ThePredictionTracker NFL RESULTS

Computer Rating System Prediction Results for Pro football (NFL)

2012 Season Totals

Through 2013-02-03

Rank	System	Pct. Correct	Against Spread	Absolute Error	Bias	Mean Square Error	games	suw	sul	atsw	atsl
1	Bihl Rankings	0.71930	0.50000	10.8129	0.53520	182.43700	114	82	32	55	55
2	Lou St. John	0.68349	0.50943	10.9175	-0.37470	203.05100	219	149	69	108	104
3	Sagarin Predictive	0.67293	0.54475	11.0767	-0.25510	197.83800	267	179	87	140	117
4	Test system	0.67284	0.56051	11.2145	-0.88050	211.97700	163	109	53	88	69
5	Points per Game	0.66892	0.51748	11.4010	-2.17780	219.77500	149	99	49	74	69
6	Least Abs. Val Reg	0.66541	0.49412	12.0193	-0.28350	229.57200	267	177	89	126	129
7	Covers.com	0.66541	0.46552	11.0563	0.59230	195.07900	267	177	89	108	124
8	Kasulis Enhanced Spread	0.66541	0.45882	11.3610	-0.67740	205.33700	267	177	89	117	138
9	CPA Retro Rankings	0.66109	0.47619	11.5699	-0.30930	219.46400	240	158	81	110	121
10	Sportrends	0.65789	0.54400	11.1348	0.60360	201.07600	267	175	91	136	114
11	Roger Johnson	0.65596	0.50711	11.5235	-0.23240	221.27300	219	143	75	107	104
12	Pointshare Ratings	0.65500	0.45833	11.3076	-0.19280	225.77800	201	131	69	88	104
13	Michael Robert Ratings	0.65414	0.49416	10.9914	0.66900	201.99100	267	174	92	127	130
14	Game Time Decision	0.65414	0.49801	10.9963	0.70380	200.18700	267	174	92	125	126
15	Sagarin	0.65414	0.53307	11.1250	-0.17190	199.29300	267	174	92	137	120
16	Least Squares	0.65414	0.55253	11.3382	-0.54440	206.13100	267	174	92	142	115
17	Steven Jens	0.65414	0.49206	11.3853	0.88210	211.64000	267	174	92	124	128
18	David and Pasteur	0.65283	0.52734	11.0837	0.67280	204.64300	266	173	92	135	121
19	CPA Rankings	0.65272	0.51948	11.2744	-0.13210	210.19400	240	156	83	120	111
20	Laffaye XWP	0.65254	0.50220	12.3515	0.24410	238.84700	237	154	82	114	113
21	System Median	0.65038	0.51012	11.0436	0.08130	197.15400	267	173	93	126	121
22	Line (opening)	0.65038	0.48168	10.7828	0.08270	194.99100	267	173	93	92	99
23	System Average	0.65038	0.51751	11.0848	0.08490	198.12900	267	173	93	133	124
24	Computer Adjusted Line	0.64906	0.44444	10.7594	-0.03770	194.20600	266	172	93	36	45
25	Kambour Rating	0.64662	0.45525	11.5302	0.21940	207.25100	267	172	94	117	140
26	Massey Ratings	0.64662	0.47907	11.3670	-0.22180	206.65000	267	172	94	103	112
27	Line (updated)	0.64662		10.7079	-0.12410	194.10700	267	172	94
28	DirectorOfInformation	0.64662	0.47266	11.1177	0.05530	204.32700	267	172	94	121	135
29	Pi-Rate Ratings	0.64662	0.50195	11.1666	0.45240	196.62900	267	172	94	129	128
30	PerformanZ Ratings	0.64662	0.50973	11.3634	-0.01500	214.62000	267	172	94	131	126
31	Dunkel Index	0.64662	0.51563	11.1827	0.08350	206.66200	267	172	94	132	124
32	Logistic Regression	0.64286	0.46667	11.3532	-0.96860	218.44400	267	171	95	119	136
33	What If Sports	0.64286	0.53112	10.7116	-2.34960	198.69700	267	171	95	128	113
34	Laffaye RWP	0.64286	0.50973	13.0927	0.04910	269.51000	267	171	95	131	126
35	Pigskin Index	0.64286	0.50862	10.9702	0.71860	195.59100	267	171	95	118	114
