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NFL Week 16

3-0 last week raised the season total on the top 3 games to 26-19, 9-6 on the top games. The NFL numbers continue to run pretty close to reality. The straight up numbers are doing 3 games better than expected while ATS is only 4 games worse than expected. This should be another 10-6 and 9-7 week.
Don’t forget to take a look at the totals predictions. A few of they systems are doing extremely well.

home                  p(win) p(cover) road                  p(win) p(cover)  line  lineavg

Carolina             0.59417  0.62676 Atlanta              0.40583  0.37324  -3.0   3.3079
Cleveland            0.61384  0.41051 Cincinnati           0.38616  0.58949   8.5   4.0610
Detroit              0.44590  0.58414 Minnesota            0.55410  0.41586  -6.0  -1.8719
Tennessee            0.68726  0.43778 Washington           0.31274  0.56222  10.0   6.9130
Arizona              0.19854  0.54686 LA Rams              0.80146  0.45314 -14.5 -12.1622
Seattle              0.47941  0.54665 Kansas City          0.52059  0.45335  -3.0  -0.7154
San Francisco        0.32530  0.46168 Chicago              0.67470  0.53832  -4.5  -6.3931
Oakland              0.36374  0.46182 Denver               0.63626  0.53818  -3.0  -4.8781
Miami                0.54588  0.46209 Jacksonville         0.45412  0.53791   3.5   1.6270
New Orleans          0.70739  0.53357 Pittsburgh           0.29261  0.46643   6.0   7.6520
Indianapolis         0.70498  0.46954 N.Y. Giants          0.29502  0.53046   9.0   7.5062
Dallas               0.65506  0.47043 Tampa Bay            0.34494  0.52957   7.0   5.5510
New England          0.81322  0.48069 Buffalo              0.18678  0.51931  13.5  12.5475
Philadelphia         0.51978  0.48379 Houston              0.48022  0.51621   1.5   0.7001
LA Chargers          0.60983  0.49757 Baltimore            0.39017  0.50243   4.0   3.8808
N.Y. Jets            0.43024  0.50115 Green Bay            0.56976  0.49885  -2.5  -2.4438

NFL Week 15

The last few weeks have been giving back some gains, especially with Washington appearing int he top 3 every week. That is the problem of blindly following a computer ratings, I would say most do not incorporate injuries. The season record is now 23-19, top game is 8-6. Compared to season long expectations, the straight up numbers are performing +4 games better than expected, aTS is -5 games worse than expected. This week will be something like 10-6 and 9-7

home                  p(win) p(cover) road                  p(win) p(cover)  line  lineavg

Pittsburgh           0.56016  0.57321 New England          0.43984  0.42679  -1.5  2.09759
Jacksonville         0.60336  0.43260 Washington           0.39664  0.56740   7.0  3.67214
Buffalo              0.44836  0.43280 Detroit              0.55164  0.56720   1.5 -1.80613
Cincinnati           0.65812  0.55479 Oakland              0.34188  0.44521   3.0  5.69857
Denver               0.65070  0.54816 Cleveland            0.34930  0.45184   3.0  5.35688
San Francisco        0.31571  0.45234 Seattle              0.68429  0.54766  -4.5 -6.87514
Chicago              0.71557  0.54116 Green Bay            0.28443  0.45884   6.0  8.03294
N.Y. Giants          0.53628  0.46463 Tennessee            0.46372  0.53537   3.0  1.26625
Indianapolis         0.54097  0.46799 Dallas               0.45903  0.53201   3.0  1.43123
Carolina             0.30720  0.46663 New Orleans          0.69280  0.53337  -5.5 -7.15298
Baltimore            0.73545  0.52557 Tampa Bay            0.26455  0.47443   7.5  8.75277
Kansas City          0.63391  0.52513 LA Chargers          0.36609  0.47487   3.5  4.72667
LA Rams              0.74834  0.47992 Philadelphia         0.25166  0.52008  10.5  9.50571
Minnesota            0.70697  0.51210 Miami                0.29303  0.48790   7.0  7.59310
Atlanta              0.72904  0.49006 Arizona              0.27096  0.50994   9.0  8.51227
N.Y. Jets            0.32807  0.49288 Houston              0.67193  0.50712  -6.0 -6.35311

College Bowl games

Here are the probabilities for the bowls. This will put an end to a terrible year.

home                  p(win) p(cover) road                  p(win) p(cover)  line  lineavg

