Computer Rating System Prediction Results for Pro football (NFL)

2016 Season Totals

Through 2016-09-20
Rank System Pct. Correct Against Spread Absolute Error Bias Mean Square Error games suw sul atsw atsl
1Least Abs. Val Reg0.750000.483878.5750-1.33940127.96400322481516
2ComPughter Ratings0.750000.500008.9203-1.07970128.69500322481616
3Ashby AccuRatings0.718750.620697.6247-1.12470111.19300322391811
4Sonny Moore0.718750.687508.0688-0.91940111.53100322392210
5Turnover Adj. regressio0.718750.593758.6372-2.19220122.73500322391913
6Least Squares0.718750.531258.6459-1.86970117.29900322391715
7Dunkel Index0.687500.500008.8125-1.72810138.723003222101616
8Laffaye RWP0.687500.468758.6031-1.25500125.587003222101517
9Pigskin Index0.687500.500008.21810.21940123.027003222101515
10Kasulis Enhanced Spread0.687500.516138.1375-2.06250127.856003222101615
11Pi-Rate Bias0.687500.531258.12190.37190126.015003222101715
12Kambour Rating0.687500.531258.0300-0.68940103.360003222101715
13RP Excel0.687500.593757.9375-0.87500103.664003222101913
14Dwiggins0.656250.468759.3937-2.53750154.701003221111517
15Steven Jens0.656250.437509.11560.60310133.805003221111418
16YourLinx0.656250.500008.75310.65000126.608003221111616
17Beck Elo0.656250.468758.5703-1.10840133.631003221111517
18Talisman Red0.656250.500008.5044-1.41000124.863003221111616
19Massey Ratings0.656250.531258.3441-1.39530117.603003221111715
20Kasulis ESP20.656250.516138.1000-1.48130122.707003221111615
21Sagarin Recent0.656250.531258.0853-0.60410119.196003221111715
22Sagarin Golden Mean0.656250.531258.0681-0.59810118.662003221111715
23Pi-Rate Ratings0.656250.580658.01250.28750122.395003221111813
24Sagarin Rating0.656250.562507.9856-0.62690117.137003221111814
25Sagarin Points0.656250.562507.9169-0.64440115.716003221111814
26ARGH Power Ratings0.656250.612907.7188-0.60940108.274003221111912
27MDS Model0.633330.566677.49531.0787091.571003019111713
28Lee Burdorf0.625000.5000010.2000-0.40000163.488003220121616
29Daniel Curry Index0.625000.562509.69341.16030142.725003220121814
30CPA Rankings0.625000.531258.9741-1.45530145.812003220121715
31Stephen Kerns0.625000.531258.9569-1.33690137.554003220121715
32TheSportsCruncher0.625000.437508.7909-0.67160144.720003220121418
33DirectorOfInformation.c0.625000.531258.3822-0.87720115.274003220121715
34Logistic Regression0.625000.531258.2241-1.19660109.344003220121715
35Line (updated)0.625000.521748.1719-0.95310125.120003220121211
36NutShell Sports0.625000.612907.6175-0.72560109.607003220121912
37System Average0.625000.531257.9262-0.69500114.724003220121715
38Computer Adjusted Line0.625000.555568.0625-0.84380122.759003220121512
39Kalin Ratings0.625000.531258.0803-0.67090114.459003220121715
40Donchess Inference0.625000.531258.1222-0.59840109.114003220121715
41Stat Fox0.593750.517249.0625-0.12500137.812003219131514
42ESPN FPI0.593750.406258.36130.54940120.735003219131319
43FF-Winners0.593750.593758.25000.50000117.305003219131913
44Dokter Entropy0.593750.419358.2172-1.18530119.557003219131318
45Line (opening)0.593750.481488.1406-0.89060118.624003219131314
46IronRank.com0.593750.593758.0641-0.48590116.004003219131913
47Line (Midweek)0.593758.0469-1.01560120.74100321913
48Lou St. John0.593750.562507.9509-0.73160115.225003219131814
49System Median0.593750.531257.8706-0.66380114.003003219131715
50Turner Rateform0.562500.3571413.7513-0.47380326.63900169759
51Roundtable0.562500.6250010.5000-2.00000167.500001697106
52LS - w/ team HFA0.562500.500009.8209-1.16720141.789003218141616
53CPA Retro Rankings0.562500.468758.8984-1.16970134.910003218141517
54ProComputerGambler0.562500.437508.7328-1.82840141.891003218141418
55Game Time Decision0.562500.468758.4688-0.46810130.086003218141517
56TeamRankings.com0.562500.612908.0594-0.29060111.753003218141912
57ThePowerRank.com0.562500.562508.14380.15620121.966003218141814
58Cleanup Hitter0.531250.551729.2188-0.40560148.499003217151613
59Pi-Rate Mean0.531250.548398.76560.00940130.867003217151714
60Pythagorean Ratings0.531250.531258.28720.08910117.338003217151715
61PerformanZ Ratings0.531250.562508.26370.04940123.503003217151814
62Covers.com0.531250.533338.2497-0.21840122.903003217151614
63Scoring Effeciency0.531250.593758.22250.00940115.844003217151913
64Sportrends0.500000.562507.72000.53250117.66000168897
65What If Sports0.500000.483879.4375-2.28750143.846003216161516
66Points Per Game0.468750.562509.0084-0.94660129.249003215171814