gold	0.66292	0.52400	11.8915	-1.04830	229.87400	267	177	90	131	119
Kasulis Enhanced Spread	0.63296	0.49421	11.7487	-0.74320	224.07000	267	169	98	128	131
Wunderdog Sports	0.66165	0.52632	11.3647	-0.65040	211.69400	266	176	90	120	108
Strengthranking.com	0.64940	0.51429	12.0526	-0.62920	233.70700	251	163	88	126	119
Stephen Kerns	0.62547	0.52713	12.5884	-0.59290	253.24200	267	167	100	136	122
PerformanZ Ratings	0.67041	0.52874	11.8335	-0.43890	234.99300	267	179	88	138	123
TheSportsCruncher	0.68539	0.53878	11.5151	-0.42840	218.20300	267	183	84	132	113
ARGH Power Ratings	0.65543	0.47984	12.0693	-0.40980	229.64900	267	175	92	119	129
Dunkel Index	0.64419	0.48659	11.9764	-0.40370	224.07600	267	172	95	127	134
Tom Benson	0.62172	0.49425	13.6427	-0.39710	297.66600	267	166	101	129	132
Hank Trexler	0.66667	0.53165	11.6367	-0.32330	218.12000	267	178	89	126	111
What If Sports	0.65543	0.54430	12.1100	-0.32170	241.00500	267	175	92	129	108
Sonny Moore	0.64419	0.48846	12.0675	-0.31780	231.19100	267	172	95	127	133
Kambour Rating	0.64794	0.49425	11.8454	-0.29740	226.39700	267	173	94	129	132
Jonathan Wilson	0.65918	0.48249	11.8846	-0.29430	229.15100	267	176	91	124	133
Harmon Forcast	0.67660	0.54976	12.0043	-0.26920	232.09800	235	159	76	116	95
Sagarin Predictive	0.67790	0.48659	12.0587	-0.24460	235.70000	267	181	86	127	134
CPA Rankings	0.68914	0.56322	11.9911	-0.23090	235.12000	267	184	83	147	114
Sagarin	0.65918	0.52490	12.0954	-0.17420	236.10800	267	176	91	137	124
Beck Elo	0.64794	0.53257	11.8209	-0.17320	230.66400	267	173	94	139	122
CPA Retro Rankings	0.65543	0.50575	12.1792	-0.14440	233.18900	267	175	92	132	129
Sagarin Elo	0.64419	0.48276	12.4118	-0.08610	246.41900	267	172	95	126	135
System Average	0.64794	0.53640	11.6063	-0.08080	216.89700	267	173	94	140	121
System Median	0.65918	0.51563	11.6367	-0.03430	217.67600	267	176	91	132	124
John Coffey	0.62304	0.47027	12.5625	0.04340	242.47900	191	119	72	87	98
Computer Adjusted Line	0.68539	0.50549	11.3596	0.12410	205.95900	267	183	84	46	45
Line (updated)	0.68539		11.3352	0.15980	205.40300	267	183	84
Massey Ratings	0.67041	0.50192	11.5271	0.17360	214.39300	267	179	88	131	130
Dokter Entropy	0.64419	0.50193	11.7733	0.18970	217.54000	267	172	95	130	129
Sportrends	0.69288	0.50000	12.1591	0.19390	237.51400	267	185	82	123	123
Eric Hollobaugh	0.67041	0.53462	12.1481	0.20770	234.89200	267	179	88	139	121
YourLinx	0.64419	0.50192	12.1908	0.22560	231.64500	267	172	95	131	130
Line (opening)	0.67041	0.47739	11.4476	0.26500	208.89400	267	179	88	95	104
Reistertown Index	0.68539	0.45565	11.9101	0.26700	230.93600	267	183	84	113	135
Steven Jens	0.66292	0.52308	12.0055	0.27200	230.86700	267	177	90	136	124
Pythagorean Ratings	0.63670	0.50000	11.8598	0.36550	224.89100	267	170	97	130	130
NutShell Sports	0.64419	0.51724	12.0382	0.37050	226.93700	267	172	95	135	126
Brian Gabrielle	0.66165	0.51613	12.0206	0.39300	229.58800	266	176	90	128	120
Nutshell Girl	0.65169	0.49425	11.8522	0.39430	226.66400	267	174	93	129	132
Nutshell Combo	0.65543	0.53257	11.7425	0.41880	219.99100	267	175	92	139	122
Scoring Effeciency	0.66667	0.51724	11.6765	0.43000	222.88000	267	178	89	135	126
RP Excel	0.63670	0.47860	12.4270	0.46240	252.98100	267	170	97	123	134
Stat Fox	0.67790	0.55061	11.7565	0.46290	215.91300	267	181	86	136	111
JFM Power Ratings	0.69288	0.52107	11.5959	0.47000	219.47500	267	185	82	136	125
Ashby AccuRatings	0.67416	0.49789	11.5881	0.53790	218.57600	267	180	87	118	119
Covers.com	0.65918	0.47692	12.0351	0.57980	230.18500	267	176	91	124	136
Bihl Rankings	0.64571	0.49112	13.0545	0.58270	257.77900	175	113	62	83	86
Game Time Decision	0.67416	0.53086	11.6704	0.59240	219.34000	267	180	87	129	114
Pigskin Index	0.66292	0.47500	11.6480	0.59430	217.00800	267	177	90	114	126
Schmidt Comp. Ratings	0.64419	0.51724	11.6922	0.64080	222.24400	267	172	95	135	126
Lee Burdorf	0.67416	0.51341	12.4854	0.72080	248.04500	267	180	87	134	127
Dwiggins	0.63594	0.51174	12.3852	0.75560	242.82000	217	138	79	109	104
Pete Prisco	0.61966	0.47534	12.7393	0.98720	264.70100	234	145	89	106	117
Nationalsportsrankings	0.65306	0.48438	11.4922	0.99350	212.01100	196	128	68	93	99
Michael Robert Ratings	0.67123	0.54483	11.3280	1.27770	216.20500	146	98	48	79	66