Computer Rating System Prediction Results for Pro football (NFL)

2016 Season Totals

Through 2016-08-22
Rank System Pct. Correct Against Spread Absolute Error Bias Mean Square Error games suw sul atsw atsl
1Dwiggins0.593750.5000011.72194.22810228.138003219131616
2Turnover Adj. regressio0.562500.5937510.33563.20060186.690003218141913
3Scoring Effeciency0.562500.4838710.39633.80810172.321003218141516
4Least Abs. Val Reg0.562500.5937510.71592.87780199.638003218141913
5Beck Elo0.562500.5312511.01032.87160190.197003218141715
6Least Squares0.562500.5000011.30253.01810214.493003218141616
7Stat Fox0.531250.5806511.90593.84470219.876003217151813
8System Median0.531250.5312510.69413.42780185.357003217151715
9Pythagorean Ratings0.531250.4687510.68473.85840181.685003217151517
10Logistic Regression0.531250.5625010.50561.88440185.666003217151814
11LS - w/ team HFA0.500000.5625011.46842.40280210.112003216161814
12System Average0.500000.5000010.69253.34620185.623003216161616
13PerformanZ Ratings0.500000.4375010.51133.31810176.784003216161418
14Sonny Moore0.500000.593759.88562.85370155.500003216161913
15Line (Midweek)0.500009.78133.37500150.08200321616
16Line (updated)0.500009.78133.37500150.08200321616
17Computer Adjusted Line0.500000.500009.78133.43750152.006003216161111
18Line (opening)0.468750.466679.81253.31250151.0950032151778
19MDS Model0.466670.4666711.07736.11600198.43000157878
20NutShell Sports0.437500.5517210.53133.78130174.303003214181613
21Points Per Game0.406250.3750011.35032.23160198.845003213191220