Central Florida      0.49280  0.62325 LSU                  0.50720  0.37675  -7.5  -0.2945
Western Mich.        0.31506  0.57850 BYU                  0.68494  0.42150 -12.5  -7.9341
Utah St.             0.75302  0.56329 North Texas          0.24698  0.43671   7.5  11.1535
West Va.             0.61318  0.55634 Syracuse             0.38682  0.44366   1.5   4.7820
San Diego St.        0.35483  0.44643 Ohio                 0.64517  0.55357  -3.0  -6.0948
Oregon               0.50068  0.44823 Michigan St.         0.49932  0.55177   3.0   0.0277
Georgia              0.80425  0.54550 Texas                0.19575  0.45450  11.5  14.1368
Georgia Tech         0.58305  0.45468 Minnesota            0.41695  0.54532   6.0   3.3976
Penn St.             0.59544  0.45623 Kentucky             0.40456  0.54377   6.5   3.9693
California           0.44420  0.46038 TCU                  0.55580  0.53962   0.0  -2.2744
Texas A&M            0.59057  0.46073 NC St.               0.40943  0.53927   6.0   3.7379
Virginia             0.35623  0.46601 South Carolina       0.64377  0.53399  -4.0  -5.9457
Cincinnati           0.65477  0.53122 Virginia Tech        0.34523  0.46878   5.0   6.8468
Memphis              0.54607  0.47193 Wake Forest          0.45393  0.52807   3.5   1.8859
Baylor               0.37752  0.47245 Vanderbilt           0.62248  0.52755  -3.5  -5.0842
Stanford             0.62234  0.47374 Pittsburgh           0.37766  0.52626   6.5   5.0015
Michigan             0.64342  0.47387 Florida              0.35658  0.52613   7.5   5.9967
UAB                  0.52516  0.47403 Northern Ill.        0.47484  0.52597   2.5   1.0159
Washington St.       0.61868  0.52543 Iowa St.             0.38132  0.47457   3.5   4.9693
Boise St.            0.60561  0.52366 Boston College       0.39439  0.47634   3.0   4.3593
Louisiana-Lafayette  0.44777  0.52363 Tulane               0.55223  0.47637  -3.5  -2.1410
Fresno St.           0.63949  0.52301 Arizona St.          0.36051  0.47699   4.5   5.8232
Mississippi St.      0.62551  0.47730 Iowa                 0.37449  0.52270   6.5   5.1970
South Florida        0.45759  0.52196 Marshall             0.54241  0.47804  -3.0  -1.7371
Temple               0.55303  0.47812 Duke                 0.44697  0.52188   3.5   2.2264
Georgia Southern     0.51834  0.47831 Eastern Mich.        0.48166  0.52169   2.0   0.7514
Clemson              0.73502  0.47888 Notre Dame           0.26498  0.52112  11.5  10.2827
Utah                 0.64169  0.48033 Northwestern         0.35831  0.51967   7.0   5.8732
Appalachian St.      0.67827  0.51821 Middle Tenn.         0.32173  0.48179   6.5   7.5472
Oklahoma St.         0.28539  0.48286 Missouri             0.71461  0.51714  -8.5  -9.4992
Ohio St.             0.63416  0.48289 Washington           0.36584  0.51711   6.5   5.5225
Toledo               0.61017  0.48311 Florida Intl.        0.38983  0.51689   5.5   4.5318
Hawaii               0.50078  0.48320 Louisiana Tech       0.49922  0.51680   1.0   0.0322
Purdue               0.39184  0.48401 Auburn               0.60816  0.51599  -3.5  -4.4129
Army                 0.58936  0.51285 Houston              0.41064  0.48715   3.0   3.7450
Troy St.             0.46444  0.50961 Buffalo              0.53556  0.49039  -2.0  -1.4489
Alabama              0.80444  0.50955 Oklahoma             0.19556  0.49045  14.0  14.5604
Nevada               0.47602  0.50923 Arkansas St.         0.52398  0.49077  -1.5  -0.9720
Wisconsin            0.41067  0.50501 Miami (Fla.)         0.58933  0.49499  -4.0  -3.7107

                                                                              6

NFL Week 14

The top 3 was 1-2 last week. The season total is now 22-17. The top game is 8-5.
Last weeks was almost right on expectations. For the season straight up is +3 and ATS is -5. The picks below should be something like 10-6 straight up and 9-7 ATS.