36	Sunshine Forecast	0.64179	0.47581	11.5259	-1.35820	223.12100	135	86	48	59	65
37	NFL Pickles	0.63948	0.45778	11.5645	0.15600	217.43700	234	149	84	103	122
38	Sonny Moore	0.63910	0.47860	11.2316	-0.03700	203.23000	267	170	96	123	134
39	Schmidt Comp. Ratings	0.63910	0.45703	11.3980	0.67790	206.25200	267	170	96	117	139
40	Pi-Rate Mean	0.63910	0.47843	11.2906	0.35720	201.48700	267	170	96	122	133
41	Jim Armstrong	0.63910	0.51172	10.8588	0.97980	197.98500	267	170	96	131	125
42	ARGH Power Ratings	0.63830	0.51415	10.9957	-0.15530	195.18000	235	150	85	109	103
43	Lee Burdorf	0.63774	0.45276	12.5888	0.72680	240.27500	266	169	96	115	139
44	Sagarin Elo	0.63534	0.51751	11.4598	0.12110	214.58100	267	169	97	133	124
45	Wunderdog Sports	0.63534	0.51111	11.0001	-0.28910	202.22300	267	169	97	115	110
46	Beck Elo	0.63534	0.50584	11.6799	0.15990	215.11300	267	169	97	130	127
47	Hank Trexler	0.63534	0.49569	10.9663	-1.36090	202.46000	267	169	97	115	117
48	Dwiggins	0.63534	0.46094	11.8746	0.90340	224.33200	267	169	97	118	138
49	Nutshell Combo	0.63158	0.50195	11.6868	0.66940	216.19800	267	168	98	129	128
50	John Coffey	0.62963	0.45055	11.3919	0.36170	211.92100	190	119	70	82	100
51	RX ratings	0.62844	0.46829	11.3918	0.68210	213.27000	219	137	81	96	109
52	Stat Fox	0.62782	0.48971	11.5019	0.72970	211.51000	267	167	99	119	124
53	RP Excel	0.62782	0.53846	11.8239	-0.27060	235.48700	267	167	99	133	114
54	Nationalsportsrankings	0.62782	0.47471	11.0787	0.71940	202.30800	267	167	99	122	135
55	NutShell Sports	0.62782	0.46667	12.6852	1.02470	249.57100	267	167	99	119	136
56	Sunshine PR	0.62687	0.45000	11.6074	-1.37310	223.98600	135	84	50	54	66
57	Roundtable	0.62661	0.48837	12.1411	1.20100	231.27900	234	146	87	105	110
58	Pythagorean Ratings	0.62406	0.49027	11.2125	0.63760	202.67200	267	166	100	126	131
59	Upset Report	0.62406	0.47280	11.8501	-0.98120	226.72200	267	166	100	113	126
60	Pi-Rate Vintage	0.62406	0.45455	11.5754	0.27700	213.85000	267	166	100	110	132
61	Dokter Entropy	0.62406	0.47471	10.9357	0.07520	196.78600	267	166	100	122	135
62	Scoring Effeciency	0.62030	0.49416	11.2268	0.65210	206.51500	267	165	101	127	130
63	Ashby AccuRatings	0.62030	0.47234	11.2772	-0.36400	211.78300	267	165	101	111	124
64	Compughter Ratings	0.62030	0.50195	11.8819	-0.30860	219.80800	267	165	101	129	128
65	Bias Free Rankings	0.61686	0.48178	11.7514	-0.03110	223.22600	262	161	100	119	128
66	LS - w/ team HFA	0.61654	0.51575	12.2273	-0.82210	250.58300	267	164	102	131	123
67	Nutshell Girl	0.61654	0.47471	11.5744	0.41030	217.17300	267	164	102	122	135
68	Pi-Rate Bias	0.61654	0.44141	11.3495	0.29740	206.75600	267	164	102	113	143
69	Bradshaw Line	0.60870	0.44286	11.7191	1.12040	211.58000	162	98	63	62	78
70	Turnover Adj. LS	0.60526	0.51953	11.4879	-0.49800	218.86500	267	161	105	133	123
71	Stephen Kerns	0.59420	0.45408	12.1159	0.03610	220.47600	208	123	84	89	107
72	YourLinx	0.57895	0.47860	12.0098	0.55110	239.10700	267	154	112	123	134
73	FF-Winners.com	0.55985	0.39431	13.0154	0.11580	266.85500	260	145	114	97	149