Computer Rating System Prediction Results for Pro football (NFL)

2012 Season Totals

Through 2013-02-03
Rank System Pct. Correct Against Spread Absolute Error Bias Mean Square Error games suw sul atsw atsl
1Bihl Rankings0.719300.5000010.81290.53520182.4370011482325555
2Lou St. John0.683490.5094310.9175-0.37470203.0510021914969108104
3Sagarin Predictive0.672930.5447511.0767-0.25510197.8380026717987140117
4Test system0.672840.5605111.2145-0.88050211.97700163109538869
5Points per Game0.668920.5174811.4010-2.17780219.7750014999497469
6Least Abs. Val Reg0.665410.4941212.0193-0.28350229.5720026717789126129
7Covers.com0.665410.4655211.05630.59230195.0790026717789108124
8Kasulis Enhanced Spread0.665410.4588211.3610-0.67740205.3370026717789117138
9CPA Retro Rankings0.661090.4761911.5699-0.30930219.4640024015881110121
10Sportrends0.657890.5440011.13480.60360201.0760026717591136114
11Roger Johnson0.655960.5071111.5235-0.23240221.2730021914375107104
12Pointshare Ratings0.655000.4583311.3076-0.19280225.778002011316988104
13Michael Robert Ratings0.654140.4941610.99140.66900201.9910026717492127130
14Game Time Decision0.654140.4980110.99630.70380200.1870026717492125126
15Sagarin0.654140.5330711.1250-0.17190199.2930026717492137120
16Least Squares0.654140.5525311.3382-0.54440206.1310026717492142115
17Steven Jens0.654140.4920611.38530.88210211.6400026717492124128
18David and Pasteur0.652830.5273411.08370.67280204.6430026617392135121
19CPA Rankings0.652720.5194811.2744-0.13210210.1940024015683120111
20Laffaye XWP0.652540.5022012.35150.24410238.8470023715482114113
21System Median0.650380.5101211.04360.08130197.1540026717393126121
22Line (opening)0.650380.4816810.78280.08270194.99100267173939299
23System Average0.650380.5175111.08480.08490198.1290026717393133124
24Computer Adjusted Line0.649060.4444410.7594-0.03770194.20600266172933645
25Kambour Rating0.646620.4552511.53020.21940207.2510026717294117140
26Massey Ratings0.646620.4790711.3670-0.22180206.6500026717294103112
27Line (updated)0.6466210.7079-0.12410194.1070026717294
28DirectorOfInformation0.646620.4726611.11770.05530204.3270026717294121135
29Pi-Rate Ratings0.646620.5019511.16660.45240196.6290026717294129128
30PerformanZ Ratings0.646620.5097311.3634-0.01500214.6200026717294131126
31Dunkel Index0.646620.5156311.18270.08350206.6620026717294132124
32Logistic Regression0.642860.4666711.3532-0.96860218.4440026717195119136
33What If Sports0.642860.5311210.7116-2.34960198.6970026717195128113
34Laffaye RWP0.642860.5097313.09270.04910269.5100026717195131126
35Pigskin Index0.642860.5086210.97020.71860195.5910026717195118114
36Sunshine Forecast0.641790.4758111.5259-1.35820223.1210013586485965
37NFL Pickles0.639480.4577811.56450.15600217.4370023414984103122
38Sonny Moore0.639100.4786011.2316-0.03700203.2300026717096123134
39Schmidt Comp. Ratings0.639100.4570311.39800.67790206.2520026717096117139
40Pi-Rate Mean0.639100.4784311.29060.35720201.4870026717096122133
41Jim Armstrong0.639100.5117210.85880.97980197.9850026717096131125
42ARGH Power Ratings0.638300.5141510.9957-0.15530195.1800023515085109103
43Lee Burdorf0.637740.4527612.58880.72680240.2750026616996115139
44Sagarin Elo0.635340.5175111.45980.12110214.5810026716997133124
45Wunderdog Sports0.635340.5111111.0001-0.28910202.2230026716997115110
46Beck Elo0.635340.5058411.67990.15990215.1130026716997130127
47Hank Trexler0.635340.4956910.9663-1.36090202.4600026716997115117
48Dwiggins0.635340.4609411.87460.90340224.3320026716997118138
49Nutshell Combo0.631580.5019511.68680.66940216.1980026716898129128
50John Coffey0.629630.4505511.39190.36170211.921001901197082100
51RX ratings0.628440.4682911.39180.68210213.270002191378196109
52Stat Fox0.627820.4897111.50190.72970211.5100026716799119124
53RP Excel0.627820.5384611.8239-0.27060235.4870026716799133114
54Nationalsportsrankings0.627820.4747111.07870.71940202.3080026716799122135
55NutShell Sports0.627820.4666712.68521.02470249.5710026716799119136
56Sunshine PR0.626870.4500011.6074-1.37310223.9860013584505466
57Roundtable0.626610.4883712.14111.20100231.2790023414687105110
58Pythagorean Ratings0.624060.4902711.21250.63760202.67200267166100126131
59Upset Report0.624060.4728011.8501-0.98120226.72200267166100113126
60Pi-Rate Vintage0.624060.4545511.57540.27700213.85000267166100110132
61Dokter Entropy0.624060.4747110.93570.07520196.78600267166100122135
62Scoring Effeciency0.620300.4941611.22680.65210206.51500267165101127130
63Ashby AccuRatings0.620300.4723411.2772-0.36400211.78300267165101111124
64Compughter Ratings0.620300.5019511.8819-0.30860219.80800267165101129128
65Bias Free Rankings0.616860.4817811.7514-0.03110223.22600262161100119128
66LS - w/ team HFA0.616540.5157512.2273-0.82210250.58300267164102131123
67Nutshell Girl0.616540.4747111.57440.41030217.17300267164102122135
68Pi-Rate Bias0.616540.4414111.34950.29740206.75600267164102113143
69Bradshaw Line0.608700.4428611.71911.12040211.5800016298636278
70Turnover Adj. LS0.605260.5195311.4879-0.49800218.86500267161105133123
71Stephen Kerns0.594200.4540812.11590.03610220.476002081238489107
72YourLinx0.578950.4786012.00980.55110239.10700267154112123134
73FF-Winners.com0.559850.3943113.01540.11580266.8550026014511497149