Computer Rating System Prediction Results for Pro football (NFL)

2010 Season Totals

Through
Rank System Pct. Correct Against Spread Absolute Error Bias Mean Square Error games suw sul atsw atsl
1Line (updated)0.6441910.82020.70790194.6100026717295
2Tom Benson0.437500.3571411.4088-10.73250199.91800167959
3Computer Adjusted Line0.640450.5061710.82400.69290194.19100267171964140
4Eric Hollobaugh0.604320.5882410.3521-0.11700176.5970013984558056
5Brent Craig0.593980.4803111.64691.18080220.4430013379546166
6Bihl Rankings0.646340.5652210.77752.44270204.25200164106589170
7Austin Sports0.629630.6000011.14230.94190218.176001891197011174
8Yarnell0.643980.5376311.54571.27520214.351001911236810086
9Brian Gabrielle0.588540.4970811.32031.37260214.29300192113798586
10John Coffey0.633510.5294110.83391.30480201.93200191121709988
11Line (opening)0.657890.5257710.80080.74440194.669002661759110292
12PickingPros.com0.625570.5441911.49930.31510221.178002191378211798
13Cover810.660470.5123210.5856-0.31110190.824002151427310499
14Roger Johnson0.593610.5071111.61700.40740226.2280021913089107104
15Upset Report0.617980.5387811.3933-0.13480209.73000267165102132113
16Dwiggins0.586960.4864912.25000.58140240.7040023013595108114
17ARGH Power Ratings0.620000.4978011.1970-0.16300203.3550025015595113114
18Sagarin Predictive0.621720.5538510.98450.80510200.69500267166101144116
19PerformanZ Ratings0.606740.5444011.22540.20290204.27500267162105141118
20Sportrends0.603000.5220911.40451.38260212.08300267161106130119
21Game Time Decision0.640450.5240010.81081.33000194.3450026717196131119
22Strengthranking.com0.593630.5122011.81270.70460220.38400251149102126120
23Reistertown Index0.610490.5179311.31830.30720206.72400267163104130121
24Pythagorean Ratings0.565540.5269211.55440.32310224.84100267151116137123
25Scoring Effeciency0.610490.5269211.16461.05190206.02100267163104137123
26Pigskin Index0.617980.4938311.05611.21430199.55900267165102120123
27Ashby AccuRatings0.632960.4831911.09741.21790201.5080026716998115123
28Pat Laffaye0.588010.5193811.79590.41540229.11800267157110134124
29Covers.com0.614230.5156311.08770.96370206.09500267164103132124
30Wunderdog Sports0.621720.4585211.01500.11610197.67400267166101105124
31David and Pasteur0.621720.5173710.99221.06030199.62000267166101134125
32Hank Trexler0.603000.4959711.1498-0.39330201.90600267161106123125
33NFL Pickles0.610490.5136211.9532-0.70300228.06300267163104132125
34Kambour Rating0.621720.5153811.52310.54670214.61600267166101134126
35Logistic Regression0.535580.5019611.6609-0.32490221.94200267143124128127
36Michael Robert Ratings0.636700.5115410.83620.35150198.0230026717097133127
37Least Squares0.588010.5057911.8537-0.28480232.07000267157110131128
38Stephen Kerns0.625470.5000011.4734-0.05170211.25300267167100129129
39Massey Ratings0.617980.4980711.07480.86170199.67400267165102129130
40CPA Rankings0.617980.5000011.46870.39930217.52900267165102130130
41System Median0.617980.4922511.01460.69920199.09800267165102127131
42Sagarin0.617980.4961511.01750.72560200.68500267165102129131
43Sonny Moore0.588010.4923111.14650.43590210.42500267157110128132
44System Average0.625470.4923111.02590.61650199.31500267167100128132
45Lee Burdorf0.565540.4863812.29781.18620243.81500267151116125132
46RP Excel0.554310.4782612.14981.28840245.18500267148119121132
47Beck Elo0.573030.4807711.61940.44040219.43400267153114125135
48Nationalsportsrankings0.589840.4556511.46200.97270212.54200256151105113135
49Schmidt Comp. Ratings0.591760.4807711.31371.10060208.59100267158109125135
50Jim Armstrong0.629210.4728711.15731.28720202.6390026716899122136
51Kasulis Enhanced Spread0.606740.4648411.40500.10340209.23300267162105119137
52Sagarin Elo0.617980.4692311.42220.61310208.76300267165102122138
53LS - w/ team HFA0.531840.4505912.4948-0.52880243.37200267142125114139
54Atomic Football0.621210.4549011.17630.54990202.11400264164100116139
55Steven Jens0.578950.4488211.53761.24970213.91400266154112114140
56Dokter Entropy0.629210.4594611.06840.96460199.2800026716899119140
57Least Abs. Val Reg0.599250.4594611.9852-0.39530236.49600267160107119140
58Nutshell Girl0.614230.4594611.20570.79980205.06500267164103119140
59Dunkel Index0.584270.4500011.55740.19930217.69100267156111117143
60JFM Power Ratings0.621720.4500011.45291.07080208.26700267166101117143
61Stat Fox0.629210.4146311.48691.24000211.2880026716899102144
62CPA Retro Rankings0.632960.4423111.55210.25000219.6540026716998115145
63Nutshell Combo0.610490.4341111.49810.78580209.00800267163104112146
64What If Sports0.580520.4136512.2584-0.61800234.40000267155112103146
65NutShell Sports0.599250.4324312.06840.72040227.22000267160107112147
66YourLinx0.588010.4346213.17810.38160270.06400267157110113147