home                  p(win) p(cover) road                  p(win) p(cover)  line  lineavg

Washington           0.59519  0.63711 N.Y. Giants          0.40481  0.36289  -3.5   3.3726
Green Bay            0.58180  0.43560 Atlanta              0.41820  0.56440   6.0   2.8473
Seattle              0.63839  0.53919 Minnesota            0.36161  0.46081   3.0   4.9207
LA Chargers          0.80354  0.46241 Cincinnati           0.19646  0.53759  14.0  12.1369
Houston              0.66867  0.53285 Indianapolis         0.33133  0.46715   4.5   6.1167
Cleveland            0.50116  0.53147 Carolina             0.49884  0.46853  -1.5   0.0402
Tennessee            0.59006  0.47276 Jacksonville         0.40994  0.52724   4.5   3.1656
San Francisco        0.34314  0.47293 Denver               0.65686  0.52707  -4.5  -5.8549
Arizona              0.45108  0.52657 Detroit              0.54892  0.47343  -3.0  -1.7014
Tampa Bay            0.25921  0.47682 New Orleans          0.74079  0.52318  -8.0  -9.1462
Dallas               0.62454  0.51887 Philadelphia         0.37546  0.48113   3.5   4.4255
Chicago              0.43980  0.51833 LA Rams              0.56020  0.48167  -3.0  -2.1030
Oakland              0.22625  0.48655 Pittsburgh           0.77375  0.51345 -10.0 -10.6654
Kansas City          0.66623  0.48969 Baltimore            0.33377  0.51031   6.5   5.9944
Buffalo              0.58644  0.49156 N.Y. Jets            0.41356  0.50844   3.5   3.0837
Miami                0.30315  0.49648 New England          0.69685  0.50352  -7.0  -7.1725

The top 3 were 1-2 last week. Now 21-15 on the season. Top game is 7-5.
Straight up is doing +3 vs expectations for the season. -4 ATS. I’ve entered these win probabilities in fivethirtyeights game and currently rank in the top 200 out of over 10,000. This week will be something like 10-6 and 9-7.

home                  p(win) p(cover) road                  p(win) p(cover)  line  lineavg

Jacksonville         0.48306  0.57808 Indianapolis         0.51694  0.42192  -4.5  -0.6051
Cincinnati           0.46491  0.57488 Denver               0.53509  0.42512  -5.0  -1.2594
Philadelphia         0.58934  0.43211 Washington           0.41066  0.56789   6.5   3.1537
Tampa Bay            0.47706  0.55482 Carolina             0.52294  0.44518  -3.5  -0.8030
Atlanta              0.46915  0.44756 Baltimore            0.53085  0.55244   1.5  -1.0860
Green Bay            0.79131  0.44872 Arizona              0.20869  0.55128  14.0  11.4620
N.Y. Giants          0.33061  0.45686 Chicago              0.66939  0.54314  -4.0  -6.1205
Detroit              0.27674  0.53439 LA Rams              0.72326  0.46561 -10.0  -8.3074
Houston              0.68954  0.51819 Cleveland            0.31046  0.48181   6.0   6.8919
Tennessee            0.71566  0.51241 N.Y. Jets            0.28434  0.48759   7.5   8.1148
Oakland              0.16649  0.51065 Kansas City          0.83351  0.48935 -14.5 -13.9685
Pittsburgh           0.61417  0.51047 LA Chargers          0.38583  0.48953   3.5   4.0110
New England          0.64279  0.49116 Minnesota            0.35721  0.50884   5.5   5.0683
Miami                0.61773  0.49367 Buffalo              0.38227  0.50633   4.5   4.1890
Seattle              0.76190  0.50618 San Francisco        0.23810  0.49382  10.0  10.3086
Dallas               0.29508  0.49831 New Orleans          0.70492  0.50169  -7.5  -7.5832

NCAA Week 14

Last week kept the subpar streak going. The top 5 games are only 25-39 on the season. The top game only 4-8-1. All games combined are 50%. So just don’t pick the games at the top. Expectations are +5 straight up and -36.5 ATS. This week should be close to 10-4 and 8-6.

home                  p(win) p(cover) road                  p(win) p(cover)  line  lineavg

