I fear that Houston and Chicago are going to both be in the top 3 picks every week now because they lost their starting quarterbacks, and Houston also lost their backup. Both were top 3 picks last week and the went 1-1. This week they are the number one and two games and both differ from the line by a touchdown. So instead of betting whether Houston or Chicago will cover, the bet is really are their starting quarterbacks worth 7 points to the game.
Last week the top pick was wrong but the top 3 were 2-1. That makes it 8-4, and 23-13 for the season.
home p(win) p(cover) road p(win) p(cover) line lineavg Houston 0.69119 0.76817 Atlanta 0.30881 0.23183 -2.5 5.3424 Chicago 0.88995 0.71791 Kansas City 0.11005 0.28209 7.0 13.2135 San Francisco 0.94412 0.64488 St. Louis 0.05588 0.35512 13.0 16.9630 New Orleans 0.69325 0.35944 Detroit 0.30675 0.64056 9.0 5.2549 Jacksonville 0.52385 0.63574 San Diego 0.47615 0.36426 -3.0 0.6246 Minnesota 0.43126 0.37580 Denver 0.56874 0.62420 1.5 -1.8123 New England 0.98389 0.61848 Indianapolis 0.01611 0.38152 20.0 23.2767 N.Y. Giants 0.19280 0.40033 Green Bay 0.80720 0.59967 -6.5 -9.1679 Cleveland 0.19870 0.41029 Baltimore 0.80130 0.58971 -6.5 -8.8799 Buffalo 0.49823 0.44110 Tennessee 0.50177 0.55890 1.5 -0.0463 Tampa Bay 0.65195 0.54114 Carolina 0.34805 0.45886 3.0 4.0788 Seattle 0.42457 0.53890 Philadelphia 0.57543 0.46110 -3.0 -1.9823 Miami 0.57510 0.46247 Oakland 0.42490 0.53753 3.0 2.0033 Washington 0.35998 0.47165 N.Y. Jets 0.64002 0.52835 -3.0 -3.7423 Pittsburgh 0.71282 0.47420 Cincinnati 0.28718 0.52580 6.5 5.8284 Arizona 0.32507 0.49111 Dallas 0.67493 0.50889 -4.5 -4.7324
Post a Comment