Friday, September 30, 2011
Last week the top pick was 1-0 and the top 3 were 2-1. For the season the top pick is 1-2 and the top 3 are 5-4. The cover probabilities are not working out so well in the NCAA but they have actually been pretty good so for in the NFL. […]
Friday, September 30, 2011
Last week the top pick was 1-0 and the top 5 were 2-3. On the season the top pick is 2-2 and the top 5 are 8-12. […]
Friday, September 23, 2011
The top pick of the week has gone 0-2, the top 3 of the week is 3-3. Indianapolis has been picked to cover every week and they have been wrong every week. They are picked to cover again this week against Pittsburgh. At least they aren’t the #1 pick this week. […]
Friday, September 23, 2011
The top pick of the week is 1-2, and the top 5 is 6-9. Nevada has been a pick about every week and it has been wrong every week. They are picked to cover again this week.
home p(win) […]
Friday, September 16, 2011
Last week the top pick was 0-1 while the top 3 were 2-1. The top pick last week was Indianapolis and unfortunately they are the top pick again this week. I don’t think the ratings or the line makers no what to make of them right now. The two that were correct […]
Friday, September 16, 2011
Top pick of the week is 1-1, and top 5 have gone 5-5.
home p(win) p(cover) road p(win) p(cover) line lineavg […]
Friday, September 9, 2011
College games for week 2.
home p(win) p(cover) road p(win) p(cover) line lineavg […]
Friday, September 9, 2011
In previous years I have posted a select number of picks each week. This year I am going to try something new. I am attempting to derive probabilities of winning and covering the spread based on the average predictions of the computer ratings. I’m pasting in the full numbers for the week. Unfortunately it does […]
Friday, September 9, 2011
I’m not too happy with all the people emailing me to say they have changed their ratings now that Manning is not going to play. I’m trying to measure the computer algorithms, not the opinions of the people running them.