Central Florida      0.78512  0.66147 Memphis              0.21488  0.33853   3.5  13.1573
Washington           0.53808  0.42250 Utah                 0.46192  0.57750   6.0   1.5416
Alabama              0.72049  0.43247 Georgia              0.27951  0.56753  13.5   9.5872
South Carolina       0.94232  0.43829 Akron                0.05768  0.56171  30.0  26.3879
Clemson              0.92526  0.43837 Pittsburgh           0.07474  0.56163  27.5  23.9115
Middle Tenn.         0.59871  0.55347 UAB                  0.40129  0.44653   1.0   4.0863
NC St.               0.93325  0.53281 East Carolina        0.06675  0.46719  23.0  24.9053
Ohio St.             0.78892  0.47473 Northwestern         0.21108  0.52527  14.5  13.0489
Boise St.            0.56558  0.52068 Fresno St.           0.43442  0.47932   1.5   2.6881
California           0.39926  0.48040 Stanford             0.60074  0.51960  -3.0  -4.1213
Buffalo              0.60313  0.51282 Northern Ill.        0.39687  0.48718   3.5   4.2345
Appalachian St.      0.85280  0.50987 Louisiana-Lafayette  0.14720  0.49013  16.5  17.0672
Oklahoma             0.68676  0.50720 Texas                0.31324  0.49280   7.5   7.9134
Virginia Tech        0.57976  0.50677 Marshall             0.42024  0.49323   3.0   3.3963

NFL week 12

The NFL is doing as good ~60% as the NCAA is doing bad ~40%. The NFL top 3 is now 20-13 after several good weeks in a row. The top game is 6-5.
All indicators point to these NFL probabilities being accurate this season. The straight up numbers are 2 games better than expected for the season and ATS is only 3 games less than expected. This week expect 10-5 and 8-7.
This week a top 3 game includes a team which lost their starting QB last week. The top game is the only other game where the system average is more than 1.5 games different from the line.

home                  p(win) p(cover) road                  p(win) p(cover)  line  lineavg

Baltimore            0.84742  0.58342 Oakland              0.15258  0.41658  10.5  14.6748
Dallas               0.60381  0.44231 Washington           0.39619  0.55769   6.5   3.6645
Denver               0.37299  0.46969 Pittsburgh           0.62701  0.53031  -3.0  -4.4811
Minnesota            0.62470  0.52931 Green Bay            0.37530  0.47069   3.0   4.4389
Houston              0.63289  0.47384 Tennessee            0.36711  0.52616   6.0   4.7188
Detroit              0.38883  0.48048 Chicago              0.61117  0.51952  -3.0  -3.9600
Indianapolis         0.73427  0.51905 Miami                0.26573  0.48095   8.0   8.9462
N.Y. Jets            0.28133  0.51695 New England          0.71867  0.48305  -9.0  -8.1641
Carolina             0.56245  0.48329 Seattle              0.43755  0.51671   3.0   2.1825
Cincinnati           0.60594  0.51510 Cleveland            0.39406  0.48490   3.0   3.7393
Tampa Bay            0.60144  0.51223 San Francisco        0.39856  0.48777   3.0   3.6010
Buffalo              0.43088  0.51150 Jacksonville         0.56912  0.48850  -3.0  -2.4352
Philadelphia         0.67369  0.50575 N.Y. Giants          0.32631  0.49425   6.0   6.2818
New Orleans          0.81838  0.50428 Atlanta              0.18162  0.49572  13.0  13.2144
LA Chargers          0.81864  0.49772 Arizona              0.18136  0.50228  13.0  12.8876

NCAA week 13

If it is an NCAA top 5 game it is probably wrong., 23-36-1 year to date. Top game 4-7-1. Cupcake week resulted in very good straight up numbers. Straight up is now doing 7 games better than expected on the season while ATS is -37.5. Expectations for this week are 48-17 and 35-30

home                  p(win) p(cover) road                  p(win) p(cover)  line  lineavg

