Friday, December 30, 2011
Last week the top 3 were 2-1 but the lone miss was the top game. The top game is 10-6, and the top 3 30-18 for the entire season. The flaw in just taking the top game is injuries. Houston had been coming out as the top game for 4 weeks […]
Thursday, December 22, 2011
Last week was the first losing week for a while, 1-2. That makes the top pick10-5, and the top 3 28-17. The top 3 this week look kind of iffy to me.
home p(win) p(cover) road […]
Monday, December 19, 2011
I’ve got two new papers (as the statistician co-author) that are in press this month. One in the Journal Epidemiology, “Accounting for Bias Due to Selective Attrition. The example of Smoking and Cognitive Decline”. And another in the journal Neuro-Epidemiology. “Characteristics of MR Infarcts Associated with Dementia and Cognitive Function in the […]
Thursday, December 15, 2011
It was another wining week last week for the NFL picks. 1-0 on the top game and 2-1 for the top 3.
That makes the top game 10-4 this season and the top 3, 27-15.
I don’t like that fact that Houston has been the top pick every week since they lost their quarterback but so […]
Thursday, December 15, 2011
For the season in these NCAA picks the top game has only gone 4-9-1. But the top 5 have at least been better than 50%, 36-33-1. None of the bowls have really high probabilities, so maybe that is a good sign.
home […]
Sunday, December 11, 2011
Very interesting line move on the game that was #2 in my list this week. When I posted the numbers on Thursday and even when I updated them on Friday, the line of Seattle/St. Louis was 4.5. The computer average was 9.7. Sometime between then and Sunday morning the line moved […]
Thursday, December 8, 2011
I’ve updated the numbers after correcting the numbers for one of the systems.
I’ll have to redo these numbers on Friday. I noticed the column for whif is way off, big enough to affect these numbers.
The performance of the computer average of the system predictions continues to soar. 1-0 on the top game and 2-1 […]
So if Alabama wins, does that mean it is a split championship?
The BCS says Every game counts. But I guess the second time you play counts even more.
Nick Saban voted Oklahoma St. 4th. 3 Harris poll voters put them 6th.
Larry Fedora, coach of Southern Miss votes TCU 20th. (if S.Miss was higher they could potentially […]
Thursday, December 1, 2011
I fear that Houston and Chicago are going to both be in the top 3 picks every week now because they lost their starting quarterbacks, and Houston also lost their backup. Both were top 3 picks last week and the went 1-1. This week they are the number one and two games and […]
Thursday, December 1, 2011
Last week the top 3 picks were correct and the 4th and 5th were incorrect. that makes the top pick 4-8-1 for the season and the top 5 are 33-31-1.
home p(win) p(cover) road […]