Iowa                 0.82169  0.60642 Nebraska             0.17831  0.39358   9.0  15.2340
Northwestern         0.91224  0.59918 Illinois             0.08776  0.40082  17.0  22.8642
California           0.66437  0.40536 Colorado             0.33563  0.59464  12.5   6.9827
Texas-San Antonio    0.12686  0.59279 North Texas          0.87314  0.40721 -24.5 -19.0524
Memphis              0.56148  0.42170 Houston              0.43852  0.57830   7.0   2.4950
North Carolina       0.24443  0.42293 NC St.               0.75557  0.57707  -7.0 -11.5012
San Diego St.        0.78578  0.42355 Hawaii               0.21422  0.57645  17.5  13.0534
Utah                 0.82993  0.56994 BYU                  0.17007  0.43006  11.5  15.5390
USC                  0.19016  0.43022 Notre Dame           0.80984  0.56978 -11.0 -15.1544
Connecticut          0.05490  0.56620 Temple               0.94510  0.43380 -31.0 -27.1003
Texas A&M            0.48616  0.43825 LSU                  0.51384  0.56175   3.0  -0.5665
Ohio                 0.88472  0.44074 Akron                0.11528  0.55926  24.0  20.4964
Boston College       0.57677  0.44172 Syracuse             0.42323  0.55828   6.5   3.1448
South Alabama        0.42286  0.44498 Coastal Carolina     0.57714  0.55502   0.0  -3.1724
Louisiana Tech       0.80346  0.55347 Western Kentucky     0.19654  0.44653  11.0  14.1028
Georgia              0.88863  0.55241 Georgia Tech         0.11137  0.44759  17.0  20.0331
Florida Intl.        0.49908  0.55171 Marshall             0.50092  0.44829  -3.0  -0.0373
South Florida        0.15567  0.44834 Central Florida      0.84433  0.55166 -14.0 -17.0255
Florida Atlantic     0.80946  0.44922 Charlotte            0.19054  0.55078  17.5  14.5455
Liberty              0.74685  0.54826 New Mexico St.       0.25315  0.45174   8.0  10.7725
Washington St.       0.62518  0.54808 Washington           0.37482  0.45192   2.5   5.2951
Liberty              0.74519  0.54689 New Mexico St.       0.25481  0.45311   8.0  10.6941
Louisville           0.13082  0.45445 Kentucky             0.86918  0.54555 -17.0 -19.7292
TCU                  0.44910  0.54267 Oklahoma St.         0.55090  0.45733  -4.5  -2.0587
Ohio St.             0.45044  0.54262 Michigan             0.54956  0.45738  -4.5  -2.0400
Iowa St.             0.74472  0.45914 Kansas St.           0.25528  0.54086  13.0  10.6551
Clemson              0.92022  0.45974 South Carolina       0.07978  0.54026  26.0  23.6454
Texas St.            0.21094  0.46063 Arkansas St.         0.78906  0.53937 -11.0 -13.2832
Florida St.          0.30362  0.46083 Florida              0.69638  0.53917  -6.5  -8.8146
UNLV                 0.24361  0.53672 Nevada               0.75639  0.46328 -13.5 -11.3815
Missouri             0.93167  0.53490 Arkansas             0.06833  0.46510  23.0  25.0415
Louisiana-Monroe     0.52650  0.46646 Louisiana-Lafayette  0.47350  0.53354   3.0   1.0766
Rice                 0.28472  0.46866 Old Dominion         0.71528  0.53134  -7.5  -9.3065
West Va.             0.45909  0.53125 Oklahoma             0.54091  0.46875  -3.5  -1.6925
UCLA                 0.29579  0.47037 Stanford             0.70421  0.52963  -7.0  -8.6998
Middle Tenn.         0.46876  0.52910 UAB                  0.53124  0.47090  -3.0  -1.3069
Arizona              0.41040  0.47099 Arizona St.          0.58960  0.52901  -2.0  -3.6619
UTEP                 0.18767  0.47369 Southern Miss.       0.81233  0.52631 -13.0 -14.5170
Vanderbilt           0.62044  0.52582 Tennessee            0.37956  0.47418   3.5   4.9826
Oregon St.           0.15862  0.52577 Oregon               0.84138  0.47423 -18.0 -16.5087
Michigan St.         0.93648  0.47465 Rutgers              0.06352  0.52535  27.0  25.5227
Baylor               0.32428  0.47469 Texas Tech           0.67572  0.52531  -6.0  -7.4584
Cincinnati           0.89034  0.52423 East Carolina        0.10966  0.47577  19.0  20.4073
Miami (Fla.)         0.57362  0.47627 Pittsburgh           0.42638  0.52373   4.5   3.1146
Mississippi          0.23952  0.52343 Mississippi St.      0.76048  0.47657 -13.0 -11.6465
Boise St.            0.59203  0.52237 Utah St.             0.40797  0.47763   2.5   3.7849
Georgia St.          0.22776  0.47858 Georgia Southern     0.77224  0.52142 -11.0 -12.2353
Indiana              0.43082  0.52051 Purdue               0.56918  0.47949  -4.0  -2.8241
Kent                 0.18873  0.48165 Eastern Mich.        0.81127  0.51835 -13.5 -14.5613
Western Mich.        0.37763  0.51464 Northern Ill.        0.62237  0.48536  -6.0  -5.1526
Tulsa                0.42090  0.48648 SMU                  0.57910  0.51352  -2.5  -3.2807
Wisconsin            0.76471  0.51188 Minnesota            0.23529  0.48812  11.0  11.6806
Duke                 0.76069  0.51113 Wake Forest          0.23931  0.48887  11.0  11.6421
Penn St.             0.80624  0.51099 Maryland             0.19376  0.48901  13.5  14.1330
New Mexico           0.34702  0.51094 Wyoming              0.65298  0.48906  -7.0  -6.3734
Virginia Tech        0.40555  0.50953 Virginia             0.59445  0.49047  -4.5  -3.9483
Appalachian St.      0.72925  0.49069 Troy St.             0.27075  0.50931  10.5   9.9646
Fresno St.           0.97195  0.50786 San Jose St.         0.02805  0.49214  32.0  32.4613
Bowling Green        0.18469  0.49562 Buffalo              0.81531  0.50438 -14.5 -14.7525
Miami (Ohio)         0.82072  0.49563 Ball St.             0.17928  0.50437  15.5  15.2462
Toledo               0.86666  0.49648 Central Mich.        0.13334  0.50352  18.5  18.2966
Alabama              0.92641  0.50313 Auburn               0.07359  0.49687  24.0  24.1818
Air Force            0.81866  0.49748 Colorado St.         0.18134  0.50252  15.0  14.8550
Kansas               0.16678  0.50149 Texas                0.83322  0.49851 -16.0 -15.9140
Tulane               0.66652  0.49940 Navy                 0.33348  0.50060   7.0   6.9657

testing

I think it is clear at this point that these ‘angles’ don’t work. They were situations that had worked over the past years but since posting them they are all basically 50%.

NFL
Indianapolis -1.5, 61%
Detroit 4.5, 57%
Washington -3, 57%

These have a 61% chance of covering: 5-4
Ohio St. -14
Northwestern +3
Michigan St -0
Louisiana Tech +2
USC -2.5

These have 58% chance of covering: now 9-9
LOuis. Monroe +7.5
Mass. +41
WIsconsin +4

These have 55% chance of covering: now 0-7
Colorado st +28.5
Kansas St +6.5
San Jose St +15
Tennessess +6.5
Virginia Tech +6.5

These have 55% chance of covering: to date 5-4
None this week

NFL Week 11

The NFL results have been fairly consistent too, doing a little better. Now 17-13 on the top 3 games, 5-5 on the top game.
Straight up expectations are +2 for the season, ATS is -4.
This week expect 8-5 and 6-6.

home                  p(win) p(cover) road                  p(win) p(cover) line  lineavg

Washington           0.51242  0.56977 Houston              0.48758  0.43023 -3.0   0.4329
Detroit              0.43173  0.54314 Carolina             0.56827  0.45686 -4.5  -2.3865
LA Rams              0.54234  0.45908 Kansas City          0.45766  0.54092  3.5   1.4873
Seattle              0.62306  0.52780 Green Bay            0.37694  0.47220  3.0   4.3625
New Orleans          0.76167  0.52650 Philadelphia         0.23833  0.47350  9.0  10.3268
Indianapolis         0.50689  0.47439 Tennessee            0.49311  0.52561  1.5   0.2416
N.Y. Giants          0.50277  0.48180 Tampa Bay            0.49723  0.51820  1.0   0.0986
Chicago              0.60897  0.51797 Minnesota            0.39103  0.48203  3.0   3.8845
LA Chargers          0.71091  0.51594 Denver               0.28909  0.48406  7.0   7.7830
Atlanta              0.58658  0.49023 Dallas               0.41342  0.50977  3.5   3.0234
Jacksonville         0.32770  0.49209 Pittsburgh           0.67230  0.50791 -6.0  -6.3929
Arizona              0.65412  0.49216 Oakland              0.34588  0.50784  6.0   5.6126
Baltimore            0.70617   .      Cincinnati           0.29383   .        .    7.7424